Responsible-Meter — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$4

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved

Trades

102

lifetime

Volume

$1.51K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$15

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-27

last 07-21 14:40

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Politics

57% 100% +$0

Other

31% 0% $-4

Crypto

9% — —

Sports

3% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

43 active days in 12wk • peak 8 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	8	$172	91	91	+0	open	—	05-31 17:50
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	10	$148	77	77	+0	open	—	06-28 06:26
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	6	$109	145	145	+0	open	—	05-26 22:00
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	7	$100	52	106	-53	open	—	06-17 17:18
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	2	$92	60	60	+0	open	—	06-20 20:31
Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	4	$90	252	252	+0	open	—	05-14 13:09
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?	4	$68	37	37	+0	open	—	05-30 16:30
israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	4	$68	37	37	+0	open	—	06-13 17:38
Iran closes its airspace by May 21?	5	$62	226	207	+19	open	—	05-20 10:33
Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	2	$48	34	34	+0	open	—	07-15 20:57
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	4	$39	24	24	+0	open	—	05-15 14:12
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	2	$38	19	19	+0	open	—	05-15 14:12
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	2	$35	19	19	+0	open	—	05-27 06:01
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 7 20260625174256255	2	$34	17	17	+0	open	—	07-02 13:48
will bitcoin dip to 55k in june 2026	2	$34	18	18	+0	open	—	06-30 19:12
will wti reach 85 in july 2026	2	$34	18	18	+0	open	—	07-21 14:40
will trump agree to iranian transit fees in the strait of hormuz by june 30	2	$34	17	17	+0	open	—	06-26 11:20
us and iran sign an agreement by june 15 2026 20260611221049851	2	$33	16	16	+0	open	—	06-15 16:22
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	2	$32	17	17	+0	open	—	05-28 09:43
israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by june 30 2026	2	$32	16	16	+0	open	—	06-27 12:10
israel closes its airspace by june 8	2	$32	16	16	+0	open	—	06-08 17:32
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?	2	$32	16	16	+0	open	—	05-22 21:22
will bitcoin dip to 52pt5k in june 2026	2	$29	15	15	+0	open	—	06-29 00:01
fifwc cdr uzb 2026 06 27 spread away 1pt5	2	$28	14	14	+0	open	—	06-28 01:16
iran full airspace closure by july 15 20260625195254149	4	$23	109	109	-0	open	—	07-13 14:34
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	2	$20	0	50	-50	open	—	05-28 10:07
Iran closes its airspace by May 27?	1	$16	17	0	+17	open	—	05-23 01:48
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	1	$15	17	0	+17	open	—	05-22 21:43
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?	4	$5	3	3	+0	open	—	05-12 17:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	1	$3	6	0	+6	open	—	04-27 19:07

