Outlying-Wasabi — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$19

Unrealized P&L

-$109

Hit rate

72.3%

Resolved

Trades

19,209

lifetime

Volume

$271.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$14

Open exposure

$507

3 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 07-22 10:33

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 6 days

Categories

Politics

60% 100% +$1

Other

15% 20% $-28

Crypto

14% — —

Sports

7% 67% +$9

Tech

4% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

72 active days in 12wk • peak 128 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Edi Rama out as Albania PM in 2026?	Yes	+2,278	$400	22¢	$501	+$101	06-15 16:35
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	+584	$216	1¢	$6	$-211	06-30 13:52
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+0	$0	8¢	$0	$-0	07-02 15:53

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	99	$51.1K	131,728	117,495	+14,233	open	—	05-27 08:25
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	27	$36.0K	41,471	41,471	+0	open	—	05-27 18:33
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	144	$33.4K	124,000	125,784	-1,784	open	—	06-07 20:07
us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 7 265 824 655 577 216	165	$16.8K	106,891	103,815	+3,076	open	—	06-06 22:11
Pistons vs. Magic	2	$14.3K	12,000	12,000	+0	open	—	05-01 17:15
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	46	$11.6K	12,000	12,000	+0	open	—	06-19 05:47
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	48	$11.4K	17,534	16,455	+1,079	open	—	06-14 21:30
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	35	$11.1K	27,500	27,500	+0	open	—	05-25 19:51
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?	10	$7.4K	4,950	4,950	+0	open	—	05-29 08:53
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T?	14	$6.5K	4,000	4,000	+0	open	—	06-06 15:21
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	5	$6.5K	15,000	15,000	+0	open	—	05-09 17:16
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?	2	$5.0K	7,000	0	+7,000	open	—	05-30 14:05
Edi Rama out as Albania PM in 2026?	58	$4.8K	6,488	4,210	+2,278	open	—	07-02 21:32
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?	2	$4.4K	2,800	2,800	+0	open	—	05-28 14:19
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?	3	$3.2K	4,000	4,000	+0	open	—	05-28 14:18
Over $3M committed to the Printr public sale?	6	$3.1K	1,669	1,669	+0	open	—	04-30 09:57
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	5	$2.6K	10,545	10,545	+0	open	—	05-09 11:17
trump declassifies new ufo files by june 15	84	$2.5K	2,941	2,940	+0	open	—	06-09 06:05
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?	4	$2.3K	1,800	1,800	+0	open	—	06-06 15:23
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	11	$2.2K	7,000	7,000	+0	open	—	06-07 19:57
Fed rate hike in 2026?	18	$1.9K	1,708	1,708	+0	open	—	06-10 12:34
mykhailo fedorov reinstated as ukrainian defense minister by july 31 2026 20260716190353339	9	$1.5K	880	880	+0	open	—	07-22 08:26
will donald trump publicly insult someone on june 7 2026	13	$1.4K	1,619	0	+1,619	open	—	06-07 19:16
will ng reach 3 40 in june 2026	14	$1.2K	1,234	1,234	+0	open	—	06-23 12:13
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	12	$1.1K	5,000	5,000	+0	open	—	07-02 15:53
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?	6	$1.1K	900	900	+0	open	—	06-12 07:59
will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	7	$1.1K	1,300	300	+1,000	open	—	07-07 18:30
trump announces us x iran ceasefire over by june 30 20260607232556276 219	12	$921	2,689	9,000	-6,311	open	—	06-19 10:21
will the next claude opus model be released by july 31 2026 20260709185050343 272 345 875	14	$826	2,503	2,503	+0	open	—	07-20 09:57
will maria corina machado enter venezuela by july 31 20260626160132235	4	$768	600	600	+0	open	—	07-07 18:33

