Realized P&L
-$17
Unrealized P&L
+$3
Hit rate
73.4%
Resolved
4
Trades
710
lifetime
Volume
$2.11K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$3
Open exposure
$40
8 positions
First seen
2026-03-21
last 07-22 11:03
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 2 days
Categories
Politics
81% 50% $-17
Other
19%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
32 active days in 12wk • peak 30 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? No +9 $5 99¢ $9 +$5 06-25 12:31
Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by December 31, 2026? No +9 $8 84¢ $8 $-0 06-19 09:11
Iran leadership change by December 31? No +8 $6 74¢ $6 $-0 07-20 07:56
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30? Yes +8 $6 74¢ $6 $-0 06-12 09:15
Will Russia enter Sumy by December 31, 2026? No +5 $5 92¢ $5 $-0 07-17 10:22
Will Russia enter Sloviansk by December 31, 2026? No +4 $4 83¢ $4 +$0 06-19 02:17
Will Russia enter Kharkiv by December 31, 2026? No +2 $2 97¢ $2 +$0 06-13 23:07
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31? Yes +4 $2 30¢ $1 $-1 06-26 04:26