Responsible-Meter — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$4

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved

Trades

165

lifetime

Volume

$2.47K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$15

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-27

last 08-11 02:26

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Politics

55% 100% +$0

Other

35% 0% $-4

Crypto

7% — —

Sports

2% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

51 active days in 12wk • peak 9 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	8	$172	91	91	+0	open	—	05-31 17:50
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	10	$148	77	77	+0	open	—	06-28 06:26
israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 31 20260716224448968 384 155 519 798 243	6	$113	80	53	+28	open	—	07-31 06:47
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	6	$109	145	145	+0	open	—	05-26 22:00
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	7	$100	52	106	-53	open	—	06-17 17:18
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	2	$92	60	60	+0	open	—	06-20 20:31
Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	4	$90	252	252	+0	open	—	05-14 13:09
will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 17 20260807213124706	1	$74	84	0	+84	open	—	08-10 23:41
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?	4	$68	37	37	+0	open	—	05-30 16:30
israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	4	$68	37	37	+0	open	—	06-13 17:38
israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 9 20260727170733638	4	$64	34	34	+0	open	—	08-08 07:17
Iran closes its airspace by May 21?	5	$62	226	207	+19	open	—	05-20 10:33
us announces end of iranian blockade by july 31 2026 20260713152715082 212	4	$61	32	32	+0	open	—	07-31 11:17
us announces end of iranian blockade by august 7 2026 20260727171523690	2	$59	36	36	+0	open	—	08-06 23:56
will wti reach 100 in july 2026 928	4	$55	28	28	+0	open	—	07-30 02:01
Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	2	$48	34	34	+0	open	—	07-15 20:57
us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	4	$45	47	47	+0	open	—	07-30 09:46
israel closes its airspace by july 31 287	5	$42	123	123	+0	open	—	07-31 14:37
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	4	$39	24	24	+0	open	—	05-15 14:12
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	2	$38	19	19	+0	open	—	05-15 14:12
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	2	$38	85	85	+0	open	—	08-10 13:58
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	2	$35	19	19	+0	open	—	05-27 06:01
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 7 20260625174256255	2	$34	17	17	+0	open	—	07-02 13:48
will bitcoin dip to 55k in june 2026	2	$34	18	18	+0	open	—	06-30 19:12
will wti reach 85 in july 2026	2	$34	18	18	+0	open	—	07-21 14:40
will trump agree to iranian transit fees in the strait of hormuz by june 30	2	$34	17	17	+0	open	—	06-26 11:20
us and iran sign an agreement by june 15 2026 20260611221049851	2	$33	16	16	+0	open	—	06-15 16:22
will bitcoin reach 67pt5k in july 2026	2	$32	17	17	+0	open	—	07-30 21:56
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	2	$32	17	17	+0	open	—	05-28 09:43
israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by june 30 2026	2	$32	16	16	+0	open	—	06-27 12:10

