Realized P&L (24h)
+$1
Unrealized P&L
-$44
Hit rate
100.0%
Resolved (24h)
1
Trades (24h)
33
1,193 lifetime
Volume (24h)
$1.19K
$46.7K lifetime
Avg / trade
$39
Open exposure
$3.09K
30 positions
First seen
2026-08-31
last 11-08 05:47
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 33 days
Categories
Politics
50% 65% +$1,195
Other
45% 78% -$566
Tech
3% 75% -$1
Sports
2% 100% +$478
Crypto
1% 57% -$85
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
62 active days in 12wk • peak 118 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? No +496 $363 99¢ $489 +$126 11-04 00:28
Next White House Press Secretary announced by November 30, 2026? No +613 $391 60¢ $365 -$27 11-07 19:02
Iran leadership change by December 31? No +315 $305 94¢ $295 -$11 10-24 20:27
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +816 $329 34¢ $277 -$51 11-07 18:11
Will Kai Cenat finish his GTA marathon by November 10? No +264 $219 80¢ $211 -$8 11-08 04:01
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes +175 $152 93¢ $163 +$11 11-04 04:07
Will Kai Cenat finish his GTA marathon by November 9? No +140 $136 98¢ $138 +$2 11-07 23:45
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 22? Yes +167 $112 80¢ $133 +$21 11-06 20:02
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by November 30? No +178 $121 72¢ $129 +$8 11-05 21:11
Iran full airspace closure by November 30, 2026? No +137 $102 84¢ $115 +$12 11-04 20:53
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? Yes +311 $157 36¢ $112 -$46 11-04 19:41
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026? Yes +121 $88 87¢ $105 +$17 11-05 23:23
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? No +75 $37 96¢ $72 +$35 11-05 15:21
Will Anna Kelly be the next White House Press Secretary? No +80 $68 88¢ $70 +$2 11-07 18:55
AI bubble burst in 2026? No +58 $50 91¢ $53 +$3 11-05 21:15
Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027? Yes +95 $79 56¢ $53 -$27 11-04 13:00
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by November 30, 2026? No +40 $38 98¢ $39 +$1 11-03 14:27
Will Kai Cenat finish his GTA marathon by November 12? Yes +38 $29 81¢ $31 +$1 11-08 05:47
Katy Perry and Justin Trudeau engaged by end of 2026? No +33 $30 90¢ $30 $0 10-27 09:20
Next White House Press Secretary announced by December 31, 2026? No +94 $40 29¢ $27 -$13 11-07 18:46
Iran full airspace closure by December 31? No +35 $25 74¢ $26 +$1 11-04 17:17
Will Dana White be the next White House Press Secretary? No +25 $25 95¢ $24 -$1 11-08 01:20
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? Yes +53 $62 42¢ $23 -$39 10-29 17:39
US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 15, 2026? Yes +572 $74 4¢ $23 -$51 11-04 17:14
Trump, Putin, and Xi seen together before 2027? Yes +24 $20 86¢ $21 +$0 11-06 15:41
Next White House Press Secretary announced by November 30, 2026? Yes +50 $22 40¢ $20 -$2 11-04 02:04
Will the Seattle Seahawks win the 2027 NFL league championship? Yes +408 $30 4¢ $18 -$12 10-16 02:25
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No +17 $8 82¢ $14 +$6 11-07 02:03
Will Predict.fun launch a token by June 30, 2027? Yes +12 $11 99¢ $12 +$1 10-21 09:39
Will Kai Cenat finish his GTA marathon by November 11? No +18 $12 40¢ $7 -$5 11-07 13:49