Testy-Stag — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1.62K

Unrealized P&L

-$99

Hit rate

54.3%

Resolved

208

Trades

649

lifetime

Volume

$80.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$123

Open exposure

$252

2 positions

First seen

2026-05-09

last 10-29 02:20

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 68 days

Categories

Crypto

48% 34% -$2,290

Other

33% 23% -$92

Sports

18% 26% +$767

Politics

1% 50% -$10

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

47 active days in 12wk • peak 88 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (24) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes		+3,020	$162	4¢	$128	-$34	05-30 22:17
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes		+2,037	$189	6¢	$123	-$65	05-14 19:45

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2026?	14	$15.6K	12,935	12,935	+0	open	—	10-12 01:51
1. FC Köln vs. Borussia Mönchengladbach: Both Teams to Score	6	$6.6K	3,300	5,037	-1,737	Yes	+$589	10-11 15:41
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?	13	$6.0K	10,823	10,823	-0	open	—	10-09 17:07
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	9	$4.9K	4,212	4,212	+0	Yes	+$3,488	07-19 22:14
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 by December 31, 2026?	7	$3.9K	8,573	8,573	+0	open	—	10-15 00:26
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?	11	$2.4K	5,298	5,298	+0	open	—	10-27 10:14
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	10	$2.2K	16,415	9,365	+7,050	No	-$713	06-26 08:21
RB Leipzig vs. Eintracht Frankfurt: Both Teams to Score	3	$2.0K	1,390	1,390	+0	No	+$3	10-10 16:24
bun stu koe 2026 09 04 btts	8	$1.9K	1,493	1,493	+0	Yes	-$4	09-04 18:28
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	2	$1.8K	2,222	2,222	+0	No	-$267	09-10 21:35
will portugal reach the quarterfinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145134507	5	$1.6K	1,936	1,341	+595	No	-$386	06-26 08:15
Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in September?	3	$1.5K	1,408	1,408	+0	Yes	-$164	09-11 14:46
fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 team to advance	4	$1.4K	990	990	+0	Argentina	+$534	07-15 21:18
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	5	$1.4K	2,737	2,737	+0	No	+$373	07-09 10:12
fifwc prt hrv 2026 07 02 team to advance	2	$1.3K	741	741	+0	Portugal	+$202	07-03 01:16
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	7	$1.2K	2,166	2,166	+0	No	+$322	10-21 18:47
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in May?	10	$1.2K	1,036	1,035	+0	Yes	+$260	05-18 06:05
Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-09-04?	4	$1.2K	892	892	+0	Yes	-$9	09-04 16:52
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	6	$1.2K	6,012	0	+6,012	No	-$1,154	07-15 07:09
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?	8	$1.1K	3,630	3,630	+0	open	—	10-29 02:19
will bitcoin dip to 75k in august 2026	4	$884	1,352	0	+1,352	No	-$884	08-23 15:02
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?	8	$639	2,309	2,309	+0	open	—	10-29 02:20
Bitcoin Up or Down on September 16?	8	$633	766	466	+300	Down	+$134	09-15 16:33
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	2	$612	450	450	+0	Yes	-$26	10-26 15:25
Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	4	$571	502	410	+92	No	-$38	10-26 16:55
fifwc ury cvi 2026 06 21 spread home 2pt5	2	$471	265	265	+0	Cabo Verde	+$58	06-22 00:09
will bitcoin dip to 57pt5k in august 2026	7	$428	1,142	0	+1,142	No	-$428	08-01 16:19
will bitcoin dip to 62pt5k in august 2026 from august 3	3	$418	1,473	0	+1,473	No	-$418	08-19 16:03
Will Linke win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?	5	$382	230	230	+0	Yes	+$67	09-20 16:13
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in September?	3	$382	380	380	+0	No	-$29	09-21 19:40

