Realized P&L
-$214
Unrealized P&L
+$3
Hit rate
73.4%
Resolved
198
Trades
447
lifetime
Volume
$15.3K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$34
Open exposure
$449
15 positions
First seen
2026-01-03
last 08-03 13:20
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 103 days
Categories
Other
48% 52% -$318
Crypto
21% 77% -$83
Politics
21% 46% -$328
Tech
5% 67% +$243
Sports
5% 56% +$272
Activity
No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-08-03).
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Yes +100 $74 97¢ $97 +$23 07-05 06:35
Jeffrey Epstein foul play confirmed by December 31, 2026? No -78 -$73 98¢ $-77 -$4 05-20 03:40
Discord IPO before 2027? No +50 $27 94¢ $47 +$20 07-06 10:10
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Yes +40 $28 100¢ $40 +$12 07-04 21:46
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +100 $39 38¢ $38 -$1 07-05 22:46
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? No +50 $33 76¢ $38 +$5 07-08 14:39
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? Yes +50 $6 44¢ $22 +$16 07-08 15:56
Predict.fun FDV above $200M one day after launch? Yes +20 $16 99¢ $20 +$4 06-27 04:35
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31? No +20 $16 95¢ $19 +$3 05-24 10:19
Will Utah use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections? Yes +20 $14 94¢ $19 +$5 05-01 16:15
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House No +50 $28 30¢ $15 -$13 07-08 19:44
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No +10 $7 84¢ $8 +$1 06-01 10:48
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +50 $9 12¢ $6 -$3 06-27 11:51
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026? Yes +100 $43 3¢ $3 -$40 06-26 19:14
will anthropic ipo by october 31 2026 Yes +50 $26 0¢ $0 -$26 06-16 12:34