Relieved-End — Polymarket

Realized P&L (90d)

-$185

Unrealized P&L

+$62

Hit rate

16.6%

Resolved (90d)

Trades (90d)

1,462 lifetime

Volume (90d)

$866

$130.1K lifetime

Avg / trade

$89

Open exposure

$3.56K

14 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 10-25 04:32

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 77 days

Categories

Other

71% 75% +$414

Politics

13% 68% +$432

Sports

9% 46% -$484

Tech

6% 94% +$482

Pop-Culture

1% 100% +$22

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day

Open positions (14) Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	+904	$866	98¢	$888	+$21	10-25 04:32
Will Elon Musk be richest person on December 31?	Yes	+884	$812	96¢	$847	+$36	06-21 17:26
New pandemic in 2026?	No	+700	$616	98¢	$687	+$71	05-21 02:35
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?	No	+500	$460	98¢	$490	+$30	06-15 23:05
Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	+79,976	$323	0¢	$200	-$123	06-23 23:40
OpenAI IPO before 2027?	No	-125	-$64	97¢	$-122	-$58	06-11 18:33
anthropic vs openai higher valuation on december 31	Anthropic	+125	$92	92¢	$115	+$23	06-09 22:17
Will Anthropic's market cap be less than $1.25T at market close on IPO day?	No	+100	$85	88¢	$88	+$3	06-16 12:11
5kt meteor strike in 2026?	Yes	-461	-$172	15¢	$-67	+$105	06-30 20:56
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	No	+50	$46	98¢	$49	+$4	05-09 02:58
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	Yes	-300	-$22	2¢	$-5	+$16	05-17 16:36
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?	OpenAI	+100	$30	2¢	$2	-$28	06-09 22:12
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	+0	-$2	98¢	$0	+$2	06-15 13:02
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	No	+65	$40	0¢	$0	-$40	05-23 17:39

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will the logan paul 1st edition charizard sale price be over 500k	31	$13.3K	7,170	6,318	+851	Yes	+$27	01-17 11:21
will logan pauls psa 10 pokmon illustrator sale price be over 4 million	44	$8.5K	5,459	3,128	+2,331	Yes	+$39	01-16 07:20
new stranger things episode released by january 31 294	17	$6.6K	5,316	1,400	+3,916	No	+$98	01-18 04:51
will logan pauls psa 10 pokmon illustrator sale price be over 5 million	28	$5.3K	3,690	1,661	+2,029	Yes	+$53	02-04 01:44
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?	132	$5.2K	7,710	7,509	+200	No	-$703	06-11 03:39
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $900B by December 31?	31	$4.5K	3,164	2,057	+1,107	Yes	-$53	07-18 00:30
will israel nuke iran by january 31	8	$4.5K	1,865	2,699	-835	No	-$5	01-08 05:36
will the logan paul 1st edition charizard sale price be over 1m 791 144 948	59	$4.5K	2,929	3,517	-588	No	-$211	02-16 05:04
will logan pauls psa 10 pokmon illustrator sale price be over 15 million 268	28	$4.4K	3,678	3,678	+0	Yes	+$162	02-16 04:10
Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	177	$4.3K	217,000	137,024	+79,976	open	—	06-23 23:40
will olivia rodrigo release an album in 2025	2	$4.0K	2,000	2,000	+0	No	+$0	01-02 03:47
will the logan paul 1st edition charizard sale price be over 700k 862	34	$3.3K	1,610	1,955	-345	Yes	-$9	02-15 23:12
will the logan paul 1st edition charizard sale price be over 600k 366	14	$3.1K	1,624	1,565	+59	Yes	+$39	02-16 04:25
will elon musk be richest person on march 31	23	$2.9K	2,289	720	+1,569	Yes	+$65	03-26 14:33
Spurs vs. Knicks	11	$2.9K	1,577	1,577	+0	Knicks	-$17	06-11 02:31
us strikes iran by january 12 2026 314	18	$2.6K	1,383	1,383	+0	No	+$82	01-12 09:20
will claude 5 be released by december 31 266 113 228	1	$2.4K	2,393	0	+2,393	No	+$5	01-01 07:15
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by january 31	5	$2.1K	2,000	562	+1,438	No	+$426	01-17 08:11
will logan pauls psa 10 pokmon illustrator sale price be over 6 million	8	$2.0K	1,323	741	+582	Yes	+$19	02-04 03:51
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	97	$1.9K	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	06-15 13:02
will logan pauls psa 10 pokmon illustrator sale price be over 10 million	44	$1.7K	3,596	1,829	+1,766	Yes	-$820	01-25 06:35
us strikes iran by january 11 2026 946	6	$1.6K	837	837	+0	No	+$14	01-12 01:35
will back to friends sombr be the 1 song on spotify this week 594	2	$1.4K	1,436	0	+1,436	No	+$10	01-24 14:35
will the fate of ophelia taylor swift be the 1 song on us spotify this week 481	11	$1.3K	1,349	0	+1,349	No	+$16	01-18 08:35
will mrbeast hit 462 million subscribers by january 31	6	$1.3K	873	573	+300	Yes	+$96	01-13 21:07
Thunder vs. Spurs	5	$1.3K	1,300	0	+1,300	Thunder	+$26	05-23 03:11
will i just might bruno mars be the 1 song on us spotify this week	32	$1.2K	1,087	292	+795	Yes	+$126	01-21 04:49
Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair?	15	$1.1K	0	1,127	-1,127	No	-$9	05-12 14:57
Will SpaceX's market cap be greater than $1T at market close on IPO day?	8	$994	0	1,000	-1,000	Yes	-$6	06-09 05:12
Anthropic vs OpenAI - higher valuation on June 30?	11	$964	1,028	0	+1,028	Anthropic	+$64	06-22 15:22