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-21 14:40:28	will wti reach 85 in july 2026	Yes	SELL	18	100¢	$18	0x3e5779…
07-18 23:04:03	will wti reach 85 in july 2026	Yes	BUY	18	88¢	$16	0x57927e…
07-15 20:57:31	Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	Yes	SELL	34	93¢	$32	0xf3e517…
07-15 16:51:22	Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	Yes	BUY	34	47¢	$16	0x82d599…
07-13 14:34:55	iran full airspace closure by july 15 20260625195254149	Yes	SELL	66	7¢	$4	0x2ad865…
07-13 14:34:49	iran full airspace closure by july 15 20260625195254149	Yes	SELL	1	7¢	$0	0x851c95…
07-13 14:27:20	iran full airspace closure by july 15 20260625195254149	Yes	SELL	42	7¢	$3	0xd19b3b…
07-10 14:29:17	iran full airspace closure by july 15 20260625195254149	Yes	BUY	109	15¢	$16	0x1fff89…
07-02 13:48:28	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 7 20260625174256255	No	SELL	17	99¢	$17	0xa7d6ea…
07-01 21:27:05	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 7 20260625174256255	No	BUY	17	98¢	$17	0x73e23e…
06-30 19:12:59	will bitcoin dip to 55k in june 2026	No	SELL	18	99¢	$18	0x6402d7…
06-29 00:01:50	will bitcoin dip to 52pt5k in june 2026	No	SELL	15	99¢	$15	0x3ed88d…
06-28 23:00:50	will bitcoin dip to 55k in june 2026	No	BUY	18	86¢	$16	0xff5741…
06-28 06:26:23	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	14	99¢	$14	0x8c9cdc…
06-28 06:26:23	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	17	99¢	$16	0x848c31…
06-28 06:26:23	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	15	99¢	$15	0x4b0a01…
06-28 06:26:23	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	15	99¢	$15	0x0eda6f…
06-28 06:26:22	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	16	99¢	$16	0x955266…
06-28 02:15:49	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	14	98¢	$14	0xa188fb…
06-28 01:16:14	fifwc cdr uzb 2026 06 27 spread away 1pt5	DR Congo	SELL	14	99¢	$14	0xe66b6b…
06-27 23:30:47	fifwc cdr uzb 2026 06 27 spread away 1pt5	DR Congo	BUY	14	96¢	$14	0x65191a…
06-27 16:00:41	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	15	97¢	$14	0xfa6140…
06-27 12:45:35	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	15	96¢	$15	0x58b785…
06-27 12:10:52	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by june 30 2026	No	SELL	16	98¢	$16	0xb72b53…
06-26 11:20:13	will trump agree to iranian transit fees in the strait of hormuz by june 30	No	SELL	17	98¢	$17	0x105462…
06-26 08:10:05	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	16	87¢	$14	0xb6cc29…
06-26 01:24:59	will bitcoin dip to 52pt5k in june 2026	No	BUY	15	94¢	$14	0xb62285…
06-25 11:46:07	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	17	90¢	$15	0x29bc78…
06-24 12:08:43	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by june 30 2026	No	BUY	16	96¢	$16	0xc54e2d…
06-23 11:18:13	will trump agree to iranian transit fees in the strait of hormuz by june 30	No	BUY	17	98¢	$17	0x4b0bb3…
06-20 20:31:23	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	60	90¢	$54	0x32b6ad…
06-19 17:06:29	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	60	63¢	$38	0x0cde9f…
06-17 17:18:58	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	SELL	53	0¢	$0	0x4aba0f…
06-15 16:22:42	us and iran sign an agreement by june 15 2026 20260611221049851	Yes	SELL	16	100¢	$16	0x1c2f2c…
06-15 15:40:36	us and iran sign an agreement by june 15 2026 20260611221049851	Yes	BUY	16	99¢	$16	0x832447…
06-13 17:38:07	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	No	SELL	19	99¢	$19	0xe6f8de…
06-11 22:56:55	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	No	SELL	18	92¢	$16	0x86d03e…
06-11 18:29:10	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	No	BUY	19	91¢	$17	0xb57f45…
06-11 11:56:40	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	SELL	17	95¢	$16	0x6fd59c…
06-11 06:21:28	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	SELL	17	96¢	$17	0x9b6480…
06-11 05:11:25	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	SELL	18	96¢	$17	0x5d8298…
06-08 22:58:39	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	No	BUY	18	89¢	$16	0x2680cb…
06-08 17:32:27	israel closes its airspace by june 8	No	SELL	16	99¢	$16	0xf2c618…
06-08 16:33:28	israel closes its airspace by june 8	No	BUY	16	99¢	$16	0x708d4e…
06-08 11:53:25	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	BUY	17	96¢	$16	0x305973…
06-08 06:23:21	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	BUY	17	96¢	$17	0xa24e79…
06-08 05:13:21	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	BUY	18	96¢	$17	0x4538cf…
05-31 17:50:49	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	16	99¢	$16	0xc2b912…
05-31 17:50:49	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	17	99¢	$17	0x27e3af…
05-31 17:50:49	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	40	99¢	$39	0x25c752…
