Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$420

Unrealized P&L

-$19

Hit rate

54.5%

Resolved

Trades

908

lifetime

Volume

$9.12K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$10

Open exposure

$348

2 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 07-03 01:43

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 44 days

Categories

Other

70% 58% -$223

Crypto

18% 17% +$758

Politics

12% 80% -$116

Tech

0% 100% +$1

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-03).

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (27) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No		-255	-$247	99¢	$-252	-$6	04-29 18:54
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No		-100	-$83	96¢	$-96	-$13	05-11 20:29

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us forces enter iran by march 7	3	$769	793	0	+793	No	+$24	03-06 05:56
will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	2	$704	362	362	+0	Yes	+$9	03-09 08:04
elon musk of tweets january 30 february 6 300 319	1	$498	0	498	-498	No	$0	02-06 16:44
no change in fed interest rates after january 2026 meeting	1	$497	499	0	+499	Yes	+$2	01-28 08:08
highest temperature in london on february 8 2026 14corhigher	1	$497	0	497	-497	No	$0	02-07 17:13
highest temperature in seoul on january 21 neg 4c	2	$434	0	434	-434	No	$0	01-21 08:56
Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?	8	$428	223	223	+0	open	—	05-15 01:53
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	1	$327	360	0	+360	No	+$33	07-03 01:43
will bitcoin reach 96k january 26 1	1	$300	0	300	-300	No	$0	01-31 13:02
bitcoin above 86k on january 23	1	$258	0	258	-258	Yes	$0	01-23 15:44
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	1	$247	0	255	-255	open	—	04-29 18:54
elon musk of tweets march 24 march 31 260 279	11	$215	152	152	+0	No	+$2	03-31 12:13
bitcoin above 94k on january 24	1	$210	0	210	-210	No	$0	01-24 04:23
bitcoin above 92k on january 19	1	$200	0	200	-200	Yes	$0	01-19 16:42
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	3	$196	100	100	+0	Yes	+$0	04-04 03:03
bitcoin above 66k on march 1	3	$155	914	0	+914	Yes	+$759	02-28 11:11
elon musk of tweets january 2 january 9 500 519	6	$152	100	100	+0	No	+$5	01-08 15:10
us strikes iran by february 27 2026	1	$150	155	0	+155	No	+$5	02-26 08:23
will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 7 249 562	2	$146	1,121	0	+1,121	No	-$146	03-06 13:19
elon musk of tweets january 6 january 13 440 459	43	$138	854	900	-46	No	+$7	01-10 12:05
bitcoin above 90k on january 20	1	$120	0	120	-120	Yes	$0	01-20 17:00
elon musk of tweets january 6 january 13 420 439	54	$116	790	891	-101	No	+$12	01-10 12:05
elon musk of tweets january 24 january 26 90 114	8	$103	150	250	-100	No	+$14	01-26 14:55
elon musk of tweets january 9 january 16 500 519	4	$90	110	110	+0	No	+$2	01-15 07:28
elon musk of tweets december 30 january 6 500 519	13	$87	527	700	-173	No	+$9	01-06 13:24
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	1	$83	0	100	-100	open	—	05-11 20:29
elon musk of tweets january 9 january 16 520 539	9	$82	110	50	+60	No	-$5	01-16 15:05
elon musk of tweets january 9 january 16 540 559	2	$81	50	50	+0	Yes	+$1	01-16 09:45
elon musk of tweets january 2 january 9 440 459	27	$79	694	700	-6	No	-$43	01-08 05:47
elon musk of tweets january 13 january 20 520 539	31	$76	473	495	-21	Yes	-$18	01-14 07:18

