Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$201

Unrealized P&L

+$20

Hit rate

18.2%

Resolved

Trades

242

lifetime

Volume

$7.84K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$32

Open exposure

$147

3 positions

First seen

2026-01-03

last 06-02 03:41

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 9 days

Categories

Crypto

42% — —

Other

40% 50% $-51

Politics

12% 50% $-150

Tech

6% — —

Sports

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

34 active days in 12wk • peak 24 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will SpaceX IPO by June 15, 2026?	Yes	+138	$112	99¢	$136	+$24	05-28 20:50
Will Coldplay perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?	No	+20	$12	54¢	$11	$-1	06-02 00:12
Will SpaceX IPO by September 30, 2026?	No	+150	$3	0¢	$0	$-3	05-28 21:29

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
bitcoin above 62k on february 23	2	$791	400	400	+0	open	—	02-23 17:04
bitcoin above 94k on january 21	1	$700	701	0	+701	open	—	01-21 05:15
bitcoin above 72k on february 13	1	$400	400	0	+400	open	—	02-13 16:35
bitcoin above 100k on january 16	1	$400	401	0	+401	open	—	01-16 05:08
bitcoin above 98k on january 20	1	$300	300	0	+300	open	—	01-20 02:58
Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?	2	$226	200	200	+0	Yes	$-98	04-29 18:38
amzn close above 210 on february 25 2026	8	$223	200	200	+0	open	—	02-25 19:06
bitcoin above 92k on january 8	1	$200	201	0	+201	open	—	01-08 14:27
bitcoin above 98k on january 13	1	$200	200	0	+200	open	—	01-13 08:16
spx opens up or down on march 5 2026	2	$198	200	200	+0	open	—	03-05 12:20
qatarenergy resumes lng production by march 14	3	$168	200	0	+200	open	—	03-05 17:51
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy explode?	3	$156	200	0	+200	open	—	05-20 07:04
will there be 1820 inches of snow in nyc this weekend	6	$132	169	169	+0	open	—	02-23 14:53
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?	2	$131	200	200	+0	open	—	02-28 16:03
Will SpaceX IPO by June 15, 2026?	6	$112	138	0	+138	open	—	05-28 20:50
will the price of bitcoin be between 96000 98000 on january 15	1	$100	104	0	+104	open	—	01-15 16:41
will there be 1618 inches of snow in nyc this weekend	4	$98	50	50	+0	open	—	02-23 15:20
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	1	$93	200	0	+200	open	—	05-28 17:46
will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	1	$88	100	0	+100	open	—	03-15 16:00
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on April 24?	3	$86	100	100	+0	open	—	04-24 08:59
kharg island no longer under iranian control by march 31	1	$86	100	0	+100	open	—	03-20 09:49
will monthly inflation increase by 0pt8 or more in march 692	2	$83	100	0	+100	open	—	03-27 20:55
Will US GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 1.5% and 2.0%?	10	$81	100	0	+100	open	—	04-15 21:06
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 22?	13	$80	200	0	+200	open	—	05-20 13:40
will there be 20 or more inches of snow in nyc this weekend	6	$78	100	100	+0	open	—	02-23 14:44
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $755 on June 1?	1	$78	100	0	+100	open	—	06-01 13:12
will there be at least 1600 measles cases in the us by march 31 2026 795 942	3	$75	50	50	+0	open	—	03-28 09:13
will annual inflation increase by 3pt2 in march	1	$73	100	0	+100	open	—	03-16 16:05
will crude oil cl hit high 110 by end of march 732 945 787 552	1	$67	100	0	+100	open	—	03-15 16:22
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $90 on June 1?	1	$64	100	0	+100	open	—	06-01 10:14

