Realized P&L
Unrealized P&L
-$3
Hit rate
Resolved
0
Trades
362
lifetime
Volume
$2.58K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$7
Open exposure
$114
6 positions
First seen
2026-03-03
last 07-22 18:54
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Other
73%
Politics
27%
Crypto
1%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
22 active days in 12wk • peak 23 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? Yes +118 $103 86¢ $102 $-1 07-22 18:54
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026? Yes +9 $5 52¢ $5 $-0 07-14 14:07
Will Russia capture all of Lyman by December 31, 2026? Yes +26 $5 14¢ $4 $-1 07-14 14:03
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? No +2 $2 99¢ $2 +$0 07-15 07:56
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30? Yes +2 $1 74¢ $1 +$0 06-01 11:59
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No +1 $1 92¢ $1 $-0 07-18 17:38