Realized P&L
-$17
Unrealized P&L
+$2
Hit rate
73.4%
Resolved
4
Trades
685
lifetime
Volume
$2.06K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$3
Open exposure
$60
9 positions
First seen
2026-03-21
last 06-29 16:20
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 2 days
Categories
Politics
81% 50% $-17
Other
19%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
44 active days in 12wk • peak 97 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Iran leadership change by December 31? No +20 $15 84¢ $17 +$2 06-11 20:10
Israel closes its airspace by June 30? No +11 $11 100¢ $11 +$0 06-16 06:10
Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by December 31, 2026? No +9 $8 82¢ $8 $-0 06-19 09:11
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? No +9 $5 70¢ $7 +$2 06-25 12:31
Will Russia enter Sumy by December 31, 2026? No +6 $6 90¢ $6 $-0 06-29 16:20
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30? Yes +8 $6 67¢ $5 $-1 06-12 09:15
Will Russia enter Sloviansk by December 31, 2026? No +4 $4 74¢ $3 $-0 06-19 02:17
Will Russia enter Kharkiv by December 31, 2026? No +2 $2 94¢ $2 $-0 06-13 23:07
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31? Yes +4 $2 43¢ $2 $-0 06-26 04:26