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-25 04:32:08	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	BUY	904	96¢	$866	0x17ab8d…
07-18 00:30:39	will openais valuation hit high 900b by december 31 942 235	Yes	SELL	148	73¢	$108	0x9d3cc0…
07-17 20:43:19	will openais valuation hit high 900b by december 31 942 235	Yes	SELL	40	73¢	$29	0xd27bab…
07-16 00:34:13	will openais valuation hit high 900b by december 31 942 235	Yes	SELL	112	73¢	$82	0xca2a98…
07-12 20:03:08	will openais valuation hit high 900b by december 31 942 235	Yes	SELL	555	71¢	$394	0x2089f0…
07-10 20:54:32	Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	100	6¢	$6	0x3780bc…
07-09 17:36:43	will openais valuation hit high 900b by december 31 942 235	Yes	BUY	15	83¢	$12	0xc693c8…
07-09 04:38:52	will openais valuation hit high 900b by december 31 942 235	Yes	SELL	2	94¢	$2	0x31920b…
07-08 00:07:32	will openais valuation hit high 900b by december 31 942 235	Yes	BUY	500	92¢	$460	0x15c457…
07-06 20:11:23	2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	No	BUY	300	57¢	$171	0x9c4b6c…
07-06 08:05:14	Will the Ornn B200 Index be less than $3.00 on July 31, 2026?	No	SELL	0	99¢	$0	0x054dac…
07-06 03:49:29	Will the Ornn B200 Index be less than $3.00 on July 31, 2026?	No	SELL	47	99¢	$46	0xf84eb0…
07-06 03:49:29	Will the Ornn B200 Index be less than $3.00 on July 31, 2026?	No	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0xce612c…
07-06 03:49:02	Will the Ornn B200 Index be less than $3.00 on July 31, 2026?	No	SELL	33	99¢	$33	0xc885f5…
07-05 20:18:28	Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05?	No	BUY	20	45¢	$9	0x10ed4d…
07-04 23:11:53	Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	1,000	2¢	$24	0xc5dba1…
07-04 06:03:40	Will the Ornn B200 Index be less than $3.00 on July 31, 2026?	No	BUY	58	96¢	$55	0x56d75d…
07-04 01:10:17	Will the Ornn B200 Index be less than $3.00 on July 31, 2026?	No	BUY	16	96¢	$15	0xc80fd9…
07-04 00:51:47	Will the Ornn B200 Index be less than $3.00 on July 31, 2026?	No	BUY	16	96¢	$15	0x727847…
07-03 22:38:10	Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03?	Yes	BUY	50	95¢	$48	0xbf63b7…
07-03 17:24:05	Will the Ornn B200 Index be less than $3.00 on July 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x8192f7…
07-03 17:09:50	Will the Ornn B200 Index be less than $3.00 on July 31, 2026?	No	BUY	6	96¢	$6	0x73e04c…
07-03 17:09:40	Will the Ornn B200 Index be less than $3.00 on July 31, 2026?	No	BUY	6	96¢	$6	0x187340…
07-03 17:09:37	Will the Ornn B200 Index be less than $3.00 on July 31, 2026?	No	BUY	6	96¢	$6	0x671ee4…
07-03 17:09:31	Will the Ornn B200 Index be less than $3.00 on July 31, 2026?	No	BUY	6	96¢	$6	0x540821…
07-03 17:09:28	Will the Ornn B200 Index be less than $3.00 on July 31, 2026?	No	BUY	6	96¢	$6	0xaf78e0…
07-03 17:09:26	Will the Ornn B200 Index be less than $3.00 on July 31, 2026?	No	BUY	6	96¢	$6	0x0f825e…
07-03 17:09:13	Will the Ornn B200 Index be less than $3.00 on July 31, 2026?	No	BUY	6	96¢	$6	0x7a331b…
07-03 17:09:08	Will the Ornn B200 Index be less than $3.00 on July 31, 2026?	No	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0x1c4c5f…
07-03 13:58:20	Will the Ornn B200 Index be less than $3.00 on July 31, 2026?	No	BUY	6	96¢	$6	0x6a3ae5…