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-03 01:43:52	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	360	91¢	$327	0x9062d8…
06-14 02:48:39	China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	No	SELL	5	82¢	$4	0xf07697…
05-18 12:51:08	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	No	SELL	6	93¢	$6	0x834753…
05-15 01:53:26	Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?	No	SELL	2	97¢	$2	0x409be9…
05-15 01:35:26	Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?	No	SELL	98	97¢	$95	0x39c77b…
05-14 06:02:02	Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?	No	SELL	24	96¢	$23	0x954517…
05-14 04:21:30	Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?	No	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0xb00022…
05-14 04:03:04	Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?	No	SELL	46	96¢	$44	0x4f1c3e…
05-14 04:01:07	Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?	No	SELL	48	96¢	$47	0x086568…
05-12 18:50:26	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	5	90¢	$5	0xf37089…
05-11 20:29:40	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	SELL	100	83¢	$83	0x3af01a…
05-11 08:15:03	Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?	No	BUY	123	96¢	$118	0x4a45ca…
05-11 08:10:30	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5	89¢	$5	0x4e1bd9…
05-11 08:10:02	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?	No	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x14865d…
05-11 08:09:35	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	No	BUY	6	93¢	$6	0x9065bb…
05-11 08:09:14	Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?	No	BUY	100	96¢	$96	0xd4500a…
05-11 08:08:39	China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	No	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0xca85f7…
05-11 08:07:57	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0x1cc32f…
05-11 08:07:21	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	Yes	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x2f70e6…
05-11 08:06:46	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x27dea8…
04-29 18:54:54	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	SELL	255	96¢	$247	0x9ee787…
04-04 03:03:49	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	100	98¢	$98	0x151a63…
04-03 07:12:31	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	99	98¢	$97	0x032799…
04-03 06:58:51	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xde4b58…
04-03 05:20:23	elon musk of tweets march 31 april 7 320 339	Yes	SELL	200	4¢	$8	0xd581f0…
04-03 04:22:31	elon musk of tweets march 31 april 7 300 319	Yes	SELL	34	7¢	$2	0x1c6a0f…
04-03 03:26:15	elon musk of tweets march 31 april 7 300 319	Yes	SELL	66	7¢	$5	0x5775e8…
04-02 15:50:21	elon musk of tweets march 31 april 7 320 339	Yes	BUY	1	6¢	$0	0xa51d4d…
04-02 15:38:47	elon musk of tweets march 31 april 7 320 339	Yes	BUY	21	6¢	$1	0x2b04ab…
04-02 15:33:11	elon musk of tweets march 31 april 7 320 339	Yes	BUY	11	6¢	$1	0x0cbf48…
04-02 15:28:55	elon musk of tweets march 31 april 7 320 339	Yes	BUY	5	6¢	$0	0x941cfb…