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-22 21:03:58	will trump say tariff during remarks in georgia 20260720190340718	Yes	SELL	282	100¢	$281	0xb395ac…
07-22 20:56:27	will trump say crypto or bitcoin during remarks in georgia 20260720190340723	Yes	SELL	593	1¢	$7	0x158985…
07-22 10:33:28	mykhailo fedorov reinstated as ukrainian defense minister by august 31 2026 20260722051644333	No	SELL	40	79¢	$32	0x15fc21…
07-22 08:52:36	mykhailo fedorov reinstated as ukrainian defense minister by august 31 2026 20260722051644333	No	BUY	40	51¢	$20	0xdd548c…
07-22 08:26:54	mykhailo fedorov reinstated as ukrainian defense minister by july 31 2026 20260716190353339	No	SELL	400	88¢	$354	0xba054f…
07-22 07:16:36	mykhailo fedorov reinstated as ukrainian defense minister by july 24 2026 20260716190353338	No	SELL	281	96¢	$269	0x82ea42…
07-22 06:31:43	mykhailo fedorov reinstated as ukrainian defense minister by july 31 2026 20260716190353339	No	SELL	23	91¢	$21	0x7502b5…
07-22 05:04:01	mykhailo fedorov reinstated as ukrainian defense minister by july 31 2026 20260716190353339	No	SELL	110	91¢	$100	0xe3a669…
07-22 03:20:36	mykhailo fedorov reinstated as ukrainian defense minister by july 31 2026 20260716190353339	No	SELL	200	91¢	$182	0x9b60e7…
07-21 21:08:27	mykhailo fedorov reinstated as ukrainian defense minister by july 24 2026 20260716190353338	No	BUY	281	94¢	$264	0xd9b35e…
07-21 21:06:16	mykhailo fedorov reinstated as ukrainian defense minister by july 31 2026 20260716190353339	No	BUY	733	88¢	$645	0x87c35c…
07-21 15:47:22	will trump say stock market during remarks in georgia 20260720190340715	Yes	BUY	24	76¢	$18	0xc07e1b…
07-21 11:17:55	will trump say tariff during remarks in georgia 20260720190340718	Yes	BUY	282	69¢	$196	0x24ea01…
07-21 10:53:21	will trump say stock market during remarks in georgia 20260720190340715	Yes	BUY	4	76¢	$3	0x92bb02…
07-21 09:31:52	will trump say stock market during remarks in georgia 20260720190340715	Yes	BUY	11	76¢	$8	0x4144c8…
07-21 07:47:18	will trump say oil gas or gasoline during remarks in georgia 20260720190340727	Yes	BUY	546	78¢	$428	0x6da6fb…
07-20 09:57:48	will the next claude opus model be released by july 31 2026 20260709185050343 272 345 875	No	SELL	703	15¢	$105	0xbdb9f1…
07-19 16:56:42	dota2 bb4 pari 2026 07 19 game3	BetBoom Team	BUY	100	48¢	$48	0x8fa389…
07-19 10:17:18	will the next claude opus model be released by july 31 2026 20260709185050343 272 345 875	No	SELL	1,500	15¢	$225	0xcfbd3b…
07-18 04:13:42	will the next claude opus model be released by july 31 2026 20260709185050343 272 345 875	No	BUY	289	9¢	$26	0x3f39c3…
07-18 03:39:27	will the next claude opus model be released by july 31 2026 20260709185050343 272 345 875	No	BUY	5	9¢	$0	0x24ae7e…
07-18 03:38:09	will the next claude opus model be released by july 31 2026 20260709185050343 272 345 875	No	BUY	5	9¢	$0	0x44ebd9…
07-18 00:34:03	will the next claude opus model be released by july 31 2026 20260709185050343 272 345 875	No	BUY	106	9¢	$10	0x900ae9…
07-17 23:55:10	will the next claude opus model be released by july 31 2026 20260709185050343 272 345 875	No	BUY	295	9¢	$27	0xa10af0…
07-17 20:15:24	will the next claude opus model be released by july 31 2026 20260709185050343 272 345 875	No	BUY	598	15¢	$90	0x0a4a0e…
07-17 20:15:21	will the next claude opus model be released by july 31 2026 20260709185050343 272 345 875	No	BUY	588	16¢	$94	0x679d76…
07-17 20:14:48	will the next claude opus model be released by july 31 2026 20260709185050343 272 345 875	No	BUY	12	16¢	$2	0xa45fa0…
07-17 17:19:34	will russia capture all of kostyantynivka by september 30 2026	Yes	BUY	500	12¢	$60	0xc13bfd…