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-02 03:41:54	GPT-5.6 released by June 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	63¢	$32	0xb03de8…
06-02 00:12:06	Will Coldplay perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?	No	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x8c9931…
06-01 19:13:35	Will Coldplay perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?	No	BUY	18	60¢	$11	0x90d611…
06-01 14:37:57	US x China tariff agreement by December 31?	Yes	BUY	50	76¢	$38	0x5e3377…
06-01 13:12:19	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $755 on June 1?	Yes	BUY	100	78¢	$78	0xc1a756…
06-01 12:30:19	Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $100 in June?	Yes	BUY	50	70¢	$35	0x68da65…
06-01 12:29:48	Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $105 in June?	Yes	BUY	50	55¢	$28	0xced3c6…
06-01 10:14:31	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $90 on June 1?	Yes	BUY	100	64¢	$64	0x9ed7c8…
06-01 10:00:49	Will President Trump attend the NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	20	59¢	$12	0x725472…
06-01 09:41:18	Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase May 26-June 1?	No	BUY	43	42¢	$18	0x956ccf…
06-01 09:36:45	Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase May 26-June 1?	No	BUY	7	42¢	$3	0x5062b9…
05-28 21:29:03	Will SpaceX IPO by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	150	2¢	$3	0x79975a…
05-28 20:50:17	Will SpaceX IPO by June 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	53	81¢	$43	0x021538…
05-28 19:36:54	Will SpaceX IPO by June 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0x35775d…
05-28 18:11:58	Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-1.5)	Arsenal FC	BUY	20	78¢	$16	0x2c2e05…
05-28 17:46:10	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	200	46¢	$93	0x139b91…
05-28 17:31:14	Will SpaceX IPO by June 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	81¢	$16	0xbf88a0…
05-28 17:14:06	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $80 in May?	No	BUY	13	86¢	$11	0x8860ff…
05-28 17:03:35	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $755 on May 28?	No	BUY	100	54¢	$54	0x3601cd…
05-28 16:57:03	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $80 in May?	No	BUY	37	86¢	$32	0x6de486…
05-28 12:37:00	Will SpaceX IPO by June 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	47	81¢	$38	0x4befd7…
05-28 11:46:34	Will SpaceX IPO by June 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	81¢	$6	0x49c018…
05-28 10:24:29	Will SpaceX IPO by June 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0x366acc…
05-23 03:34:20	Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by May 31?	Yes	BUY	8	69¢	$5	0x1837a7…
05-23 03:24:29	Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by May 31?	Yes	BUY	12	69¢	$8	0x2f1de9…
05-21 12:15:24	wsm quarterly earnings gaap eps 05 28 2026 1pt8	Yes	BUY	7	86¢	$6	0x3edb8f…
05-20 14:39:26	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,650 in May?	No	BUY	50	65¢	$32	0x6382b7…
05-20 13:49:35	Will Frontline (FRO) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	20	90¢	$18	0xa9b1c2…
05-20 13:40:49	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 22?	Yes	BUY	24	40¢	$10	0xb06afc…
05-20 13:39:05	Will Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $304 in May?	Yes	BUY	6	59¢	$4	0x8ca3bf…
05-20 12:48:24	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $82 in May?	No	BUY	38	74¢	$28	0x7e136b…
05-20 12:23:10	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 22?	Yes	BUY	14	40¢	$6	0x62af9b…
05-20 11:37:10	Will Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $304 in May?	Yes	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0x660906…
05-20 09:58:20	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 22?	Yes	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x9daf99…
05-20 09:27:12	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $82 in May?	No	BUY	12	74¢	$9	0x7ef306…
05-20 09:18:19	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 22?	Yes	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x0892c5…
05-20 09:08:15	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 22?	Yes	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x4bab43…
05-20 09:07:59	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 22?	Yes	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0xbf3eee…
05-20 08:58:16	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 22?	Yes	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x2b6903…
05-20 08:50:13	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 22?	Yes	BUY	59	40¢	$24	0xc6e688…
05-20 08:48:09	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 22?	Yes	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0xe96bac…
05-20 08:34:13	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 22?	Yes	BUY	88	40¢	$35	0x8df7f4…
05-20 08:18:24	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 22?	Yes	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x755d97…
05-20 08:08:13	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 22?	Yes	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x0c1227…
05-20 08:07:58	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 22?	Yes	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x1ff94e…
05-20 07:04:35	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy explode?	Yes	BUY	32	78¢	$25	0xf1ec39…
05-20 07:04:03	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy explode?	Yes	BUY	113	78¢	$88	0x83e1b0…
05-20 04:51:47	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy explode?	Yes	BUY	55	78¢	$43	0xb4ef20…
05-20 03:13:03	Will "Star Wars: The Mandalorian and Grogu" score at least 60 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	Yes	BUY	50	45¢	$22	0x5bb73a…
05-20 03:11:52	Will "Star Wars: The Mandalorian and Grogu" score at least 60 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	Yes	BUY	35	45¢	$16	0x74f619…
