Scholarly-Muscatel — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$43

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

87.3%

Resolved

Trades

222

lifetime

Volume

$14.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$64

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-21

last 06-05 20:03

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 48 days

Categories

Other

79% 88% +$33

Crypto

16% 73% +$7

Politics

4% 67% +$2

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-06-05).

Open positions Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	4	$800	401	401	+0	No	+$0	05-17 07:12
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	4	$481	244	244	+0	Yes	+$0	04-23 02:38
will bitcoin reach 100k in march 2026	4	$442	222	222	+0	No	$0	03-28 08:25
us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	2	$400	200	200	+0	No	$0	04-29 09:17
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 46-47°F on May 1?	6	$362	182	182	+0	No	+$0	05-02 01:02
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	2	$360	182	182	+0	No	+$0	04-22 03:47
bitcoin above 80k on april 19	2	$360	180	180	+0	No	$0	04-19 03:46
lowest temperature in seoul on april 23 2026 11c	4	$336	250	100	+150	Yes	+$5	04-23 14:52
highest temperature in seoul on april 11 2026 11c	2	$331	166	166	+0	No	+$0	04-11 08:18
will crude oil cl hit high 200 by end of march 926	3	$321	161	161	+0	No	+$0	03-29 07:25
highest temperature in seattle on april 14 2026 48 49f	2	$302	152	152	+0	No	+$2	04-15 05:59
highest temperature in wellington on april 16 2026 18c	9	$299	150	150	+0	Yes	+$0	04-16 08:12
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?	4	$295	151	151	+0	No	+$2	05-23 05:28
highest temperature in seoul on april 12 2026 16c	2	$290	145	145	+0	No	+$0	04-12 06:15
highest temperature in seattle on april 11 2026 56 57f	9	$246	133	114	+19	No	+$1	04-12 05:40
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in April?	2	$243	122	122	+0	No	+$0	04-20 03:14
Will Backpack launch a token by December 31, 2026?	4	$222	112	112	+0	Yes	+$0	03-05 16:10
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	2	$220	118	118	+0	open	—	05-18 08:27
will bitcoin reach 100k in january 2026	4	$214	113	113	+0	No	+$4	01-28 07:58
highest temperature in tokyo on april 14 2026 20c	14	$206	115	105	+10	No	-$4	04-14 04:15
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $4.0T by December 31?	3	$202	114	114	+0	open	—	05-21 05:27
highest temperature in guangzhou on april 15 2026 31c	7	$202	102	102	+0	Yes	+$2	04-15 10:49
Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in May?	2	$200	101	101	+0	No	+$0	05-17 18:00
Xi Jinping out by June 30?	3	$200	102	102	+0	No	+$0	05-11 02:51
Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 36°C on May 6?	1	$200	200	0	+200	No	+$0	05-06 08:14
Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting be on May 3?	1	$200	200	0	+200	No	+$0	05-02 16:00
will crude oil cl hit high 150 by end of march 138 937 747	2	$200	101	101	+0	No	+$0	03-26 06:35
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 23°C on May 10?	4	$199	100	100	+0	Yes	$0	05-10 08:37
highest temperature in lucknow on april 15 2026 42c	1	$180	180	0	+180	No	+$0	04-15 11:37
highest temperature in london on april 23 2026 13corbelow	1	$180	180	0	+180	No	+$0	04-23 04:25

