(anonymous) 0xd14d3c…6a8405
cold
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$1.36K
Unrealized P&L
-$36
Hit rate
80.9%
Resolved
34
Trades
1,269
lifetime
Volume
$82.9K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$65
Open exposure
$71.1K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-29 21:09
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 10 days
Categories
Politics
68% 100% +$6
Sports
23% 45% -$1,362
Other
10% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
42 active days in 12wk • peak 100 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +13,861 $11,676 80¢ $11.2K -$518 10-18 17:36
Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election? No +9,448 $8,121 84¢ $8.0K -$142 10-29 17:45
Will Liverpool win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? No +7,759 $7,380 93¢ $7.2K -$179 10-19 20:53
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? No +7,402 $6,245 82¢ $6.1K -$157 10-29 17:47
Will the Cincinnati Bengals win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +4,744 $4,510 95¢ $4.5K +$5 10-10 04:37
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No +4,907 $3,909 84¢ $4.1K +$198 10-19 09:38
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? No +3,808 $3,572 94¢ $3.6K +$26 10-20 13:04
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026? No +3,278 $3,106 97¢ $3.2K +$82 09-25 17:54
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes +13,535 $2,131 20¢ $2.6K +$508 10-19 20:31
Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026? No +2,801 $2,581 90¢ $2.5K -$53 10-29 19:07
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No +2,142 $1,921 91¢ $1.9K +$20 10-29 17:47
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? No +1,854 $1,727 93¢ $1.7K -$3 10-29 17:46
Will Boston Celtics win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +1,606 $1,509 94¢ $1.5K -$8 10-26 20:25
Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +9,443 $1,382 16¢ $1.5K +$86 10-29 16:36
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No +1,722 $1,463 84¢ $1.5K -$7 10-29 20:54
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No +1,510 $1,433 95¢ $1.4K +$0 09-29 07:09
Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled? Yes +1,434 $1,406 99¢ $1.4K +$16 10-09 07:42
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +7,428 $1,188 18¢ $1.3K +$131 10-29 21:09
Will the Los Angeles Rams win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +1,363 $1,204 94¢ $1.3K +$70 10-16 20:24
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No +965 $910 95¢ $915 +$5 10-20 19:09
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +4,907 $1,006 16¢ $800 -$206 10-15 15:52
Will Liverpool win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? Yes +7,759 $424 7¢ $559 +$135 10-18 01:01
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? No +477 $461 95¢ $454 -$7 10-18 12:25
New pandemic in 2026? No +351 $335 97¢ $339 +$4 10-17 19:16
Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026? Yes +2,744 $226 10¢ $268 +$41 10-28 18:16
Fed emergency rate cut before 2027? No +273 $266 97¢ $264 -$3 09-30 12:10
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +2,673 $277 9¢ $251 -$26 10-29 19:13
Will the Cincinnati Bengals win the 2027 NFL league championship? Yes +4,744 $245 5¢ $230 -$15 10-09 02:00
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31? No +252 $232 90¢ $228 -$4 10-21 18:51
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? Yes +3,808 $248 6¢ $209 -$38 10-19 00:41