Frayed-Hospital — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$81

Unrealized P&L

+$2

Hit rate

46.6%

Resolved

235

Trades

731

lifetime

Volume

$1.36K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$13

4 positions

First seen

2026-03-30

last 08-03 16:16

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 49 days

Categories

Other

72% 46% -$34

Politics

13% 31% -$22

Crypto

9% 59% -$9

Sports

5% 53% -$10

Tech

0% 0% -$5

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-08-03).

Open positions (4) Resolved markets (27) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	Yes	+18	$11	74¢	$13	+$2	05-31 06:26
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	Yes	-6	-$1	4¢	$-0	+$1	05-28 18:23
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	Yes	+0	$1	3¢	$0	-$1	05-29 00:23
Will Greg Abbott win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	-2	$0	0¢	$-0	+$0	05-05 04:22

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?	7	$58	64	39	+25	Yes	-$7	06-14 15:21
Los Angeles FC vs. Seattle Sounders FC: Both Teams to Score	4	$38	45	45	+0	No	+$1	05-25 01:40
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,600 in May?	19	$36	193	180	+13	No	-$13	05-29 17:51
Will Yokohama F·Marinos win on 2026-05-24?	3	$29	30	30	+0	Yes	+$8	05-24 05:37
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	6	$27	17	17	+0	No	$0	05-06 10:52
Spread: Vancouver Whitecaps FC (-1.5)	3	$25	36	36	+0	Vancouver Whitecaps FC	+$4	05-24 02:19
Will Al Green be the Democratic nominee for TX-18?	20	$24	141	141	+0	No	-$1	05-25 23:46
Will Tromsø IL win on 2026-05-25?	4	$22	32	32	+0	No	+$0	05-25 14:22
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 86-87°F on May 28?	5	$22	20	20	+0	Yes	+$9	05-28 18:11
Will BW Industrial Holdings not IPO before June 2026?	19	$21	88	87	+0	Yes	-$12	05-28 21:37
Will Kerry-Lynne Findlay win the 2026 Conservative Party of British Columbia leadership election?	10	$20	65	65	+0	Yes	+$1	05-27 19:07
Spread: FK Bodø/Glimt (-1.5)	3	$19	17	17	+0	FK Bodø/Glimt	+$0	05-24 10:54
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 25°C on May 28?	4	$18	14	14	+0	Yes	+$7	05-28 16:09
Sporting Kansas City vs. New York Red Bulls: O/U 3.5	2	$17	17	17	+0	Under	+$0	05-23 23:49
gtm ant adm 2026 04 19 total 4pt5	18	$16	19	15	+4	Under	-$2	04-20 02:39
will illinois win the 2026 ncaa tournament	3	$15	58	30	+28	No	-$5	03-30 21:17
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C on May 6?	2	$14	20	20	+0	No	+$4	05-06 08:45
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 24°C on May 28?	7	$14	35	0	+35	No	-$14	05-27 15:24
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 27°C on May 4?	2	$13	9	9	+0	No	+$2	05-04 07:52
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on May 30?	3	$13	10	10	+0	Yes	+$2	05-29 19:26
us x iran ceasefire by april 30	3	$13	20	0	+20	Yes	-$13	04-02 05:44
Will Vålerenga Fotball win on 2026-05-25?	4	$12	24	22	+2	No	-$9	05-25 13:03
IK Start vs. Vålerenga Fotball: O/U 2.5	2	$12	15	15	+0	Under	+$0	05-25 12:32
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	4	$12	8	8	+0	open	—	05-29 00:23
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	3	$12	15	15	+0	open	—	05-31 06:20
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 29°C on May 4?	2	$12	7	7	+0	Yes	+$1	05-04 08:02
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,000 and $2,100 on May 30?	3	$11	8	8	+0	Yes	+$1	05-29 16:13
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on May 31?	3	$11	13	13	+0	Yes	-$2	06-01 02:55
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	2	$11	18	0	+18	open	—	05-31 06:26
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 24°C on May 4?	2	$11	6	6	+0	Yes	$0	05-04 08:23