04-02 15:16:15	elon musk of tweets march 31 april 7 320 339	Yes	BUY	11	6¢	$1	0x6102ff…
04-02 15:15:19	elon musk of tweets march 31 april 7 320 339	Yes	BUY	20	6¢	$1	0x7a579c…
04-02 14:59:33	elon musk of tweets march 31 april 7 320 339	Yes	BUY	11	6¢	$1	0x511ae4…
04-02 14:42:11	elon musk of tweets march 31 april 7 320 339	Yes	BUY	10	6¢	$1	0x421906…
04-02 14:24:11	elon musk of tweets march 31 april 7 320 339	Yes	BUY	10	6¢	$1	0x240fc1…
04-02 08:17:15	elon musk of tweets march 27 april 3 220 239	Yes	SELL	75	6¢	$4	0x42fcda…
04-02 07:25:03	elon musk of tweets march 27 april 3 220 239	Yes	SELL	75	5¢	$4	0x1e5c5c…
04-02 06:45:53	elon musk of tweets march 27 april 3 220 239	Yes	BUY	50	9¢	$4	0x9fe7b0…
04-02 06:44:27	elon musk of tweets march 27 april 3 220 239	Yes	BUY	50	9¢	$4	0x6444fb…
04-02 06:23:21	elon musk of tweets march 27 april 3 220 239	Yes	BUY	2	7¢	$0	0xa6a6b7…
04-02 06:23:19	elon musk of tweets march 27 april 3 220 239	Yes	BUY	6	7¢	$0	0x4c4fd2…
04-02 06:23:19	elon musk of tweets march 27 april 3 220 239	Yes	BUY	6	7¢	$0	0x31cdff…
04-02 06:23:17	elon musk of tweets march 27 april 3 220 239	Yes	BUY	6	7¢	$0	0xa06409…
04-02 06:23:17	elon musk of tweets march 27 april 3 220 239	Yes	BUY	6	7¢	$0	0x9b125e…
04-02 06:23:17	elon musk of tweets march 27 april 3 220 239	Yes	BUY	6	7¢	$0	0x8a1dfc…
04-02 06:23:15	elon musk of tweets march 27 april 3 220 239	Yes	BUY	6	7¢	$0	0xfafffd…
04-02 06:23:15	elon musk of tweets march 27 april 3 220 239	Yes	BUY	6	7¢	$0	0x0f4a10…
04-02 06:23:15	elon musk of tweets march 27 april 3 220 239	Yes	BUY	6	7¢	$0	0x0bdfa4…
04-01 12:21:29	elon musk of tweets march 27 april 3 280 299	Yes	SELL	100	16¢	$16	0x2e3a7e…
03-31 15:36:23	elon musk of tweets march 24 march 31 220 239	Yes	SELL	10	94¢	$9	0xb2192d…
03-31 13:43:33	elon musk of tweets march 24 march 31 220 239	Yes	SELL	10	72¢	$7	0xb03f45…
03-31 12:14:03	elon musk of tweets march 24 march 31 240 259	Yes	SELL	1	59¢	$0	0x42a175…
03-31 12:13:45	elon musk of tweets march 24 march 31 260 279	No	SELL	56	98¢	$55	0xaf9b8a…
03-31 12:13:35	elon musk of tweets march 24 march 31 260 279	No	SELL	14	98¢	$14	0xec5b34…
03-31 12:13:35	elon musk of tweets march 24 march 31 260 279	No	SELL	14	98¢	$14	0xd4ac2c…
03-31 12:13:35	elon musk of tweets march 24 march 31 260 279	No	SELL	13	98¢	$13	0x59a864…
03-31 12:13:11	elon musk of tweets march 24 march 31 260 279	No	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0xd90330…
03-31 12:02:53	elon musk of tweets march 24 march 31 220 239	Yes	BUY	10	33¢	$3	0xc03c85…
03-31 11:49:41	elon musk of tweets march 24 march 31 220 239	Yes	BUY	10	43¢	$4	0xaee327…
03-31 11:43:49	elon musk of tweets march 24 march 31 260 279	No	BUY	102	98¢	$100	0x144dcb…
03-31 08:00:43	elon musk of tweets march 27 april 3 320 339	Yes	SELL	43	2¢	$1	0xfc92e3…
03-31 07:25:39	elon musk of tweets march 27 april 3 300 319	Yes	SELL	100	3¢	$3	0xd5a7c4…
03-31 07:25:17	elon musk of tweets march 27 april 3 320 339	Yes	SELL	217	2¢	$4	0xa55e65…
03-31 07:01:17	elon musk of tweets march 31 april 7 300 319	Yes	BUY	100	9¢	$9	0x9df091…
