Windy-Western — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$70

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

52.4%

Resolved

186

Trades

2,714

lifetime

Volume

$7.53K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-09

last 05-16 16:34

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 6 days

Categories

Crypto

74% 48% +$70

Other

22% — —

Sports

2% — —

Politics

2% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

15 active days in 12wk • peak 951 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (9) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	1	$1000	6,457	0	+6,457	open	—	03-09 22:45
will reza pahlavi enter iran by march 31 282	2	$142	5,224	5,224	+0	open	—	03-23 04:08
btc updown 5m 1776307500	117	$117	40,629	0	+40,629	open	—	04-16 02:50
atp borges etcheve 2026 04 15	12	$78	79	53	+27	open	—	04-15 14:00
btc updown 5m 1776299400	73	$73	5,510	0	+5,510	open	—	04-16 00:35
btc updown 5m 1776301200	70	$70	3,515	0	+3,515	open	—	04-16 01:04
wta oliynyk tagger 2026 04 13	9	$59	54	43	+11	open	—	04-15 13:00
atp villanu bueno 2026 04 13	21	$59	199	61	+138	open	—	04-14 21:49
lol vks los 2026 04 14 game1	9	$57	124	37	+87	open	—	04-14 21:51
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 in April?	3	$52	15,528	0	+15,528	open	—	04-18 06:39
ucl bay1 rma1 2026 04 15 draw	8	$52	47	26	+21	open	—	04-15 22:30
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in April?	3	$50	6,597	0	+6,597	open	—	04-18 06:38
Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in April?	3	$50	7,748	0	+7,748	open	—	04-18 06:39
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in April?	3	$50	3,003	0	+3,003	open	—	04-18 06:39
btc updown 5m 1776308400	47	$47	3,228	0	+3,228	open	—	04-16 03:05
ucl ars spo1 2026 04 15 ars	5	$45	32	32	+1	open	—	04-15 22:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	2	$42	73	0	+73	Down	$-3	05-10 08:38
Will Bitcoin reach $88,000 May 4-10?	2	$39	42	0	+42	No	+$3	05-05 02:50
mlb nym lad 2026 04 15	2	$38	8	54	-46	open	—	04-15 22:43
sud rac bot 2026 04 15 rac	6	$36	39	39	+1	open	—	04-15 22:36
atp fuente villalo 2026 04 14	11	$35	67	16	+51	open	—	04-14 22:09
btc updown 5m 1776306300	34	$34	1,667	0	+1,667	open	—	04-16 02:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	6	$30	139	0	+139	Up	+$22	05-14 04:44
Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	6	$30	81	0	+81	Up	$-20	05-14 00:57
Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	6	$29	119	0	+119	Down	$-21	05-14 02:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	6	$29	73	0	+73	Up	$-20	05-14 01:14
Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	6	$29	93	0	+93	Up	+$32	05-14 02:59
Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	6	$29	73	0	+73	Down	+$7	05-14 01:13
wta boulter cristia 2026 04 15	6	$28	44	9	+35	open	—	04-15 22:30
Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	7	$25	60	0	+60	Up	+$10	05-14 02:29