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-05 20:03:58	Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	86	32¢	$28	0x516a82…
06-05 19:43:43	Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	22	32¢	$7	0xe4ebb9…
06-05 18:56:34	Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	32¢	$32	0x0300c0…
06-04 09:54:31	Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	29	75¢	$21	0x13f393…
05-26 19:22:45	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?	No	SELL	51	98¢	$50	0xef1f81…
05-25 09:34:14	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?	No	BUY	51	98¢	$50	0x651032…
05-23 21:40:20	Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	29	49¢	$14	0x8b36fa…
05-23 13:51:15	Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	105	53¢	$56	0xc1eeab…
05-23 13:20:23	Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in May?	Yes	SELL	64	10¢	$6	0x05a2b2…
05-23 05:35:16	Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in May?	Yes	BUY	64	8¢	$5	0x724fb1…
05-23 05:29:14	Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	208	24¢	$50	0xd94e17…
05-23 05:29:01	Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in May?	Yes	SELL	100	5¢	$5	0x2fbeb3…
05-23 05:28:30	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?	No	SELL	51	99¢	$50	0xdd06f7…
05-21 07:06:05	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?	No	BUY	51	98¢	$50	0x2341d5…
05-21 07:04:38	Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	105	49¢	$51	0x7218e2…
05-21 05:27:44	Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $4.0T by December 31?	No	SELL	14	90¢	$12	0x04422f…
05-21 04:59:30	Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $4.0T by December 31?	No	SELL	100	90¢	$90	0x0cb159…
05-20 08:19:32	Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $4.0T by December 31?	No	BUY	114	88¢	$100	0xd0dc0e…
05-20 08:19:01	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?	No	SELL	100	98¢	$98	0x66cf25…
05-18 09:02:37	Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in May?	Yes	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0x64be7b…
05-18 08:59:24	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?	No	BUY	100	97¢	$97	0xa489aa…
05-18 08:27:16	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	118	93¢	$110	0x74e4d7…
05-17 18:01:18	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	118	93¢	$110	0x082f68…
05-17 18:00:40	Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in May?	No	SELL	101	100¢	$100	0x53f546…
05-17 07:30:59	Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in May?	No	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0xea1557…
05-17 07:12:03	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	SELL	200	100¢	$200	0x82827d…
05-16 09:57:28	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	BUY	200	100¢	$200	0xd45d98…
05-15 17:05:32	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	SELL	200	100¢	$200	0xff2365…
05-13 10:22:57	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	BUY	200	100¢	$200	0x72f18e…
05-13 10:19:55	Will the lowest temperature in London be 7°C on May 13?	No	SELL	6	91¢	$5	0x4620fc…
05-13 09:26:44	Will the lowest temperature in London be 7°C on May 13?	No	BUY	6	91¢	$5	0x523f0d…
05-13 08:31:54	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 35°C on May 13?	No	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0x4519cf…
05-13 08:07:44	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 35°C on May 13?	No	SELL	19	99¢	$19	0xf14db4…
05-13 08:03:46	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 35°C on May 13?	No	BUY	19	98¢	$19	0xd8d73a…
05-13 08:02:57	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 35°C on May 13?	No	SELL	50	99¢	$50	0x53258e…
05-12 09:00:09	Will the lowest temperature in London be 3°C on May 12?	No	BUY	160	100¢	$160	0x2715e9…
05-12 08:39:58	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 15°C or higher on May 12?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x5930e0…
05-12 08:32:09	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 15°C or higher on May 12?	No	SELL	50	98¢	$49	0xee61b9…
05-12 08:04:11	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 15°C or higher on May 12?	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x8bf524…
05-12 08:02:21	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 15°C or higher on May 12?	No	SELL	0	98¢	$0	0x7b6b80…
05-12 07:43:58	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 15°C or higher on May 12?	No	BUY	48	95¢	$45	0x58bb3f…
05-11 04:35:04	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 18°C on May 11?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x3e3d89…
05-11 04:33:28	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 15°C on May 11?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x66f3ba…
05-11 02:51:14	Xi Jinping out by June 30?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xebf301…
05-11 02:50:34	Xi Jinping out by June 30?	No	SELL	100	99¢	$99	0x5e3b61…
05-10 09:03:39	Xi Jinping out by June 30?	No	BUY	102	98¢	$100	0x4ca669…
05-10 08:37:33	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 23°C on May 10?	Yes	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0x33eee5…
05-10 08:36:40	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 23°C on May 10?	Yes	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x9e6d74…
05-10 08:32:16	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 23°C on May 10?	Yes	SELL	50	100¢	$50	0x47b99b…
05-10 08:24:06	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 23°C on May 10?	Yes	SELL	50	99¢	$49	0xaac5c5…
