Nervous-Comfort — Polymarket

Realized P&L (90d)

-$27

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

18.5%

Resolved (90d)

Trades (90d)

1,488 lifetime

Volume (90d)

$119

$8.64K lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-18

last 08-07 08:59

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 65 days

Categories

Other

64% 65% -$295

Politics

13% 74% +$89

Crypto

12% 62% +$3

Sports

10% 53% -$99

Tech

1% 100% +$1

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-08-07).

Open positions Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	14	$161	295	267	+28	No	+$2	06-02 10:44
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	14	$155	250	239	+11	No	+$48	05-30 05:57
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?	9	$116	91	91	+0	Yes	+$30	06-17 05:00
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	9	$103	59	59	+0	open	—	07-16 08:46
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	13	$98	98	98	+0	No	-$10	05-23 11:38
LoL: Team WE vs LNG Esports - Game 3 Winner	5	$91	83	64	+19	LNG Esports	-$18	05-23 08:26
Roland Garros WTA: Tamara Korpatsch vs Xinyu Wang	5	$89	102	44	+58	Tamara Korpatsch	-$1	05-27 12:21
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	12	$84	71	64	+7	Yes	+$6	06-17 04:59
LoL: Team WE vs LNG Esports (BO5) - LPL Play-In	9	$83	85	85	+0	Team WE	-$6	05-23 10:20
Roland Garros ATP: Cameron Norrie vs Adolfo Vallejo	4	$81	54	50	+4	Adolfo Vallejo	+$19	05-26 15:40
Roland Garros ATP: Federico Cina vs Jesper de Jong	4	$73	73	35	+38	Jesper de Jong	-$4	05-27 12:22
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs LGD Gaming - Game 4 Winner	10	$66	34	34	+0	Weibo Gaming	+$0	05-24 14:36
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	3	$65	186	61	+125	No	+$9	06-19 11:15
Roland Garros ATP: Karen Khachanov vs Marco Trungelliti	4	$65	41	35	+6	Karen Khachanov	+$4	05-27 14:33
cs2 inox bbp 2026 06 09	55	$64	77	51	+26	cancelled	-$1	06-09 09:42
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 23°C on June 18?	3	$59	31	31	+0	No	+$2	06-18 12:03
Roland Garros ATP: Thomas Faurel vs Valentin Vacherot	5	$58	140	24	+117	Valentin Vacherot	-$10	05-26 15:40
Internet Access restored in Iran by September 30, 2026?	3	$57	31	31	+0	Yes	+$1	05-28 18:41
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-27 15:40 UTC	4	$57	67	67	+0	Down	+$2	06-27 15:39
Roland Garros ATP: Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Andrey Rublev	5	$56	65	27	+38	Andrey Rublev	-$2	05-27 14:33
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on May 31?	5	$56	31	31	+0	Yes	+$3	05-31 11:17
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	19	$55	70	70	+0	No	-$12	06-19 20:10
will spy dip to 720 in june 2026	13	$53	129	119	+10	No	-$2	06-27 06:17
Valorant: JD Gaming vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - China Evolution Series Act 2 Playoffs	7	$50	59	34	+25	JD Gaming	-$2	05-23 11:42
New York Yankees vs. Kansas City Royals	3	$48	127	0	+127	New York Yankees	-$22	05-26 23:46
Roland Garros ATP: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Thiago Agustin Tirante	4	$46	76	9	+66	Thiago Agustin Tirante	-$27	05-27 12:22
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Baltimore Orioles	3	$46	74	0	+74	Baltimore Orioles	+$1	05-26 23:43
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-28 19:50 UTC	4	$46	60	60	+0	Up	-$3	06-28 19:50
LoL: Team WE vs LNG Esports - Game 4 Winner	5	$45	29	20	+9	Team WE	+$1	05-23 09:19
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs ThunderTalk Gaming - Game 1 Winner	8	$45	41	41	+0	ThunderTalk Gaming	-$2	05-23 11:15

