Realized P&L
+$25
Unrealized P&L
-$2
Hit rate
56.5%
Resolved
687
Trades
1,194
lifetime
Volume
$3.11K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$3
Open exposure
$11
8 positions
First seen
2026-01-26
last 10-28 12:14
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 124 days
Categories
Other
71% 66% +$45
Sports
15% 55% -$26
Politics
13% 52% +$4
Tech
1% 100% +$2
Crypto
0% 0% -$1
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
69 active days in 12wk • peak 39 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? Yes +10 $6 56¢ $6 -$1 06-25 01:32
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? Yes +4 $2 44¢ $2 $0 10-22 19:45
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026? No +1 $1 83¢ $1 +$0 07-22 14:06
jd vance out as vp by december 31 No +1 $1 96¢ $1 +$0 08-17 16:48
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026? No +1 $1 94¢ $1 +$0 09-17 05:21
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? No +1 $1 66¢ $1 $0 08-17 01:15
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? Yes +1 $1 2¢ $0 -$1 09-28 12:09
Will the Democrats win the Michigan governor race in 2026? Yes +0 $0 93¢ $0 $0 09-08 14:18