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-03 16:16:29	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x07cac4…
07-19 06:36:40	Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?	Yes	BUY	14	36¢	$5	0x331268…
07-07 14:08:43	New "Stranger Things" episode released by December 31?	No	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0x98cbec…
06-29 16:14:58	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 3 2026 20260622191708359	Yes	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0xb7fb56…
06-27 06:29:35	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x73b4f5…
06-26 10:36:22	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 98-99°F on June 27?	Yes	SELL	6	7¢	$0	0xe148da…
06-26 10:33:14	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 98-99°F on June 27?	Yes	SELL	22	8¢	$2	0xc225a3…
06-26 03:16:10	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 98-99°F on June 27?	Yes	BUY	28	16¢	$4	0xab1b3f…
06-14 15:21:58	US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	25	20¢	$5	0xd5cf98…
06-14 02:40:24	fifwc aus tur 2026 06 14 first half total 2pt5	Under	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x82cfaa…
06-13 22:30:25	Exact Score: CD Ñublense 2 - 1 CD Huachipato?	No	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x031db5…
06-13 05:45:13	New "Stranger Things" episode released by December 31?	No	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x5df2fd…
06-11 14:21:13	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 98-99°F on June 12?	No	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xad3324…
06-11 12:26:13	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on June 13?	No	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x89166a…
06-11 10:17:04	Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.3–0.4%?	No	SELL	6	97¢	$6	0x9a37b2…
06-11 01:50:15	Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on June 12?	No	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0x89eae3…
06-11 01:19:00	US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	9	66¢	$6	0xe09dd7…
06-10 19:11:10	Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.3–0.4%?	No	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0xb7a3af…
06-10 19:09:30	US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	66¢	$6	0x255b07…
06-10 18:45:13	GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xcf12c7…
06-10 16:27:16	Over $500k committed to the ALIGN public sale?	No	SELL	5	90¢	$5	0x8e0ee6…
06-10 16:26:18	Over $500k committed to the ALIGN public sale?	No	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xf89cbf…
06-10 14:29:09	Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13?	No	SELL	5	94¢	$5	0x783059…
06-10 14:26:12	Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13?	No	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x8c5c27…
06-10 07:16:03	itf danield kozlovs 2026 06 10	Daniel Dutra da Silva	SELL	5	93¢	$5	0xbe0d5b…
06-10 07:15:13	itf danield kozlovs 2026 06 10	Daniel Dutra da Silva	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xdabf3a…
06-10 05:42:09	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 25°C on June 10?	No	SELL	5	89¢	$5	0xef5c31…
06-10 05:40:15	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 25°C on June 10?	No	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x916a5b…
06-10 05:26:19	itf stevic yemshan 2026 06 10	Helena Stevic	SELL	5	93¢	$5	0xb7ed3c…
06-10 05:25:15	itf stevic yemshan 2026 06 10	Helena Stevic	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x2d4cd3…
06-10 03:43:28	will iran close its airspace by june 13 20260609184136051	No	SELL	6	86¢	$5	0x21eb1a…
06-10 03:40:34	will iran close its airspace by june 13 20260609184136051	No	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0x5172c8…
06-10 03:06:19	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-10 03:00 UTC	Up	SELL	6	94¢	$5	0x394824…
06-10 03:05:40	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-10 03:00 UTC	Up	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0xfe1ba7…
06-10 03:04:37	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 94-95°F on June 10?	No	SELL	6	86¢	$5	0x26f730…
06-10 03:03:13	will grahm platner drop out before the midterms 20260608200746523	No	SELL	6	87¢	$5	0x2f5b60…
06-10 03:00:24	will grahm platner drop out before the midterms 20260608200746523	No	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0xd51723…
06-10 03:00:24	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 94-95°F on June 10?	No	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0x76a04a…
06-10 01:13:28	US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	30	67¢	$20	0xbcb34c…
06-01 04:56:01	US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	72¢	$6	0x98f6ca…
06-01 04:55:51	US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	72¢	$8	0x8ea1f9…
06-01 04:03:45	US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	73¢	$8	0xd5e0fd…
06-01 02:55:16	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on May 31?	Yes	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x12da47…
05-31 06:26:43	Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	62¢	$6	0x55d790…
05-31 06:20:06	Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	9	37¢	$3	0x80f287…
05-31 04:00:37	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on May 31?	Yes	SELL	13	35¢	$5	0xc1ce00…
05-31 01:14:08	Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0x5eec07…
05-31 01:12:53	Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	6	39¢	$2	0xd6f6a2…
05-31 00:58:06	Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	15	40¢	$6	0x1a4378…