07-17 03:57:27	will the next claude opus model be released by july 31 2026 20260709185050343 272 345 875	No	BUY	305	25¢	$76	0x8812fe…
07-16 22:22:59	will the next claude opus model be released by july 31 2026 20260709185050343 272 345 875	No	SELL	120	30¢	$36	0x4cb0f0…
07-16 22:15:13	will the next claude opus model be released by july 31 2026 20260709185050343 272 345 875	No	SELL	180	30¢	$54	0xb53667…
07-16 21:08:49	mykhailo fedorov reinstated as ukrainian defense minister by july 31 2026 20260716190353339	No	SELL	140	85¢	$119	0x2c8db6…
07-16 20:28:41	mykhailo fedorov reinstated as ukrainian defense minister by july 31 2026 20260716190353339	No	BUY	140	84¢	$117	0x2b1afd…
07-16 20:05:50	mykhailo fedorov reinstated as ukrainian defense minister by july 31 2026 20260716190353339	No	SELL	7	72¢	$5	0x342af2…
07-16 20:03:11	mykhailo fedorov reinstated as ukrainian defense minister by july 31 2026 20260716190353339	No	BUY	7	61¢	$4	0x773ab4…
07-16 19:16:04	will the next claude opus model be released by july 31 2026 20260709185050343 272 345 875	No	BUY	300	27¢	$81	0x9c4310…
07-11 15:48:02	will trump speak to xi jinping in july 20260626154217426	Yes	SELL	42	21¢	$9	0x496f68…
07-10 09:50:59	dota2 xtreme bb4 2026 07 10 game1	BetBoom Team	SELL	93	69¢	$64	0x0d7097…
07-10 09:50:58	dota2 xtreme bb4 2026 07 10 game1	BetBoom Team	SELL	7	69¢	$5	0xbedf70…
07-10 09:27:35	dota2 xtreme bb4 2026 07 10 game1	BetBoom Team	BUY	100	68¢	$68	0x797c8c…
07-09 18:12:44	will the us announce a blockade on iran by july 31 20260622191116912	Yes	SELL	300	29¢	$87	0x0d474a…
07-08 15:00:01	will the us announce a blockade on iran by july 31 20260622191116912	Yes	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0xab2d67…
07-08 15:00:01	will the us announce a blockade on iran by july 31 20260622191116912	Yes	BUY	282	28¢	$79	0x57c19f…
07-07 18:33:25	will maria corina machado enter venezuela by july 31 20260626160132235	No	SELL	574	68¢	$390	0xa223be…
07-07 18:30:41	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	BUY	500	69¢	$346	0x03eca0…
07-07 18:20:13	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	BUY	500	75¢	$374	0xa6ea55…
07-07 17:27:37	will maria corina machado enter venezuela by july 31 20260626160132235	No	SELL	26	68¢	$18	0x7b456c…
07-07 17:23:23	will maria corina machado enter venezuela by july 31 20260626160132235	No	BUY	597	60¢	$358	0x75764f…
07-06 22:25:08	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	SELL	200	32¢	$64	0x5c9814…
07-06 21:06:56	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	200	75¢	$150	0xb19881…
07-06 20:53:34	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	SELL	100	72¢	$72	0xacffda…
07-06 10:05:10	will maria corina machado enter venezuela by july 31 20260626160132235	No	BUY	3	60¢	$2	0x21a643…
07-05 05:28:11	will trump meet with benjamin netanyahu in july 2026 20260626153701914	Yes	SELL	60	92¢	$55	0xea06d3…
07-04 21:38:31	will trump speak to vladimir putin in july 20260626154217428	Yes	SELL	362	100¢	$361	0xe4d50a…
07-04 20:37:49	will trump speak to vladimir putin in july 20260626154217428	Yes	BUY	94	65¢	$61	0xccb6b0…
07-04 19:47:25	will trump speak to vladimir putin in july 20260626154217428	Yes	BUY	6	65¢	$4	0xecaa8e…
07-04 19:42:34	will trump speak to vladimir putin in july 20260626154217428	Yes	BUY	100	84¢	$84	0xceb97c…
07-04 19:07:56	will trump speak to vladimir putin in july 20260626154217428	Yes	BUY	154	84¢	$129	0xeac082…
07-04 16:47:20	will trump meet with benjamin netanyahu in july 2026 20260626153701914	Yes	SELL	129	84¢	$108	0xf28b81…
07-04 14:20:34	will trump speak to xi jinping in july 20260626154217426	Yes	BUY	42	19¢	$8	0xe46fb7…
07-04 14:11:19	will trump speak to vladimir putin in july 20260626154217428	Yes	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0xbc9182…
