Realized P&L
-$141
Unrealized P&L
+$3
Hit rate
58.3%
Resolved
605
Trades
1,463
lifetime
Volume
$7.99K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$5
Open exposure
$25
3 positions
First seen
2026-03-31
last 06-01 17:03
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 28 days
Categories
Other
37%
54%
-$395
Politics
34%
54%
+$453
Sports
18%
49%
-$94
Crypto
11%
55%
-$105
Activity
No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-06-01).
| Market | Outcome | Mid 30D | Net shares | Cost basis | Current mid | Current value | Unrealized P&L | Last trade |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | No | -23 | -$19 | 82¢ | $-19 | $0 | 06-01 16:57 | |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | Yes | -5 | -$3 | 86¢ | $-4 | -$1 | 06-01 16:58 | |
| Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? | Yes | -57 | -$6 | 3¢ | $-2 | +$4 | 06-01 17:02 |
| Market | Trades | Volume USD | Bought | Sold | Net shares | Resolution | P&L | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| us x iran ceasefire by april 15 | 22 | $605 | 913 | 913 | +0 | Yes | +$320 | 04-07 23:29 |
| us x iran ceasefire by april 7 | 30 | $454 | 379 | 379 | +0 | Yes | +$164 | 04-07 23:42 |
| us x iran ceasefire by april 30 | 6 | $227 | 290 | 290 | +0 | Yes | +$37 | 04-07 19:47 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30? | 41 | $195 | 599 | 599 | +0 | Yes | -$5 | 04-05 23:05 |
| US forces enter Iran by April 30? | 141 | $191 | 390 | 390 | +0 | Yes | -$9 | 04-03 17:59 |
| trump announces hormuz deadline extension today | 21 | $112 | 109 | 92 | +17 | Yes | +$17 | 04-07 22:12 |
| us x iran ceasefire by april 10 | 5 | $100 | 51 | 51 | +0 | Yes | +$0 | 04-07 23:54 |
| US forces enter Iran by December 31? | 19 | $100 | 140 | 140 | +0 | Yes | +$0 | 04-03 13:10 |
| trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 15th 962 364 677 | 6 | $99 | 459 | 407 | +53 | No | +$3 | 04-12 01:55 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by December 31? | 2 | $98 | 185 | 185 | +0 | Yes | -$2 | 04-06 02:25 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by May 31? | 31 | $88 | 86 | 86 | +0 | Yes | +$1 | 04-08 00:09 |
| nba nop sac 2026 04 03 | 5 | $74 | 152 | 77 | +74 | Kings | +$48 | 04-04 02:07 |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31? | 7 | $65 | 39 | 39 | +0 | No | -$1 | 04-06 00:46 |
| Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | 1 | $58 | 0 | 1,617 | -1,617 | No | +$58 | 06-01 16:55 |
| Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar? | 5 | $57 | 148 | 11 | +137 | Yes | -$41 | 04-11 22:31 |
| Starmer out by June 30, 2026? | 1 | $56 | 0 | 67 | -67 | Yes | +$56 | 06-01 16:55 |
| nba mem mil 2026 04 05 spread home 5pt5 | 3 | $55 | 110 | 0 | +110 | Bucks | -$55 | 04-05 10:10 |
| nba nop por 2026 04 02 spread home 6pt5 | 1 | $55 | 108 | 0 | +108 | Trail Blazers | -$55 | 04-03 00:11 |
| nba sas gsw 2026 04 01 | 3 | $55 | 62 | 0 | +62 | Spurs | +$7 | 04-02 00:07 |
| nba atl orl 2026 04 01 | 5 | $55 | 137 | 0 | +137 | Hawks | -$55 | 04-01 12:51 |
| nba was mia 2026 04 04 | 3 | $55 | 59 | 0 | +59 | Heat | +$4 | 04-04 00:03 |
| iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346 | 12 | $55 | 88 | 63 | +25 | Yes | +$10 | 04-09 14:36 |
| Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes? | 2 | $54 | 0 | 66 | -66 | Yes | -$1 | 06-01 17:03 |
| Will US withdraw from NATO by April 30? | 2 | $53 | 44 | 11 | +33 | No | +$1 | 04-09 16:31 |
| will the kharg island oil terminal be hit by april 15 | 4 | $51 | 39 | 39 | +0 | No | +$1 | 04-07 12:43 |
| will bitcoin dip to 65k on april 5 | 7 | $50 | 51 | 0 | +51 | No | +$1 | 04-05 23:15 |
| col shd az 2026 04 09 shd | 1 | $50 | 86 | 0 | +86 | Yes | -$50 | 04-09 09:58 |
| ucl fcb1 atm1 2026 04 08 fcb1 | 1 | $50 | 139 | 0 | +139 | No | +$89 | 04-08 07:43 |
| uel scf cel4 2026 04 09 scf | 2 | $50 | 83 | 0 | +83 | Yes | -$50 | 04-09 04:08 |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th? | 4 | $50 | 166 | 0 | +166 | No | -$50 | 04-06 02:15 |
| Wallet | Shared markets | Overlap volume | Overlap trades | Last seen |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Open this tab to load correlated wallets… | ||||