Realized P&L
-$251
Unrealized P&L
+$20
Hit rate
42.3%
Resolved
87
Trades
187
lifetime
Volume
$2.33K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$12
Open exposure
$32
9 positions
First seen
2026-01-29
last 10-27 18:43
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 55 days
Categories
Sports
60% 28% -$140
Other
29% 34% -$92
Politics
10% 56% +$1
Crypto
1% 0% -$14
Tech
0% 0% -$6
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
29 active days in 12wk • peak 6 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +64 $10 17¢ $11 +$1 08-18 18:32
Will the Tampa Bay Buccaneers win the 2027 NFL league championship? Yes +1,500 $18 1¢ $8 -$10 07-15 22:39
US Government removes public access to a major Chinese AI model in 2026? Yes +48 $10 16¢ $7 -$3 10-13 16:01
Will OpenAI's IPO valuation be at least $2.5T? Yes +67 -$25 4¢ $3 +$28 09-22 19:19
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +53 $1 2¢ $1 $0 09-18 18:57
Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +34 $0 2¢ $1 +$1 09-18 16:06
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +19 $0 3¢ $1 +$0 09-18 16:07
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? Yes -6 $0 4¢ $-0 +$0 07-14 16:49
OpenAI IPO before 2027? Yes -4 -$3 3¢ $-0 +$3 05-21 16:58