05-30 21:46:58	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on May 31?	Yes	BUY	13	49¢	$7	0xad9643…
05-30 04:03:24	Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,900 and $2,000 on May 30?	Yes	SELL	41	10¢	$4	0x0e942c…
05-30 04:03:19	Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,900 and $2,000 on May 30?	Yes	SELL	5	10¢	$0	0x543dd4…
05-30 04:03:17	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on May 30?	Yes	SELL	12	12¢	$1	0x88d8a8…
05-29 20:05:09	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	Yes	SELL	13	4¢	$1	0x4ae661…
05-29 19:26:29	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on May 30?	Yes	SELL	4	76¢	$3	0xb8367d…
05-29 19:23:18	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on May 30?	Yes	SELL	6	76¢	$5	0x3e6b43…
05-29 17:51:22	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,600 in May?	Yes	SELL	22	5¢	$1	0x5109a8…
05-29 17:44:03	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,600 in May?	Yes	BUY	3	20¢	$1	0x962f37…
05-29 17:34:25	Will the price of Solana be between $70 and $80 on May 30?	Yes	SELL	20	3¢	$1	0x660c44…
05-29 17:26:22	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,600 in May?	Yes	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x32d70e…
05-29 17:22:44	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,600 in May?	Yes	BUY	17	20¢	$3	0x1a07d5…
05-29 16:55:10	Will the price of Solana be between $70 and $80 on May 30?	Yes	SELL	0	3¢	$0	0x2990d4…
05-29 16:49:44	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,600 in May?	Yes	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x681d97…
05-29 16:47:49	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	Yes	BUY	7	44¢	$3	0xba9d7e…
05-29 16:47:05	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	Yes	BUY	6	44¢	$3	0xa79786…
05-29 16:40:07	Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,900 and $2,000 on May 30?	Yes	BUY	40	12¢	$5	0xb35820…
05-29 16:39:51	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on May 30?	Yes	BUY	7	49¢	$3	0x7095a2…
05-29 16:39:09	Will the price of Solana be between $70 and $80 on May 30?	Yes	SELL	34	3¢	$1	0xe9d17e…
05-29 16:38:39	Will the price of Solana be between $70 and $80 on May 30?	Yes	BUY	4	5¢	$0	0xc9c7a3…
05-29 16:38:39	Will the price of Solana be between $70 and $80 on May 30?	Yes	BUY	40	5¢	$2	0xaca9a6…
05-29 16:38:39	Will the price of Solana be between $70 and $80 on May 30?	Yes	BUY	70	5¢	$3	0x41c50c…
05-29 16:38:38	Will the price of Solana be between $70 and $80 on May 30?	Yes	BUY	8	5¢	$0	0xbe77b0…
05-29 16:37:49	Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,900 and $2,000 on May 30?	Yes	BUY	10	12¢	$1	0xb846b3…
05-29 16:37:00	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on May 30?	Yes	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x4e0865…
05-29 16:13:19	Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,000 and $2,100 on May 30?	Yes	SELL	1	76¢	$1	0xb2814d…
05-29 16:10:08	Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,000 and $2,100 on May 30?	Yes	SELL	7	76¢	$5	0xb7c691…
05-29 13:44:30	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,600 in May?	Yes	SELL	88	4¢	$4	0xd74d03…
05-29 13:33:58	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 17°C on May 29?	Yes	SELL	2	96¢	$2	0x93ef28…
05-29 11:00:26	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 80-81°F on May 29?	Yes	SELL	5	35¢	$2	0x19755c…
05-29 10:29:45	Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,000 and $2,100 on May 30?	Yes	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0x57bfde…
05-29 10:29:45	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on May 30?	Yes	BUY	10	55¢	$6	0x13b0ff…
05-29 08:25:20	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 27°C on May 29?	Yes	SELL	5	37¢	$2	0xd7ff8d…
05-29 06:11:43	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 15°C on May 29?	Yes	SELL	5	32¢	$2	0xe3c538…
05-29 06:01:25	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 28°C on May 29?	Yes	SELL	5	25¢	$1	0x65c05c…
05-29 06:00:31	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 23°C on May 29?	Yes	SELL	5	26¢	$1	0x67270c…
05-29 06:00:29	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 29°C on May 29?	Yes	SELL	4	17¢	$1	0xb009a1…
05-29 06:00:29	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C on May 29?	Yes	SELL	5	44¢	$2	0x7e1587…
05-29 06:00:29	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 17°C on May 29?	Yes	SELL	0	42¢	$0	0x600f46…
05-29 05:51:43	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 27°C on May 29?	Yes	SELL	5	5¢	$0	0xc7a5db…
05-29 00:31:05	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 84°F or higher on May 29?	Yes	SELL	5	32¢	$2	0x54f091…
05-29 00:23:54	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	4	82¢	$3	0x279fc5…
05-29 00:23:53	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	4	88¢	$4	0x3b1c64…
05-29 00:23:51	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	43¢	$2	0x96ad36…
05-29 00:23:49	Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	Yes	SELL	60	7¢	$4	0xd23749…
05-28 23:36:36	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 14°C on May 29?	Yes	SELL	2	27¢	$1	0x932f81…
05-28 21:58:03	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C on May 29?	Yes	SELL	5	17¢	$1	0x3f2940…
05-28 21:37:10	Will BW Industrial Holdings not IPO before June 2026?	No	SELL	50	0¢	$0	0xc8aeb1…
05-28 21:37:10	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,300 in May?	Yes	SELL	10	1¢	$0	0x31ed95…
05-28 20:32:00	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,600 in May?	Yes	SELL	5	10¢	$0	0xac306e…
05-28 20:05:45	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	Yes	SELL	7	23¢	$2	0x6df083…