07-03 13:58:16	Will the Ornn B200 Index be less than $3.00 on July 31, 2026?	No	BUY	6	96¢	$6	0xb15afc…
07-03 13:58:13	Will the Ornn B200 Index be less than $3.00 on July 31, 2026?	No	BUY	6	96¢	$6	0x817123…
07-03 13:55:20	Will the Ornn B200 Index be less than $3.00 on July 31, 2026?	No	BUY	6	96¢	$6	0xc52278…
07-03 13:55:17	Will the Ornn B200 Index be less than $3.00 on July 31, 2026?	No	BUY	6	96¢	$6	0xf9611f…
07-03 13:55:11	Will the Ornn B200 Index be less than $3.00 on July 31, 2026?	No	BUY	6	96¢	$6	0xfbe460…
07-03 11:18:32	will openais valuation hit high 900b by december 31 942 235	Yes	BUY	193	91¢	$176	0x42a9d3…
07-03 09:26:44	will openais valuation hit high 900b by december 31 942 235	Yes	BUY	12	91¢	$11	0x4a1431…
07-03 09:19:41	Will the Ornn B200 Index be less than $3.00 on July 31, 2026?	No	BUY	6	96¢	$6	0xb7dabc…
07-03 08:27:02	Will the Ornn B200 Index be less than $3.00 on July 31, 2026?	No	BUY	6	96¢	$6	0xf80ff5…
07-03 08:26:53	Will the Ornn B200 Index be less than $3.00 on July 31, 2026?	No	BUY	6	96¢	$6	0x40c1cb…
07-03 08:26:50	Will the Ornn B200 Index be less than $3.00 on July 31, 2026?	No	BUY	6	96¢	$6	0x06f2c7…
07-03 08:26:47	Will the Ornn B200 Index be less than $3.00 on July 31, 2026?	No	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0xd2a77e…
07-03 06:39:34	will openais valuation hit high 900b by december 31 942 235	Yes	BUY	12	91¢	$11	0x9dc4ca…
07-03 05:55:50	will openais valuation hit high 900b by december 31 942 235	Yes	BUY	136	91¢	$124	0xee9b7f…
07-03 05:55:47	will openais valuation hit high 900b by december 31 942 235	Yes	BUY	136	91¢	$124	0x9046c0…
07-03 05:52:04	will openais valuation hit high 900b by december 31 942 235	Yes	BUY	11	91¢	$10	0x523e85…
07-02 23:27:46	Will Portugal win on 2026-07-02?	Yes	BUY	100	58¢	$58	0x945147…
07-02 21:49:37	Will the Ornn B200 Index be less than $3.00 on July 31, 2026?	No	BUY	83	98¢	$81	0x708b9b…
07-02 01:35:59	Will Apple release iPhone 18 in 2026?	Yes	BUY	312	96¢	$300	0x99b173…
07-01 03:00:52	SpaceX or OpenAI higher IPO Market Cap?	SpaceX	SELL	18	91¢	$17	0xed1b23…
07-01 03:00:47	SpaceX or OpenAI higher IPO Market Cap?	SpaceX	SELL	15	91¢	$14	0xf4707c…
07-01 02:26:55	fifwc mex ecu 2026 06 30 team to advance	Mexico	BUY	20	82¢	$16	0xb7c466…
07-01 02:23:41	fifwc mex ecu 2026 06 30 team to advance	Mexico	BUY	20	83¢	$17	0x69e1b3…
07-01 02:23:13	Will Mexico win on 2026-06-30?	Yes	BUY	20	68¢	$14	0xa4f9b9…
07-01 02:10:31	Will Mexico win on 2026-06-30?	Yes	BUY	20	47¢	$9	0x626e73…
06-30 20:56:19	5kt meteor strike in 2026?	Yes	SELL	207	34¢	$70	0x43d10f…
06-23 23:40:43	Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	10,000	1¢	$80	0xf7e47a…
06-23 23:27:07	Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	200	1¢	$2	0x34b0e2…
06-23 23:03:44	Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0xcb7d37…
06-23 23:03:05	Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	160	1¢	$1	0x2d17df…
06-23 20:19:13	will openais valuation hit high 875b by june 30	Yes	BUY	296	45¢	$132	0x686a02…
06-23 20:19:07	will openais valuation hit high 875b by june 30	Yes	BUY	165	42¢	$69	0x44420e…
06-23 20:11:01	will openais valuation hit high 900b by june 30	No	SELL	173	92¢	$159	0xfdee54…
06-23 19:58:19	Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	3,287	1¢	$26	0x9b2889…