05-30 20:10:41	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	16	97¢	$15	0xae5d92…
05-30 16:30:15	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?	No	SELL	16	99¢	$16	0xc7f7bb…
05-30 16:30:15	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?	No	SELL	22	99¢	$21	0xa3941a…
05-30 02:00:24	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	40	95¢	$38	0xf84dc9…
05-29 23:44:49	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	19	94¢	$18	0xdc0b3a…
05-29 15:20:17	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?	No	BUY	16	94¢	$15	0xd1b08f…
05-29 01:20:05	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	17	90¢	$15	0x8f3fb9…
05-28 16:09:58	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?	No	BUY	22	76¢	$16	0xa2168c…
05-28 10:07:12	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	25	41¢	$10	0x9ffccd…
05-28 10:07:01	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	25	41¢	$10	0xa534d0…
05-28 09:43:46	Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	17	98¢	$17	0xef4980…
05-27 06:01:57	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	SELL	19	98¢	$18	0x8016c1…
05-26 23:44:23	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	19	77¢	$14	0x9e07ef…
05-26 22:00:03	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	No	SELL	17	99¢	$17	0x4f9923…
05-26 22:00:02	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	No	SELL	16	99¢	$16	0x0cd773…
05-25 10:53:55	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	No	BUY	16	92¢	$15	0x13b8cc…
05-25 09:43:51	Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	17	92¢	$15	0x91039a…
05-25 01:08:45	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	No	BUY	17	93¢	$16	0x6c184b…
05-24 06:03:34	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	19	88¢	$16	0xf28f6c…
05-23 15:53:03	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	Yes	SELL	112	26¢	$29	0x6e5a40…
05-23 14:03:24	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	112	15¢	$16	0xaafe35…
05-23 01:48:14	Iran closes its airspace by May 27?	Yes	BUY	17	99¢	$16	0xd26cf3…
05-22 21:43:09	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	BUY	17	89¢	$15	0xc0091c…
05-22 21:22:35	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?	No	SELL	16	98¢	$16	0x371321…
05-20 10:33:20	Iran closes its airspace by May 21?	Yes	SELL	87	6¢	$5	0xa99283…
05-20 01:47:17	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?	No	BUY	16	98¢	$16	0x5ccce7…
05-19 23:52:15	Iran closes its airspace by May 21?	No	BUY	19	86¢	$16	0x889bba…
05-19 21:37:14	Iran closes its airspace by May 21?	Yes	BUY	87	20¢	$17	0x6b9e8e…
05-19 15:01:11	Iran closes its airspace by May 21?	Yes	SELL	120	8¢	$10	0x1c51d2…
05-19 10:57:01	Iran closes its airspace by May 21?	Yes	BUY	120	12¢	$14	0x338786…
05-15 14:12:24	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	19	100¢	$19	0x62b97a…
05-15 14:12:24	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	19	100¢	$19	0x08bdcb…
05-14 13:09:49	Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	Yes	SELL	0	21¢	$0	0x231466…
05-14 13:04:19	Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	Yes	SELL	126	21¢	$26	0x8fa8bb…
05-14 10:52:50	Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	Yes	SELL	126	18¢	$23	0x033f20…
05-14 02:05:10	Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	Yes	BUY	252	16¢	$40	0x9c9ab0…
05-13 10:10:00	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	19	99¢	$18	0xa763af…
05-13 01:54:52	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	19	98¢	$19	0x8af166…
05-12 17:33:47	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?	No	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0xbbd61b…
05-10 16:17:49	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?	No	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0xcae160…
05-09 17:02:00	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?	No	SELL	2	87¢	$1	0xf7adb7…
05-09 06:41:42	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	2	0¢	$0	0x35a9d7…
05-08 17:00:36	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?	No	BUY	2	85¢	$1	0x3d4205…
05-08 12:52:30	LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend	JD Gaming	SELL	6	17¢	$1	0x8571cb…
05-08 12:04:00	LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs Gen.G (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2	Kiwoom DRX	BUY	1,815	0¢	$2	0xe1e71f…
05-08 12:03:56	LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend	JD Gaming	BUY	6	32¢	$2	0x837781…
05-08 08:11:02	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	20¢	$1	0x244f9c…
05-08 07:41:05	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x5679aa…
05-01 19:13:40	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?	No	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x71bd25…
04-30 19:28:58	Will a new Gemini flagship be released by May 8, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x7db40f…