05-10 07:02:22	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 16°C on May 10?	Yes	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0xc16d1a…
05-10 06:46:13	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 16°C on May 10?	Yes	BUY	3	98¢	$3	0xaef775…
05-10 06:45:52	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 13°C on May 10?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xe4767c…
05-09 04:36:09	Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 6°C on May 9?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x99ce03…
05-09 04:35:58	Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 5°C or below on May 9?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xad9cb7…
05-08 07:04:38	Will the lowest temperature in London be 5°C on May 8?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x01e9eb…
05-08 06:48:05	Will the lowest temperature in London be 6°C on May 8?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xcca581…
05-08 06:22:36	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on May 8?	Yes	SELL	45	94¢	$42	0x1cb92b…
05-08 06:22:34	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on May 8?	Yes	SELL	5	94¢	$5	0x242dd7…
05-08 06:12:53	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on May 8?	Yes	BUY	50	93¢	$46	0x7f1c1e…
05-08 05:41:55	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on May 8?	Yes	SELL	34	94¢	$32	0x163f98…
05-08 05:41:23	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on May 8?	Yes	BUY	34	94¢	$32	0x5ae1ec…
05-06 08:14:00	Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 36°C on May 6?	No	BUY	200	100¢	$200	0x75a1bf…
05-02 16:00:32	Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting be on May 3?	No	BUY	200	100¢	$200	0x02713b…
05-02 07:11:16	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 24°C on May 2?	Yes	SELL	50	100¢	$50	0xf90cd4…
05-02 01:02:52	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 46-47°F on May 1?	No	SELL	143	100¢	$142	0x1418e3…
05-02 00:22:40	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 46-47°F on May 1?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x8e2339…
05-01 18:27:08	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 46-47°F on May 1?	No	SELL	38	100¢	$38	0xc3e072…
05-01 14:17:20	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 46-47°F on May 1?	No	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0x6f2605…
05-01 13:43:58	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 46-47°F on May 1?	No	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0x6fc98e…
05-01 13:41:48	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 46-47°F on May 1?	No	BUY	102	99¢	$101	0xcfb7a6…
04-29 09:19:10	Will Netflix (NFLX) close above $180 end of April?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xccef45…
04-29 09:19:00	Will Netflix (NFLX) close above $120 end of April?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xf20830…
04-29 09:17:10	us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	No	SELL	200	100¢	$200	0x1d4d42…
04-24 06:10:54	us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	No	BUY	200	100¢	$200	0xe43749…
04-24 03:46:30	lowest temperature in shanghai on april 24 2026 12c	Yes	SELL	47	97¢	$45	0xe2400f…
04-24 03:46:20	lowest temperature in shanghai on april 24 2026 12c	Yes	SELL	3	97¢	$3	0xa2aed3…
04-24 03:41:58	lowest temperature in shanghai on april 24 2026 12c	Yes	BUY	50	93¢	$46	0x6e0485…
04-23 14:52:28	lowest temperature in seoul on april 23 2026 11c	Yes	BUY	150	100¢	$150	0x03651a…
04-23 04:25:02	highest temperature in london on april 23 2026 13corbelow	No	BUY	180	100¢	$180	0xdd255e…
04-23 04:18:12	lowest temperature in seoul on april 23 2026 11c	Yes	SELL	100	95¢	$95	0xf5bd19…
04-23 03:33:26	lowest temperature in seoul on april 23 2026 11c	Yes	BUY	50	89¢	$44	0xc5ac00…
04-23 02:45:00	lowest temperature in seoul on april 23 2026 11c	Yes	BUY	50	93¢	$46	0x5bd068…
04-23 02:38:52	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	181	99¢	$180	0xe7080a…
04-22 06:06:00	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	181	99¢	$180	0x4d932b…
04-22 03:47:40	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	No	SELL	182	99¢	$180	0x51a13c…
04-20 14:06:56	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	No	BUY	182	99¢	$180	0xcf9239…
04-20 04:37:16	highest temperature in istanbul on april 20 2026 11c	No	BUY	150	100¢	$150	0x8b0b22…
04-20 03:14:16	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in April?	No	SELL	122	100¢	$122	0xea07ed…
04-19 18:30:56	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in April?	No	BUY	122	100¢	$121	0xf9c8f0…
04-19 09:16:36	highest temperature in london on april 19 2026 12c	No	BUY	180	100¢	$180	0x6a3eef…
04-19 08:04:38	highest temperature in shanghai on april 19 2026 22c	No	SELL	50	97¢	$48	0x8030dd…
04-19 08:03:54	highest temperature in shanghai on april 19 2026 22c	No	BUY	50	95¢	$48	0x1ad856…
04-19 03:46:16	bitcoin above 80k on april 19	No	SELL	180	100¢	$180	0xaaa026…
04-19 03:43:12	bitcoin above 80k on april 19	No	BUY	180	100¢	$180	0x5ed624…
04-18 17:10:20	highest temperature in seoul on april 19 2026 20c	Yes	BUY	10	2¢	$0	0x653e92…
04-18 17:10:18	highest temperature in seoul on april 19 2026 21c	Yes	BUY	10	7¢	$1	0xf905d3…
04-17 11:45:32	nflx above 130 on april 17 2026	No	BUY	180	100¢	$180	0x855231…
04-16 18:11:32	highest temperature in seattle on april 16 2026 44 45f	No	BUY	62	100¢	$62	0x503326…
04-16 08:12:00	highest temperature in wellington on april 16 2026 18c	Yes	SELL	16	100¢	$15	0x01b858…