06-23 10:06:35	Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	41	1¢	$0	0xfb2108…
06-23 08:45:37	Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	146	1¢	$2	0xea157d…
06-23 05:06:05	Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	311	1¢	$3	0x62ef7f…
06-23 03:05:22	Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	484	1¢	$5	0xc0a90f…
06-23 02:29:10	Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	20	1¢	$0	0xe9a8d1…
06-23 01:31:35	Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	160	1¢	$2	0x942db7…
06-23 00:04:11	Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	516	1¢	$5	0xfba911…
06-22 23:59:34	Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	160	1¢	$2	0x73500b…
06-22 23:38:01	Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	210	1¢	$2	0xff9682…
06-22 23:35:01	Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	200	1¢	$2	0xee51d5…
06-22 23:34:40	Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	210	1¢	$2	0x3e5834…
06-22 22:21:58	Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	200	1¢	$2	0x119753…
06-22 21:45:50	Will the Bank of Canada decrease the target for the overnight rate by 25 bps at the July interest rate announcement?	No	BUY	40	98¢	$40	0xcb7b21…
06-22 21:04:02	Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	200	1¢	$2	0xfd6b1d…
06-22 21:01:34	Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	210	1¢	$2	0x7e0079…
06-22 20:36:28	Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	200	1¢	$2	0xb59178…
06-22 20:28:40	Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	170	1¢	$2	0x255b96…
06-22 19:27:50	Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	200	1¢	$2	0x96a91b…
06-22 18:29:58	Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	180	1¢	$2	0x7cb421…
06-22 18:15:01	Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	210	1¢	$2	0x7568f7…
06-22 17:41:37	Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	180	1¢	$2	0x566453…
06-22 15:22:43	anthropic vs openai higher valuation on june 30	Anthropic	BUY	300	97¢	$291	0xcc5a94…
06-22 15:16:58	Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	76	1¢	$1	0xa7a107…
06-22 12:50:16	Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	0	1¢	$0	0xa95448…
06-22 07:46:31	Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	125	1¢	$1	0xe7b6cd…
06-22 05:35:10	Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	210	1¢	$2	0x3ccf27…
06-22 05:26:16	Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	160	1¢	$2	0xbe5067…
06-22 04:58:50	Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	160	1¢	$2	0x67f75b…
06-22 04:56:17	Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	180	1¢	$2	0xc6a01d…
06-22 04:46:29	Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	200	1¢	$2	0xb718c0…
06-22 04:25:52	Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	210	1¢	$2	0xb384a6…
06-22 04:13:32	Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	210	1¢	$2	0xaf66e4…
06-22 03:26:08	Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	210	1¢	$2	0x53cfe7…
06-22 03:15:26	Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	210	1¢	$2	0xe70913…
06-22 02:58:58	Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	200	1¢	$2	0x6ae00b…
06-22 02:53:49	Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	160	1¢	$2	0x65fa49…