03-31 03:55:39	elon musk of tweets march 24 march 31 240 259	Yes	SELL	50	17¢	$8	0x1553d6…
03-31 03:51:09	elon musk of tweets march 24 march 31 240 259	Yes	BUY	1	13¢	$0	0x4e54f3…
03-31 03:48:41	elon musk of tweets march 24 march 31 240 259	Yes	BUY	5	13¢	$1	0x7f90bb…
03-31 03:46:41	elon musk of tweets march 24 march 31 240 259	Yes	BUY	2	13¢	$0	0x3d525a…
03-31 03:44:53	elon musk of tweets march 24 march 31 240 259	Yes	BUY	5	13¢	$1	0x3862d3…
03-31 03:42:47	elon musk of tweets march 24 march 31 240 259	Yes	BUY	5	13¢	$1	0x81eaa4…
03-31 03:42:43	elon musk of tweets march 24 march 31 240 259	Yes	BUY	15	13¢	$2	0xc3c7b8…
03-31 03:42:11	elon musk of tweets march 24 march 31 240 259	Yes	BUY	5	13¢	$1	0x370af0…
03-31 03:41:33	elon musk of tweets march 24 march 31 240 259	Yes	BUY	5	13¢	$1	0x981447…
03-31 03:38:37	elon musk of tweets march 24 march 31 240 259	Yes	BUY	5	13¢	$1	0xcc8e9e…
03-31 03:38:31	elon musk of tweets march 24 march 31 240 259	Yes	BUY	2	13¢	$0	0xc43ee4…
03-31 03:18:41	elon musk of tweets march 24 march 31 240 259	Yes	SELL	50	15¢	$8	0x771b14…
03-31 03:11:51	elon musk of tweets march 24 march 31 240 259	Yes	BUY	6	14¢	$1	0x1ab710…
03-31 03:09:29	elon musk of tweets march 24 march 31 240 259	Yes	BUY	17	14¢	$2	0x30ba64…
03-31 03:07:11	elon musk of tweets march 24 march 31 240 259	Yes	BUY	27	14¢	$4	0x5866ce…
03-31 02:40:21	elon musk of tweets march 24 march 31 240 259	Yes	SELL	50	17¢	$8	0x31f7e1…
03-31 02:09:07	elon musk of tweets march 24 march 31 240 259	Yes	BUY	50	15¢	$8	0x5b9163…
03-31 02:00:43	elon musk of tweets march 24 march 31 240 259	Yes	BUY	50	16¢	$8	0x30d211…
03-31 00:35:29	elon musk of tweets march 31 april 7 320 339	Yes	BUY	100	8¢	$8	0xab5418…
03-31 00:24:15	elon musk of tweets march 27 april 3 280 299	Yes	BUY	100	8¢	$8	0x9f38a1…
03-30 07:27:12	elon musk of tweets march 24 march 31 180 199	Yes	BUY	100	6¢	$6	0xc7f943…
03-29 16:01:12	elon musk of tweets march 27 april 3 300 319	Yes	BUY	100	8¢	$8	0x3b3a63…
03-29 06:40:42	elon musk of tweets march 24 march 31 260 279	Yes	SELL	29	16¢	$5	0xc179d0…
03-29 06:39:06	elon musk of tweets march 24 march 31 260 279	Yes	SELL	12	16¢	$2	0xbb259c…
03-29 06:35:46	elon musk of tweets march 24 march 31 260 279	Yes	SELL	6	16¢	$1	0x5df6e8…
03-29 06:29:42	elon musk of tweets march 24 march 31 260 279	Yes	SELL	2	16¢	$0	0xbfecd1…
03-29 05:55:28	elon musk of tweets march 27 april 3 320 339	Yes	BUY	100	7¢	$7	0x95e389…
03-29 02:08:38	elon musk of tweets march 27 april 3 320 339	Yes	BUY	100	8¢	$8	0x7853b7…
03-29 01:20:56	elon musk of tweets march 24 march 31 260 279	Yes	BUY	50	13¢	$6	0xf757e9…
03-28 23:39:12	elon musk of tweets march 24 march 31 300 319	Yes	SELL	100	14¢	$14	0xf766c8…
03-28 20:34:26	elon musk of tweets march 27 april 3 280 299	Yes	SELL	18	14¢	$3	0x3fbc04…
03-28 20:30:44	elon musk of tweets march 27 april 3 280 299	Yes	SELL	10	14¢	$1	0x1b2b8e…
03-28 20:14:24	elon musk of tweets march 27 april 3 280 299	Yes	SELL	10	14¢	$1	0x8bec61…
03-28 19:58:08	elon musk of tweets march 27 april 3 280 299	Yes	SELL	10	14¢	$1	0xf500d2…
03-28 19:50:12	elon musk of tweets march 27 april 3 280 299	Yes	SELL	21	14¢	$3	0xc75020…