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-07 08:59:12	will hood reach 125 in august 2026	No	BUY	11	86¢	$9	0x78754e…
08-07 06:25:28	will hood reach 125 in august 2026	No	SELL	11	83¢	$9	0xe5b43d…
08-07 06:25:10	will hood reach 125 in august 2026	No	BUY	11	88¢	$9	0xcfe3d1…
08-06 20:07:26	will abnb dip to 128 in august 2026	No	SELL	2	77¢	$1	0xf90a00…
08-06 20:06:24	will abnb dip to 128 in august 2026	No	BUY	2	83¢	$2	0x315928…
08-06 08:15:27	Will there be fewer than 1 North Korea test in August 2026?	No	SELL	10	88¢	$9	0xa3fdb1…
08-06 08:14:27	Will there be fewer than 1 North Korea test in August 2026?	No	BUY	10	92¢	$9	0x81cd80…
08-05 21:45:45	Will "DTF St. Louis" win 0 or 1 awards at the Emmys?	Yes	SELL	3	97¢	$3	0xacfe65…
08-05 21:45:42	will there be at least 15000 cyclosporiasis cases in the uptspt by august 31 2026 20260727151618910	Yes	SELL	9	50¢	$4	0x655cd0…
08-05 21:44:39	will there be at least 15000 cyclosporiasis cases in the uptspt by august 31 2026 20260727151618910	Yes	BUY	9	91¢	$8	0xf10cc8…
08-04 07:28:51	Will "DTF St. Louis" win 2 or 3 awards at the Emmys?	No	SELL	5	86¢	$4	0x8d2922…
08-04 07:27:45	Will "DTF St. Louis" win 2 or 3 awards at the Emmys?	No	BUY	5	88¢	$5	0xd21d9e…
08-04 07:27:02	Will "DTF St. Louis" win 0 or 1 awards at the Emmys?	Yes	BUY	3	83¢	$3	0x0cd637…
08-04 07:10:33	Will "DTF St. Louis" win 0 or 1 awards at the Emmys?	Yes	SELL	6	78¢	$5	0x3ca2c6…
08-04 07:10:30	will spy dip to 690 in august 2026	Yes	SELL	95	7¢	$7	0x5c9c24…
08-04 07:09:51	Will "DTF St. Louis" win 0 or 1 awards at the Emmys?	Yes	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0x5b819b…
08-02 16:30:36	will spy dip to 690 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	95	10¢	$10	0x1ac51c…
08-02 00:09:24	will spy dip to 690 in august 2026	Yes	SELL	87	10¢	$8	0x827104…
08-02 00:06:48	will spy dip to 690 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	87	11¢	$10	0xe58a2f…
08-01 19:09:02	will spy dip to 670 in august 2026	Yes	SELL	124	2¢	$2	0x5933f1…
08-01 19:06:30	will spy dip to 670 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	124	7¢	$9	0x48e003…
08-01 18:32:35	will spy reach 770 in august 2026	Yes	SELL	9	24¢	$2	0x13ebda…
08-01 18:31:54	will spy reach 770 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	9	26¢	$2	0x9343b0…
08-01 18:23:26	will nvda dip to 176 in august 2026	Yes	SELL	37	25¢	$9	0xb92ff0…
08-01 18:22:11	will nvda dip to 176 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	37	26¢	$10	0x9101ce…
07-29 18:49:33	will warsh say progress during july press conference 20260728013633262	Yes	SELL	0	94¢	$0	0x1067e3…
07-29 18:49:15	will warsh say progress during july press conference 20260728013633262	Yes	SELL	2	94¢	$2	0x8882a8…
07-29 18:48:53	will warsh say progress during july press conference 20260728013633262	Yes	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0x55e064…
07-28 14:06:28	NYSE marketwide circuit breaker before 2027?	No	SELL	4	83¢	$3	0x2a9c95…
07-28 14:04:04	NYSE marketwide circuit breaker before 2027?	No	BUY	4	85¢	$3	0x257132…
07-23 15:40:37	will leavitt say president 40 times during the next white house press briefing 20260723134130084	Yes	SELL	0	98¢	$0	0xccae51…
07-23 15:40:15	will leavitt say president 40 times during the next white house press briefing 20260723134130084	Yes	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0xc4ca31…