07-04 11:13:43	will trump meet with benjamin netanyahu in july 2026 20260626153701914	Yes	BUY	10	54¢	$5	0x95743f…
07-04 11:00:56	will trump meet with benjamin netanyahu in july 2026 20260626153701914	Yes	BUY	50	54¢	$27	0xb0883a…
07-04 08:22:14	will trump meet with benjamin netanyahu in july 2026 20260626153701914	Yes	BUY	129	57¢	$73	0xaf7dbe…
07-03 19:41:37	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0xbc9f93…
07-03 18:44:02	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	95	66¢	$63	0xe0f376…
07-02 21:32:01	Edi Rama out as Albania PM in 2026?	No	SELL	500	74¢	$370	0x4f5389…
07-02 17:23:14	us iran final nuclear deal by august 13 2026 20260621201255152	Yes	SELL	32	7¢	$2	0xf4b571…
07-02 16:50:10	us iran final nuclear deal by august 13 2026 20260621201255152	Yes	BUY	1	7¢	$0	0xc5a0bd…
07-02 16:25:50	us iran final nuclear deal by august 13 2026 20260621201255152	Yes	BUY	31	7¢	$2	0xe0294d…
07-02 15:53:35	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,536	11¢	$169	0xd2baf4…
07-02 15:51:58	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	909	11¢	$100	0x9499b0…
07-02 15:41:13	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	45	11¢	$5	0x94e832…
07-02 15:36:52	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	36	11¢	$4	0x92a847…
07-02 15:30:53	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	909	11¢	$100	0xb27b28…
07-02 15:21:53	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	11¢	$1	0xedbf03…
07-02 15:11:16	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	45	11¢	$5	0xa49528…
07-02 15:09:28	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	28	11¢	$3	0xd9940b…
07-02 15:07:02	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	88	11¢	$10	0x66f1bb…
07-02 15:00:41	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	9	11¢	$1	0x3c4e53…
07-02 14:50:41	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,384	11¢	$152	0x59c8cc…
07-02 13:32:16	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5,000	11¢	$550	0x5ad21f…
07-02 00:26:44	tyler robinson convicted of homicide	Yes	SELL	268	43¢	$115	0x2a09e7…
06-30 13:52:19	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	SELL	0	37¢	$0	0x78a171…
06-30 13:51:52	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	SELL	11	37¢	$4	0x89e9c2…
06-30 13:49:26	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	SELL	27	37¢	$10	0x0b2039…
06-30 13:41:55	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	SELL	14	37¢	$5	0xbbe979…
06-30 13:39:31	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	SELL	3	37¢	$1	0xdf38d1…
06-30 13:37:31	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	SELL	0	37¢	$0	0xf6efd2…
06-30 13:30:23	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	SELL	246	37¢	$91	0x5c920f…
06-30 13:30:17	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	SELL	247	37¢	$91	0x7322ce…
06-30 13:30:17	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	SELL	69	37¢	$25	0x628e91…
06-30 13:00:34	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	600	37¢	$222	0x0b126e…
06-30 03:48:07	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	564	37¢	$209	0xc5e5b2…
06-30 03:48:07	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	36	37¢	$13	0x5af565…
06-30 02:38:44	will mohammad bagher ghalibaf sign a us x iran deal by july 31	Yes	SELL	44	17¢	$8	0x3d7a14…
06-30 02:31:02	will mohammad bagher ghalibaf sign a us x iran deal by july 31	Yes	SELL	45	17¢	$8	0x5bf30a…
06-29 10:13:35	tyler robinson convicted of homicide	Yes	SELL	132	39¢	$51	0xf8c4b8…
06-29 10:11:17	tyler robinson convicted of homicide	Yes	BUY	400	42¢	$168	0xa03644…
06-28 20:23:40	fifwc rsa can 2026 06 28 corners team home 1pt5	Over	BUY	75	67¢	$50	0x0e29b6…