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-11 21:21:27	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 12 2026	No	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0x27e918…
08-11 02:26:04	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 13 2026	No	BUY	12	97¢	$12	0xc5822b…
08-10 23:41:01	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 17 20260807213124706	No	BUY	84	88¢	$74	0xf5c44b…
08-10 13:58:48	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	SELL	85	27¢	$23	0x3e3a36…
08-09 20:50:31	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 15 20260716224448969 246 815 987 693	Yes	BUY	15	96¢	$14	0x98cfb2…
08-09 15:35:28	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347 987 697 628 574 676	No	BUY	37	81¢	$30	0x3f988a…
08-08 17:20:09	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 9 2026	Yes	BUY	108	11¢	$12	0x4d1fec…
08-08 15:35:04	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	BUY	85	18¢	$15	0x932c4f…
08-08 07:17:30	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 9 20260727170733638	Yes	SELL	15	99¢	$15	0x024244…
08-06 23:56:36	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 7 2026 20260727171523690	No	SELL	36	84¢	$30	0x405f64…
08-06 23:49:18	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 9 20260727170733638	Yes	BUY	15	97¢	$15	0x6ffef0…
08-06 15:26:21	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 9 20260727170733638	Yes	SELL	18	96¢	$18	0x6b8a01…
08-03 23:54:54	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 7 2026 20260727171523690	No	BUY	36	79¢	$29	0x0e9e70…
08-03 15:29:45	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 9 20260727170733638	Yes	BUY	18	90¢	$17	0xefde66…
08-02 12:58:38	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 2 20260727170555149	Yes	SELL	17	99¢	$17	0x3365a9…
08-02 03:08:26	uptspt anti cartel operation outside of the uptspt by july 31 20260616215440524	Yes	SELL	16	0¢	$0	0xf45d25…
08-01 20:23:11	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 1	Yes	SELL	14	98¢	$14	0xe9fb07…
08-01 15:54:05	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 1	Yes	BUY	14	92¢	$13	0x5a90f9…
08-01 11:28:59	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 2 20260727170555149	Yes	BUY	17	82¢	$14	0xdcf280…
07-31 19:52:30	will donald trump publicly insult vladimir putin by july 31 2026 20260626210612715	No	SELL	13	99¢	$13	0x0f7990…
07-31 16:42:24	will wti reach 90 in july 2026 from july 27	No	SELL	12	98¢	$12	0x7f2b27…
07-31 14:37:20	israel closes its airspace by july 31 287	No	SELL	14	99¢	$14	0xfa6e7d…
07-31 12:03:39	will donald trump publicly insult vladimir putin by july 31 2026 20260626210612715	No	BUY	13	97¢	$13	0x1c7788…
07-31 11:17:14	us announces end of iranian blockade by july 31 2026 20260713152715082 212	No	SELL	17	99¢	$16	0x385a06…
07-31 11:17:12	us announces end of iranian blockade by july 31 2026 20260713152715082 212	No	SELL	16	99¢	$16	0x41b829…
07-31 06:47:05	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 31 20260716224448968 384 155 519 798 243	Yes	SELL	12	99¢	$12	0x7393f0…
07-31 06:28:38	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 31 20260716224448968 384 155 519 798 243	Yes	BUY	12	98¢	$12	0x5c27ee…
07-31 01:08:32	will wti reach 90 in july 2026 from july 27	No	BUY	12	96¢	$12	0xec19a0…
07-30 21:56:50	will bitcoin reach 67pt5k in july 2026	No	SELL	17	99¢	$17	0x20c7ea…
07-30 09:46:27	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	SELL	22	21¢	$5	0x2950e8…
07-30 02:01:15	will wti reach 100 in july 2026 928	No	SELL	16	99¢	$15	0x50bc32…
07-30 01:03:11	uptspt anti cartel operation outside of the uptspt by july 31 20260616215440524	Yes	BUY	16	85¢	$14	0xe48cc2…
07-30 00:58:12	will wti reach 100 in july 2026 928	No	BUY	16	99¢	$15	0x0b6c4b…
07-29 18:23:08	will bitcoin reach 67pt5k in july 2026	No	BUY	17	91¢	$16	0xeba92d…
07-29 16:03:00	us announces end of iranian blockade by july 31 2026 20260713152715082 212	No	BUY	17	96¢	$16	0xf901bc…
07-28 21:47:46	israel closes its airspace by july 31 287	No	BUY	14	97¢	$14	0x609e22…
07-28 21:47:05	israel closes its airspace by july 31 287	Yes	SELL	69	3¢	$2	0x2971aa…
07-28 21:45:23	israel closes its airspace by july 31 287	Yes	SELL	40	3¢	$1	0xe2cd46…
07-28 20:40:19	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	SELL	26	62¢	$16	0x5a7bae…
07-28 16:07:37	us announces end of iranian blockade by july 31 2026 20260713152715082 212	No	BUY	16	83¢	$13	0xe43f09…
07-28 15:40:04	will wti reach 100 in july 2026 928	No	SELL	12	99¢	$12	0xf6cd45…
07-28 06:32:28	will bitcoin reach 70k in july 2026	No	BUY	14	99¢	$14	0xd096b3…
07-27 21:22:21	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	BUY	26	48¢	$12	0xdcb58f…
07-27 19:14:28	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 31 20260716224448968 384 155 519 798 243	Yes	SELL	41	91¢	$37	0x7ac6e6…
07-27 11:47:13	will wti reach 100 in july 2026 928	No	BUY	12	97¢	$12	0xc6719b…
07-27 09:47:13	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	BUY	22	56¢	$12	0x02336b…
07-27 00:03:49	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 27	Yes	SELL	13	99¢	$13	0xa8626c…
07-26 21:27:04	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 27	Yes	BUY	13	98¢	$13	0x260c68…