07-23 15:39:52	will leavitt say president 40 times during the next white house press briefing 20260723134130084	Yes	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0x53c93f…
07-22 20:44:10	will trump say landslide this week 20260719005322448	Yes	SELL	2	94¢	$2	0x59765c…
07-22 20:42:48	will trump say landslide this week 20260719005322448	Yes	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0xf403fa…
07-22 19:57:03	will trump say egg this week 20260719005322437	Yes	SELL	2	52¢	$1	0xcc982c…
07-22 19:55:58	will trump say egg this week 20260719005322437	Yes	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0xd4d37c…
07-22 14:40:25	will msft dip to 360 in july 2026	Yes	SELL	41	24¢	$10	0x6472cc…
07-22 14:39:40	will msft dip to 360 in july 2026	Yes	BUY	41	24¢	$10	0x5d0a4f…
07-22 11:17:27	spcx above 130 on july 31 2026	No	SELL	8	41¢	$3	0xc64a16…
07-22 11:14:31	spcx above 130 on july 31 2026	No	BUY	8	46¢	$4	0x5b8aad…
07-18 06:58:30	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on July 18?	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0xeeafa6…
07-18 06:57:28	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on July 18?	No	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0xf58bce…
07-17 16:45:24	atp doubles reynwat politro 2026 07 17 match total 23pt5	Under	SELL	10	81¢	$8	0x061536…
07-17 16:44:34	atp doubles reynwat politro 2026 07 17 match total 23pt5	Under	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x711cbc…
07-17 13:07:19	will msft reach 450 in july 2026	Yes	SELL	18	11¢	$2	0xec1d63…
07-17 13:06:58	will msft reach 450 in july 2026	Yes	BUY	18	11¢	$2	0xb6ed5b…
07-17 06:22:34	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on July 17?	Yes	SELL	2	94¢	$2	0xf2c007…
07-17 06:19:33	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on July 17?	Yes	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0xbc7646…
07-17 05:43:12	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C on July 17?	Yes	SELL	15	66¢	$10	0xc5be7e…
07-17 05:43:09	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on July 17?	No	SELL	10	97¢	$10	0x92ca0f…
07-17 05:42:00	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C on July 17?	Yes	BUY	15	67¢	$10	0xd27352…
07-17 04:05:42	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on July 17?	No	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0xfb31dc…
07-16 14:13:29	Kadyrov out as Head of the Chechen Republic by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	11	85¢	$10	0x42fa26…
07-16 14:12:16	Kadyrov out as Head of the Chechen Republic by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	11	87¢	$10	0x4ba61b…
07-16 08:46:23	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	2	75¢	$1	0x4e2f09…
07-16 08:46:22	will abnb dip to 120 in july 2026	Yes	SELL	127	0¢	$0	0x3c5aa9…
07-16 08:46:19	will starmer officially leave office by july 31 20260622151504654	Yes	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0x2dd6b0…
07-16 08:46:16	will open dip to 3 00 in july 2026	Yes	SELL	95	0¢	$0	0x47e7ca…
07-16 08:46:13	will the grand theft auto vi ps5 launch price be at least 70 20260618224014045	Yes	SELL	2	97¢	$2	0xda5180…
07-16 08:46:08	will hood dip to 80 in july 2026	Yes	SELL	29	5¢	$1	0x8ad354…
07-16 08:46:05	will amzn dip to 200 in july 2026	Yes	SELL	69	2¢	$1	0x4d718b…
07-16 08:46:02	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	4	90¢	$3	0xe58d68…
07-16 08:45:59	Will Ethereum reach $5,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	4	96¢	$3	0xe5833b…
