Realized P&L
+$24
Unrealized P&L
+$3
Hit rate
93.0%
Resolved
629
Trades
856
lifetime
Volume
$3.88K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$5
Open exposure
$105
30 positions
First seen
2026-03-03
last 10-09 21:07
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 92 days
Categories
Other
75% 96% +$20
Politics
25% 95% +$4
Crypto
0% 100% +$0
Tech
0% 100% +$0
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
15 active days in 12wk • peak 36 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
will saudi arabia recognize israel by december 31 No +13 $12 96¢ $13 +$1 10-09 21:02
Will Russia enter Sumy by December 31, 2026? No +6 $6 97¢ $6 +$0 10-09 21:00
will venezuela recognize israel by december 31 No +7 $5 91¢ $6 +$1 07-02 08:58
Will Reza Pahlavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026? No +6 $6 98¢ $6 +$0 10-09 21:04
will lebanon recognize israel by december 31 No +6 $5 92¢ $6 +$1 08-06 15:55
Will Wildberries announce bankruptcy before 2027? No +5 $5 97¢ $5 +$0 10-09 21:06
Will Russia enter Kharkiv by December 31, 2026? No +5 $5 99¢ $5 +$0 08-30 18:49
Will Russia enter Zaporizhia by December 31, 2026? No +5 $5 97¢ $5 +$0 08-30 18:49
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes +6 $5 86¢ $5 $0 10-09 21:04
Will there be no Head of State in Iran end of 2026? No +5 $5 95¢ $5 $0 10-09 21:04
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by October 31, 2026? No +4 $4 99¢ $4 +$0 10-09 21:07
Will Russia capture all of Lyman by December 31, 2026? No +3 $3 93¢ $3 +$0 09-02 11:46
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? No +3 $3 97¢ $3 +$0 10-09 21:07
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? No +3 $3 94¢ $3 +$0 10-09 21:07
Will Maryam Rajavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026? No +3 $3 100¢ $3 +$0 10-09 21:04
Will Masoud Pezeshkian be head of state in Iran end of 2026? No +3 $3 100¢ $3 +$0 10-09 21:05
Will Hassan Rouhani be head of state in Iran end of 2026? No +3 $3 99¢ $3 $0 10-09 21:04
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026? No +3 $3 94¢ $3 $0 10-09 20:56
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by October 31, 2026? No +2 $2 99¢ $2 +$0 10-09 21:07
Will Hassan Khomeini be head of state in Iran end of 2026? No +2 $2 100¢ $2 +$0 09-07 14:34
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by November 30, 2026? No +2 $2 94¢ $2 +$0 10-09 21:07
Will Abbas Araghchi be head of state in Iran end of 2026? No +2 $2 100¢ $2 $0 09-07 14:34
Will Alireza Arafi be head of state in Iran end of 2026? No +2 $2 98¢ $2 $0 10-09 21:04
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026? No +2 $2 86¢ $2 $0 10-09 21:07
putin out as president of russia by june 30 2027 No +1 $1 90¢ $1 +$0 07-18 17:38
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No +1 $1 98¢ $1 +$0 07-18 17:38
Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by December 31, 2026? No +1 $1 90¢ $1 +$0 10-09 21:01
Will Russia enter Sloviansk by December 31, 2026? No +1 $1 92¢ $1 +$0 10-09 21:01
Will Mahmoud Ahmadinejad be head of state in Iran end of 2026? No +1 $1 100¢ $1 +$0 08-28 09:28
Will Mohammad-Bagher Ghalibaf be head of state in Iran end of 2026? No +1 $1 100¢ $1 +$0 08-28 09:29