07-26 12:53:31	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 26	Yes	SELL	12	99¢	$12	0x04b88b…
07-26 09:48:24	iran leadership change by july 31 20260629143932628	No	SELL	11	99¢	$11	0xbaa2b2…
07-26 06:51:48	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 26	Yes	BUY	12	98¢	$12	0x6b6a21…
07-26 06:36:51	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 31 20260716224448968 384 155 519 798 243	Yes	BUY	14	85¢	$12	0xc18520…
07-26 02:16:43	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 31 20260716224448968 384 155 519 798 243	Yes	BUY	14	90¢	$12	0xba3217…
07-25 21:53:04	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by july 31	No	SELL	11	99¢	$11	0xab49af…
07-25 20:06:39	israel closes its airspace by july 31 287	Yes	BUY	109	10¢	$11	0x9fbaed…
07-25 17:17:57	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 24 20260715194822044	No	SELL	18	82¢	$15	0x6502a3…
07-25 16:32:55	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 25 20260716224448967 454	Yes	SELL	14	99¢	$13	0x76309c…
07-25 10:36:31	iran leadership change by july 31 20260629143932628	No	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0xb9c6f3…
07-25 10:11:33	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by july 31	No	BUY	11	97¢	$11	0x53d7f4…
07-25 08:51:31	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 31 20260716224448968 384 155 519 798 243	Yes	BUY	41	70¢	$29	0xf4b0d4…
07-25 02:27:30	israel closes its airspace by july 24	No	SELL	12	99¢	$12	0x84d52d…
07-24 16:41:15	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 25 20260716224448967 454	Yes	BUY	14	85¢	$12	0x9580e0…
07-24 16:31:15	israel closes its airspace by july 24	No	BUY	12	98¢	$12	0x5c4171…
07-22 17:20:28	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 24 20260715194822044	No	BUY	18	95¢	$17	0xd5f7fa…
07-21 14:40:28	will wti reach 85 in july 2026	Yes	SELL	18	100¢	$18	0x3e5779…
07-18 23:04:03	will wti reach 85 in july 2026	Yes	BUY	18	88¢	$16	0x57927e…
07-15 20:57:31	Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	Yes	SELL	34	93¢	$32	0xf3e517…
07-15 16:51:22	Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	Yes	BUY	34	47¢	$16	0x82d599…
07-13 14:34:55	iran full airspace closure by july 15 20260625195254149	Yes	SELL	66	7¢	$4	0x2ad865…
07-13 14:34:49	iran full airspace closure by july 15 20260625195254149	Yes	SELL	1	7¢	$0	0x851c95…
07-13 14:27:20	iran full airspace closure by july 15 20260625195254149	Yes	SELL	42	7¢	$3	0xd19b3b…
07-10 14:29:17	iran full airspace closure by july 15 20260625195254149	Yes	BUY	109	15¢	$16	0x1fff89…
07-02 13:48:28	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 7 20260625174256255	No	SELL	17	99¢	$17	0xa7d6ea…
07-01 21:27:05	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 7 20260625174256255	No	BUY	17	98¢	$17	0x73e23e…
06-30 19:12:59	will bitcoin dip to 55k in june 2026	No	SELL	18	99¢	$18	0x6402d7…
06-29 00:01:50	will bitcoin dip to 52pt5k in june 2026	No	SELL	15	99¢	$15	0x3ed88d…
06-28 23:00:50	will bitcoin dip to 55k in june 2026	No	BUY	18	86¢	$16	0xff5741…
06-28 06:26:23	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	14	99¢	$14	0x8c9cdc…
06-28 06:26:23	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	17	99¢	$16	0x848c31…
06-28 06:26:23	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	15	99¢	$15	0x4b0a01…
06-28 06:26:23	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	15	99¢	$15	0x0eda6f…
06-28 06:26:22	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	16	99¢	$16	0x955266…
06-28 02:15:49	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	14	98¢	$14	0xa188fb…
06-28 01:16:14	fifwc cdr uzb 2026 06 27 spread away 1pt5	DR Congo	SELL	14	99¢	$14	0xe66b6b…
06-27 23:30:47	fifwc cdr uzb 2026 06 27 spread away 1pt5	DR Congo	BUY	14	96¢	$14	0x65191a…
06-27 16:00:41	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	15	97¢	$14	0xfa6140…
06-27 12:45:35	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	15	96¢	$15	0x58b785…
06-27 12:10:52	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by june 30 2026	No	SELL	16	98¢	$16	0xb72b53…
06-26 11:20:13	will trump agree to iranian transit fees in the strait of hormuz by june 30	No	SELL	17	98¢	$17	0x105462…
06-26 08:10:05	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	16	87¢	$14	0xb6cc29…
06-26 01:24:59	will bitcoin dip to 52pt5k in june 2026	No	BUY	15	94¢	$14	0xb62285…
06-25 11:46:07	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	17	90¢	$15	0x29bc78…
06-24 12:08:43	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by june 30 2026	No	BUY	16	96¢	$16	0xc54e2d…
06-23 11:18:13	will trump agree to iranian transit fees in the strait of hormuz by june 30	No	BUY	17	98¢	$17	0x4b0bb3…
06-20 20:31:23	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	60	90¢	$54	0x32b6ad…
06-19 17:06:29	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	60	63¢	$38	0x0cde9f…
06-17 17:18:58	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	SELL	53	0¢	$0	0x4aba0f…
06-15 16:22:42	us and iran sign an agreement by june 15 2026 20260611221049851	Yes	SELL	16	100¢	$16	0x1c2f2c…
06-15 15:40:36	us and iran sign an agreement by june 15 2026 20260611221049851	Yes	BUY	16	99¢	$16	0x832447…
06-13 17:38:07	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	No	SELL	19	99¢	$19	0xe6f8de…