07-16 08:45:56	Will Hyperliquid reach $80 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	12	25¢	$3	0x241fe3…
07-16 08:45:53	will openais valuation hit high 3pt0t by december 31 688 311	No	SELL	6	94¢	$5	0xbc6b9d…
07-16 08:45:49	Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?	No	SELL	6	98¢	$6	0xb69b24…
07-16 08:45:46	will a uk social media ban take effect by december 31 2026 20260616193018844	No	SELL	7	89¢	$6	0x292dd1…
07-16 08:45:43	Will Ethereum reach $6,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	10	97¢	$9	0xbb74c6…
07-16 08:45:40	Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	12	97¢	$12	0x7ec059…
07-16 08:45:29	Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	SELL	13	99¢	$13	0x91571f…
07-16 08:45:26	GRVT FDV above $500M one day after launch?	No	SELL	18	65¢	$12	0xf7c247…
07-16 08:45:23	Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	17	96¢	$16	0x1b7e9b…
07-16 08:45:20	will ukraine recapture crimean territory by december 31 2026	No	SELL	24	89¢	$21	0xd6b2f7…
07-16 08:42:25	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	14	96¢	$14	0xd6adf5…
07-16 08:42:20	will spy dip to 690 in july 2026	Yes	SELL	11	2¢	$0	0xed2e5f…
07-16 08:42:11	will abnb dip to 120 in july 2026	Yes	SELL	55	0¢	$0	0x5b1b8b…
07-16 08:42:05	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	5	90¢	$4	0x1b58e5…
07-03 04:57:01	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5	89¢	$4	0xfca86e…
07-02 16:49:58	will hood dip to 80 in july 2026	Yes	SELL	15	13¢	$2	0x274dd8…
07-02 14:29:47	will open dip to 3 00 in july 2026	Yes	BUY	95	11¢	$11	0x56da4f…
07-02 13:40:14	will spy dip to 690 in july 2026	Yes	BUY	11	11¢	$1	0x38fcf4…
07-02 11:08:02	will the catholic church publicly excommunicate anyone in 2026 20260630195252800	Yes	SELL	0	98¢	$0	0xa62efc…
07-02 09:47:13	will hood dip to 80 in july 2026	Yes	BUY	44	14¢	$6	0x428ac4…
07-02 09:15:59	will the catholic church publicly excommunicate anyone in 2026 20260630195252800	Yes	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x0f9850…
07-02 05:45:38	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on July 2?	Yes	SELL	6	75¢	$5	0x4b5b03…
07-02 05:37:02	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on July 2?	Yes	SELL	0	81¢	$0	0x024517…
07-02 05:33:07	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on July 2?	Yes	SELL	0	68¢	$0	0x5f78a4…
07-02 05:32:44	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on July 2?	Yes	SELL	3	85¢	$3	0x1456c5…
07-02 05:03:01	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on July 2?	Yes	BUY	10	78¢	$8	0x65c9c2…
07-02 00:01:23	will abnb dip to 120 in july 2026	Yes	BUY	43	9¢	$4	0xdc9594…
07-01 20:45:47	will abnb dip to 120 in july 2026	Yes	BUY	139	8¢	$11	0x16a9cf…
07-01 19:53:47	will amzn dip to 200 in july 2026	Yes	BUY	10	11¢	$1	0x1014f3…
07-01 18:58:08	will amzn dip to 200 in july 2026	Yes	SELL	25	9¢	$2	0xbbff15…
07-01 13:17:28	over 40m committed to the laso finance public sale 638	Yes	BUY	20	60¢	$12	0x835dd8…
07-01 13:09:29	over 35m committed to the laso finance public sale 555 417	Yes	BUY	2	70¢	$1	0xa1e0d1…
07-01 13:03:47	will amzn dip to 200 in july 2026	Yes	BUY	84	14¢	$12	0x78e2dc…
07-01 10:52:28	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	10	86¢	$9	0x6b950b…
07-01 10:20:11	lol t1 tl2 2026 07 01 game3	T1	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x2f6a61…
07-01 10:20:02	lol t1 tl2 2026 07 01 game3	T1	SELL	7	96¢	$7	0xb6df53…