Neighboring-Tool-Maize — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$5

Unrealized P&L

-$1

Hit rate

53.9%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$51

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

4 positions

First seen

2026-05-09

last 10-23 20:03

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 13 days

Categories

Other

47% 25% +$0

Politics

44% 25% -$8

Sports

7% 100% +$13

Crypto

2% 0% -$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day

Open positions (4) Resolved markets (22) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
US strike on Cuba by December 31?	No	+2	$1	92¢	$2	+$1	05-21 20:03
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	+16	$2	8¢	$1	-$1	10-23 20:03
Theo James announced as next James Bond?	Yes	+29	$1	1¢	$0	-$1	08-23 17:42
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	Yes	+5	$1	6¢	$0	-$1	08-23 17:39

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-23 20:03:11	Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x246805…
08-23 17:42:40	Theo James announced as next James Bond?	Yes	BUY	29	3¢	$1	0xd42348…
08-23 17:40:22	Will Anna Kelly be the next White House Press Secretary?	Yes	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x48523f…
08-23 17:39:16	Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	Yes	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xe27f61…
07-26 11:49:06	Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0xe70952…
06-28 18:39:40	will ukraine re enter hryshyne by july 31 20260604220043035	Yes	BUY	12	17¢	$2	0xf0185a…
06-09 10:50:19	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	16	16¢	$2	0x5a803c…
05-28 09:16:34	Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	Yes	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x104d66…
05-25 08:21:56	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	9	25¢	$2	0x240fc9…
05-24 10:19:52	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x88c1bb…
05-21 20:03:35	US strike on Cuba by December 31?	No	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x6df99d…
05-20 18:14:53	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	Yes	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x4688e3…
05-20 18:14:38	Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0xb99f47…
05-20 18:12:04	Will Ukraine re-enter Myrnohrad by May 31?	Yes	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x233bdc…
05-20 18:08:23	Iran coup attempt by June 30?	Yes	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0xc5cae6…
05-20 18:04:22	US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by May 31?	Yes	SELL	12	56¢	$7	0x02a889…
05-16 15:15:41	US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by May 31?	Yes	BUY	12	12¢	$2	0x7f80de…
05-16 15:14:33	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	Yes	SELL	20	5¢	$1	0xb8e43c…
05-16 15:13:19	Will Morgan Stanley or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?	Yes	BUY	6	24¢	$1	0x32b3bd…
05-15 20:16:56	Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	77	1¢	$1	0xa79a24…
05-14 17:47:03	Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SPAX?	Yes	BUY	36	3¢	$1	0x470e32…
05-14 12:13:23	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	Yes	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xc17382…
05-14 12:09:41	Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0xe207f7…
05-14 12:06:53	Will Ukraine re-enter Myrnohrad by May 31?	Yes	SELL	20	5¢	$1	0x20cb17…
05-14 12:06:46	US x Cuba economic deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	14	22¢	$3	0x55ee7a…
05-14 12:06:39	Will Ukraine re-enter Uspenivka by May 31?	Yes	SELL	28	8¢	$2	0xa027ef…
05-13 09:43:53	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	16¢	$1	0xbade18…
05-13 09:40:30	Will Trump and Xi hug at their summit?	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x43040b…
05-11 11:58:24	US x Cuba economic deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	14	14¢	$2	0x1225c6…
05-11 10:29:14	Will Ukraine re-enter Uspenivka by May 31?	Yes	BUY	28	7¢	$2	0xd70e32…
05-11 10:21:59	U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30?	Yes	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x9f029d…
05-11 10:19:04	Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by June 30?	Yes	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x807012…
05-09 19:58:38	Will Ukraine re-enter Myrnohrad by May 31?	Yes	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xd5ee14…
05-09 19:51:15	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x6ea940…
05-09 19:31:55	Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?	Yes	BUY	36	3¢	$1	0xf30e9a…

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by May 31?	2	$8	12	12	+0	Yes	+$6	05-20 18:04
US x Cuba economic deal by June 30, 2026?	2	$5	14	14	+0	No	+$1	05-14 12:06
Will Ukraine re-enter Uspenivka by May 31?	2	$4	28	28	+0	No	+$0	05-14 12:06
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	2	$4	9	9	+0	No	+$1	05-25 08:21
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	3	$3	40	20	+20	No	-$1	05-20 18:14
Will Ukraine re-enter Myrnohrad by May 31?	3	$3	40	20	+20	No	-$1	05-20 18:12
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	1	$2	16	0	+16	Yes	+$13	06-09 10:50
will ukraine re enter hryshyne by july 31 20260604220043035	1	$2	12	0	+12	No	-$2	06-28 18:39
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	2	$2	16	0	+16	open	—	10-23 20:03
Will Morgan Stanley or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?	1	$1	6	0	+6	No	-$1	05-16 15:13
Will Trump and Xi hug at their summit?	1	$1	10	0	+10	No	-$1	05-13 09:40
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SPAX?	1	$1	36	0	+36	No	-$1	05-14 17:47
US strike on Cuba by December 31?	1	$1	2	0	+2	open	—	05-21 20:03
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	1	$1	5	0	+5	open	—	08-23 17:39
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by June 30, 2026?	1	$1	77	0	+77	No	-$1	05-15 20:16
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?	1	$1	36	0	+36	No	-$1	05-09 19:31
Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during events with Xi Jinping?	1	$1	14	0	+14	No	-$1	05-14 12:09
U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30?	1	$1	14	0	+14	No	-$1	05-11 10:21
Theo James announced as next James Bond?	1	$1	29	0	+29	open	—	08-23 17:42
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	1	$1	2	0	+2	Yes	+$1	05-09 19:51
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	1	$1	17	0	+17	No	-$1	05-24 10:19
Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by June 30?	1	$1	4	0	+4	No	-$1	05-11 10:19
Will Anna Kelly be the next White House Press Secretary?	1	$1	7	0	+7	No	-$1	08-23 17:40
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	1	$1	17	0	+17	No	-$1	05-28 09:16
Iran coup attempt by June 30?	1	$1	8	0	+8	No	-$1	05-20 18:08
Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	1	$1	8	0	+8	No	-$1	07-26 11:49