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-16 16:34:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Down	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x84ba12…
05-16 16:33:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Down	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x3e5ebe…
05-16 16:33:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Up	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x5d848b…
05-16 15:56:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x3f477c…
05-16 15:19:07	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Up	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0xd2112e…
05-16 15:18:55	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x9e4743…
05-16 15:18:38	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x66daf8…
05-16 15:18:34	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	23¢	$1	0x552f09…
05-16 15:18:32	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0xae88f6…
05-16 15:13:28	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x4a2aaf…
05-16 15:13:05	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	23¢	$1	0x2fa9ed…
05-16 14:28:47	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xf3aa15…
05-16 14:28:36	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x4b5267…
05-16 14:28:36	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x0242c2…
05-16 14:28:35	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0xaa4e02…
05-16 14:28:31	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0xe06ecd…
05-16 14:23:30	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Down	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xce9547…
05-16 14:23:28	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Down	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x124237…
05-16 14:23:25	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Down	BUY	4	29¢	$1	0x3d3d26…
05-16 14:23:21	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Down	BUY	4	29¢	$1	0xa7dc66…
05-16 14:23:21	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Down	BUY	4	29¢	$1	0x735e3b…
05-16 14:13:53	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	4	29¢	$1	0xc5b875…
05-16 14:13:51	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x08bcd8…
05-16 14:13:16	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x56a4d9…
05-16 14:08:48	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	BUY	7	16¢	$1	0x2cd2aa…
05-16 14:08:46	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x1e1122…
05-16 14:08:08	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x7a9d53…
05-16 14:03:24	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x8b2837…
05-16 14:03:23	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x8dd3e5…
05-16 14:03:17	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xb6b5d0…
05-16 14:03:03	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Up	BUY	6	19¢	$1	0xa5a65f…
05-16 14:01:18	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x6ef8cf…
05-16 12:58:27	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 8AM ET	Down	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x679ab8…
05-16 12:58:24	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 8AM ET	Down	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x45f1f7…
05-16 12:58:15	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 8AM ET	Down	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x658f3f…
05-16 12:58:15	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 8AM ET	Down	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x28fee2…
05-16 12:58:13	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 8AM ET	Down	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xec008a…
05-16 12:58:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x87c82d…
05-16 12:48:11	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	23¢	$1	0xf9076c…
05-16 12:48:09	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	23¢	$1	0xe95792…
05-16 12:48:08	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	23¢	$1	0xae453a…
05-16 12:48:06	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	23¢	$1	0x979bd8…
05-16 12:48:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Down	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x0eb25d…
05-16 12:39:14	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Up	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x4e6868…
05-16 12:39:10	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Up	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0xdea7db…
05-16 12:38:58	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Up	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0xe3f1ae…
05-16 12:38:55	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Up	BUY	4	29¢	$1	0x776351…
05-16 12:14:25	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	23¢	$1	0x6d1847…
05-16 12:14:02	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x18fc08…
05-16 12:14:00	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x5a4fab…
05-16 12:13:41	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x2c7e80…
05-16 12:13:08	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x6747f8…
05-16 12:12:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x66ca91…
05-16 12:11:40	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x2ef6d4…
05-16 12:11:37	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0xa011d7…
05-16 12:08:19	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Up	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x3b738a…
05-16 12:08:17	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Up	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0xdaf826…
05-16 12:08:15	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Up	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0xf96a3b…
05-16 12:02:39	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Up	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0xa8a008…
05-16 12:02:38	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Up	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0xb00279…
05-16 11:48:34	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x5da6e7…
05-16 11:48:22	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	23¢	$1	0x9c759d…
05-16 11:48:08	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Up	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x889939…
05-16 11:48:06	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Up	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0xf2ae79…
05-16 11:48:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Up	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x8808ec…
05-16 11:43:51	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x4cb403…
05-16 11:43:42	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x0715a9…
05-16 11:43:38	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xe15abe…
05-16 11:43:12	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	6	19¢	$1	0x9be35c…
05-16 11:43:09	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x3c74b8…
05-16 11:28:41	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	4	29¢	$1	0x4e2cd8…
05-16 11:23:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xc46e28…
05-16 11:18:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Down	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x67a11d…
05-16 11:14:39	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Down	BUY	6	20¢	$1	0xfd16c2…
05-16 11:13:50	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x2af29d…
05-16 11:13:48	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	23¢	$1	0xa94d93…
05-16 11:13:36	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0xf61b84…
05-16 11:13:18	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Down	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x84c5b6…
05-16 11:08:38	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Up	BUY	4	29¢	$1	0xe0b679…
05-16 10:23:43	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Up	BUY	4	31¢	$1	0x1167a0…
05-16 10:23:28	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Up	BUY	4	29¢	$1	0x4b3aeb…
05-16 10:17:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Down	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x9425bb…
05-16 10:14:08	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x9212ef…
05-16 10:13:29	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	4	31¢	$1	0xccd907…
05-16 09:48:26	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Down	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x589d5a…
05-16 09:48:24	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Down	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0xd09d64…
05-16 09:39:27	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	26¢	$1	0xa973ab…
05-16 09:38:15	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Up	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x28f6b3…
05-16 09:29:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x78b83c…
05-16 09:28:31	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0xa71986…
05-16 09:28:20	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0xcb2d43…
05-16 09:28:18	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x3006df…
05-16 09:09:17	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	23¢	$1	0x456ac9…
05-16 09:03:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Up	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x544379…
05-16 08:57:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0xd6da64…
05-16 08:56:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x8e3fc5…
05-16 08:56:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x47b3ff…
05-16 08:46:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xba764e…
05-16 08:43:30	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	6	19¢	$1	0xc72871…
05-16 08:43:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0xb77f43…