(anonymous) 0xd03143…7046b1
whale cold
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$8.21K
Unrealized P&L
-$1.69K
Hit rate
87.6%
Resolved
61
Trades
772
lifetime
Volume
$234.6K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$304
Open exposure
$23.6K
16 positions
First seen
2026-06-12
last 10-27 18:14
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 36 days
Categories
Politics
50% 72% -$8,328
Other
34% 72% +$879
Sports
11% 80% -$879
Tech
4% 67% +$117
Crypto
1% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
47 active days in 12wk • peak 19 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2026? No +5,633 $4,834 95¢ $5.3K +$509 09-08 21:31
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +4,074 $3,287 82¢ $3.4K +$74 10-14 09:23
Will there be at least 12500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? No +2,595 $2,493 95¢ $2.5K -$20 09-01 16:37
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? Yes +3,200 $2,615 70¢ $2.2K -$375 10-13 09:40
Will there be at least 10000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? No +2,388 $2,274 93¢ $2.2K -$43 09-09 20:08
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? Yes +3,178 $2,066 70¢ $2.2K +$142 10-23 20:45
Will there be at least 7500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? No +2,293 $2,078 81¢ $1.9K -$220 09-06 22:53
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? No +1,562 $1,000 70¢ $1.1K +$86 10-21 18:45
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? No +831 $733 97¢ $804 +$71 09-27 12:15
Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026? Yes +701 $493 88¢ $613 +$120 10-21 20:47
Will there be at least 5000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? Yes +626 $352 98¢ $613 +$261 09-07 00:17
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026? Yes +1,000 $300 36¢ $365 +$65 08-24 07:19
OpenAI IPO before 2027? No +179 $150 97¢ $173 +$23 09-02 12:21
next fable model 5pt2 released by october 31 2026 Yes +3,009 $2,533 5¢ $149 -$2,384 10-16 22:57
Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +3,259 $72 2¢ $72 +$0 10-27 18:14
Applied Intuition IPO before 2027? No +61 $57 97¢ $58 +$2 09-07 00:42