Realized P&L
-$4.74K
Unrealized P&L
-$101
Hit rate
68.1%
Resolved
612
Trades
31,728
lifetime
Volume
$567.6K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$18
Open exposure
$5.66K
19 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-28 16:01
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 172 days
Categories
Politics
71% 58% -$2,062
Other
15% 56% -$798
Crypto
7% 45% +$6
Sports
4% 59% -$1,040
Tech
2% 50% -$848
Pop-Culture
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
80 active days in 12wk • peak 155 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +10,000 $4,420 43¢ $4.3K -$125 10-25 12:03
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +5,000 $1,423 26¢ $1.3K -$103 10-28 16:01
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? Yes -200 -$38 4¢ $-8 +$30 05-06 16:27
Will Milwaukee Bucks win the 2027 NBA Finals? Yes +5,000 $5 0¢ $7 +$2 10-22 03:19
Will Sadegh Mahsouli be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes +2,500 $5 0¢ $4 -$1 07-06 08:38
Will Sabrina Carpenter be the top artist for 2026? Yes +2,500 $5 0¢ $4 -$1 08-16 12:48
Will Massoud Rajavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes — +2,500 $4 0¢ $4 +$0 07-17 11:48
Will Los Angeles Clippers win the 2027 NBA Finals? Yes +2,500 $5 0¢ $4 -$1 09-12 17:30
Will Saeed Jalili be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes +2,500 $5 0¢ $4 -$1 07-17 22:42
Will Kendrick Lamar be the top artist for 2026? Yes +2,104 $4 0¢ $3 -$1 08-26 03:48
Will Hassan Shariatmadari be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes — +2,000 $4 0¢ $3 -$1 10-25 22:30
Will Beyoncé be the top artist for 2026? Yes +1,700 $5 0¢ $3 -$3 08-14 17:41
Will The Weeknd be the top artist for 2026? Yes +1,700 $5 0¢ $3 -$3 08-24 12:38
Will Masoud Pezeshkian be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes +680 -$2 0¢ $2 +$4 09-29 03:49
Will Loranne Ausley win the Tallahassee mayoral election? Yes +0 -$19 70¢ $0 +$19 07-26 23:07
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? Yes +0 $0 2¢ $0 $0 07-02 15:53
Will Gideon Sa’ar be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +0 -$3 0¢ $0 +$3 07-28 09:32
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? Yes +0 $2 4¢ $0 -$2 09-11 08:57
Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Yes +0 -$81 0¢ $0 +$81 06-23 15:53