05-09 23:30:49	Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	Yes	BUY	20	45¢	$9	0xc298d5…
05-02 00:43:44	Nothing Ever Happens: May	Nothing	BUY	20	75¢	$15	0x6553de…
05-01 23:17:14	Will the next Google Gemini model debut at a score of at least 1480?	Yes	BUY	20	83¢	$17	0x1fe5e3…
05-01 19:32:18	Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping in May 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	77¢	$1	0x00ba92…
05-01 19:25:28	Nothing Ever Happens: May	Nothing	BUY	4	75¢	$3	0x05d194…
05-01 17:49:22	Nothing Ever Happens: May	Nothing	BUY	10	75¢	$8	0xddbf10…
05-01 16:50:36	Will Zendaya be on Vogue's Best-Dressed list?	Yes	BUY	20	58¢	$12	0x244e66…
04-29 18:38:38	Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?	No	SELL	200	32¢	$64	0xdb1fe7…
04-26 13:49:32	Will Tulsi Gabbard be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?	Yes	BUY	3	52¢	$1	0xf10048…
04-26 00:17:10	Will Tulsi Gabbard be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?	Yes	BUY	16	52¢	$8	0xa176fb…
04-25 00:11:10	Will Tulsi Gabbard be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?	Yes	BUY	1	52¢	$1	0x165d2a…
04-24 11:10:36	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $96 on April 24?	Yes	BUY	100	49¢	$49	0x0438c7…
04-24 11:08:06	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $95 on April 24?	Yes	BUY	100	61¢	$61	0x7e7981…
04-24 08:59:00	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on April 24?	Down	SELL	100	41¢	$41	0x06c359…
04-24 08:33:02	Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" 4th Weekend Box Office be greater than 20.5m?	Yes	BUY	50	62¢	$31	0x144c74…
04-24 08:21:20	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $710 on April 24?	No	BUY	45	56¢	$25	0x5e2e75…
04-24 08:21:16	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $710 on April 24?	No	BUY	55	56¢	$31	0xda9a6e…
04-24 05:26:16	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on April 24?	Down	BUY	98	45¢	$44	0xccff2a…
04-24 05:25:58	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on April 24?	Down	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x1c28fd…
04-23 08:35:52	Uber # of trips above 3.8B in Q1?	Yes	BUY	2	11¢	$0	0xf711da…
04-22 10:55:26	FDA approves Sanofi’s Subcutaneous Sarclisa?	Yes	BUY	40	76¢	$30	0xad777d…
04-21 16:42:06	Will US GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 1.0% and 1.5%?	Yes	BUY	0	16¢	$0	0x2d45ea…
04-21 16:37:46	Will US GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 1.0% and 1.5%?	Yes	BUY	9	16¢	$1	0x0217c6…
04-21 16:37:42	Will US GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 1.0% and 1.5%?	Yes	BUY	9	16¢	$1	0x422d5e…
04-21 16:31:06	Will US GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 1.0% and 1.5%?	Yes	BUY	63	16¢	$10	0xf4c9fd…
04-21 14:29:16	Uber # of trips above 3.8B in Q1?	Yes	BUY	53	11¢	$6	0x237902…
04-21 14:27:16	Will US GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 1.0% and 1.5%?	Yes	BUY	19	16¢	$3	0x7c1af8…
04-20 18:26:34	fda approves grace therapeutics gtx 104	Yes	BUY	40	83¢	$33	0x092dcd…
04-20 00:17:34	FDA approves a psychedelic for medical use in 2026?	Yes	BUY	40	65¢	$26	0x2eb4fa…
04-19 16:26:02	Will Caroline Woodley win the 2026 London Borough of Hackney mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	0	35¢	$0	0xccda66…
04-19 16:26:00	Will Caroline Woodley win the 2026 London Borough of Hackney mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	8	35¢	$3	0xd2e1c3…
04-19 16:26:00	Will Caroline Woodley win the 2026 London Borough of Hackney mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	10	35¢	$4	0x5ec139…
04-19 16:26:00	Will Caroline Woodley win the 2026 London Borough of Hackney mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	20	35¢	$7	0x3d497d…
04-19 16:24:40	Will Caroline Woodley win the 2026 London Borough of Hackney mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	2	35¢	$1	0xdd902d…
04-19 14:56:40	Trump drops Powell investigation before Warsh is confirmed?	No	BUY	40	38¢	$15	0x8a6b48…
04-19 14:01:30	Uber # of trips above 3.8B in Q1?	Yes	BUY	45	11¢	$5	0xcd42f0…
04-19 13:04:02	Will Lutfur Rahman win the 2026 London Borough of Tower Hamlets mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	15	74¢	$11	0x2470f4…
04-18 12:37:50	Will Steve Witkoff have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?	Yes	BUY	18	81¢	$15	0xafc979…
04-17 13:37:20	Will Encore Medical not IPO before June 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	35¢	$18	0x49eda4…
04-16 19:40:02	Will BW Industrial Holdings not IPO before June 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	17¢	$1	0x3fec21…
04-16 18:02:16	Will BW Industrial Holdings not IPO before June 2026?	Yes	BUY	25	17¢	$4	0xa0fa99…
04-16 17:23:58	Will J.D. Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?	Yes	BUY	20	74¢	$15	0xea1db0…
04-16 17:07:14	Will Steve Witkoff have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?	Yes	BUY	22	81¢	$18	0x9f3206…
04-15 21:06:08	Will US GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 1.5% and 2.0%?	No	BUY	40	81¢	$32	0x5582e3…
04-15 21:05:58	Will US GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 1.5% and 2.0%?	No	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0x34f66f…
04-15 20:32:42	Will US GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 1.5% and 2.0%?	No	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0x486d3d…
04-15 14:26:42	Will US GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 1.5% and 2.0%?	No	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0x68c424…
04-15 14:26:42	Will US GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 1.5% and 2.0%?	No	BUY	17	81¢	$14	0x4bc908…
04-15 13:01:46	Will US GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 1.5% and 2.0%?	No	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0x0a5e5d…
04-14 22:33:42	Will US GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 1.5% and 2.0%?	No	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0x6a55ea…