Realized P&L
+$826
Unrealized P&L
+$22
Hit rate
69.3%
Resolved
198
Trades
1,491
lifetime
Volume
$132.3K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$89
Open exposure
$3.46K
13 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-25 04:32
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 78 days
Categories
Other
71% 75% +$414
Politics
13% 68% +$432
Sports
9% 44% -$524
Tech
6% 94% +$482
Pop-Culture
1% 100% +$22
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
1 active day in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Xi Jinping out before 2027? No +904 $866 98¢ $888 +$22 10-25 04:32
Will Elon Musk be richest person on December 31? Yes +884 $812 96¢ $849 +$37 06-21 17:26
New pandemic in 2026? No +700 $616 98¢ $687 +$71 05-21 02:35
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? No +500 $460 98¢ $489 +$29 06-15 23:05
OpenAI IPO before 2027? No -125 -$64 98¢ $-123 -$59 06-11 18:33
Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +79,976 $323 0¢ $120 -$203 06-23 23:40
anthropic vs openai higher valuation on december 31 Anthropic +125 $92 87¢ $108 +$16 06-09 22:17
Will Anthropic's market cap be less than $1.25T at market close on IPO day? No +100 $85 85¢ $85 $0 06-16 12:11
5kt meteor strike in 2026? Yes -461 -$172 12¢ $-58 +$114 06-30 20:56
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? No +50 $46 98¢ $49 +$4 05-09 02:58
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? Yes -300 -$22 2¢ $-5 +$17 05-17 16:36
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first? OpenAI +100 $30 2¢ $2 -$28 06-09 22:12
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? No +0 -$2 98¢ $0 +$2 06-15 13:02