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-29 02:20:25	Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	2,309	3¢	$72	0xfef94a…
10-29 02:19:52	Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	2,598	4¢	$101	0x3fc14b…
10-27 10:30:57	Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	527	4¢	$22	0xd806b1…
10-27 10:24:35	Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	496	2¢	$12	0x7d1f4a…
10-27 10:24:15	Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,610	3¢	$42	0x3a4b7c…
10-27 10:21:23	Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	305	5¢	$14	0xe484bf…
10-27 10:20:54	Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	80	5¢	$4	0x50e6b9…
10-27 10:20:24	Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	70	5¢	$3	0xbc64b0…
10-27 10:20:00	Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	5¢	$2	0x629eeb…
10-27 10:14:11	Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5,298	7¢	$371	0x3c8afa…
10-26 16:55:14	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	92	26¢	$24	0x3e4600…
10-26 16:10:53	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	SELL	410	65¢	$266	0xe32ed3…
10-26 15:31:36	Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	97	6¢	$6	0x67e4aa…
10-26 15:30:32	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	40	67¢	$27	0xd00cea…
10-26 15:29:09	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	370	69¢	$254	0x9c53fe…
10-26 15:25:57	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	450	65¢	$293	0x953b47…
10-26 00:53:38	Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	99	11¢	$11	0x857dc2…
10-25 23:09:23	Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	20	11¢	$2	0x69848e…
10-25 23:07:27	Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	184	10¢	$18	0xd35c0c…
10-25 23:06:45	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	450	71¢	$319	0x9293fc…
10-25 16:34:54	Will SC Freiburg win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	BUY	93	14¢	$13	0x7125e9…
10-25 16:34:23	SC Freiburg vs. FC Bayern München: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	343	66¢	$226	0x55ce53…
10-24 20:38:27	UFC 333: Merab Dvalishvili vs. Petr Yan (Bantamweight, Main Card)	Petr Yan	SELL	35	100¢	$35	0x558094…
10-24 19:55:56	UFC 333: Merab Dvalishvili vs. Petr Yan (Bantamweight, Main Card)	Petr Yan	BUY	35	60¢	$21	0xf5e5b5…
10-24 16:59:05	UFC 333: Abus Magomedov vs. Cam Rowston (Middleweight, Prelims)	Abus Magomedov	SELL	205	100¢	$205	0x210075…
10-24 16:18:32	Fight to Go the Distance?	Yes	SELL	80	57¢	$46	0xf95709…
10-24 16:17:21	UFC 333: Abus Magomedov vs. Cam Rowston (Middleweight, Prelims)	Abus Magomedov	BUY	205	53¢	$109	0x7e0e48…
10-24 15:54:48	Fight to Go the Distance?	Yes	BUY	80	60¢	$48	0xfcc244…
10-24 15:28:21	Will FC Augsburg vs. 1. FC Union Berlin end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	67	100¢	$67	0x42435c…
10-24 15:09:42	Will FC Augsburg vs. 1. FC Union Berlin end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	67	60¢	$40	0xe7c577…
10-24 15:06:32	Exact Score: FC Augsburg 1 - 2 1. FC Union Berlin?	Yes	BUY	81	11¢	$9	0xe128e2…
10-24 15:05:54	Exact Score: FC Augsburg 1 - 2 1. FC Union Berlin?	Yes	BUY	90	11¢	$10	0x89f160…
10-24 13:32:05	FC Augsburg vs. 1. FC Union Berlin: FC Augsburg O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	400	64¢	$256	0xf6ed29…
10-22 18:33:42	Exact Score: TSG 1899 Hoffenheim 1 - 0 Olympique Lyonnais?	Yes	BUY	21	8¢	$2	0x06f0c9…
10-22 18:33:11	Exact Score: TSG 1899 Hoffenheim 3 - 1 Olympique Lyonnais?	Yes	BUY	56	7¢	$4	0x8c992b…
10-22 18:32:47	Exact Score: TSG 1899 Hoffenheim 0 - 1 Olympique Lyonnais?	Yes	BUY	89	4¢	$4	0x9453db…
10-22 18:32:15	Exact Score: TSG 1899 Hoffenheim 2 - 1 Olympique Lyonnais?	Yes	BUY	99	10¢	$10	0x01ad24…
10-22 18:31:54	Exact Score: TSG 1899 Hoffenheim 1 - 2 Olympique Lyonnais?	Yes	BUY	167	6¢	$10	0x890ddf…
10-22 18:31:30	Exact Score: TSG 1899 Hoffenheim 0 - 2 Olympique Lyonnais?	Yes	BUY	154	3¢	$4	0x5a9e2c…
10-22 18:31:05	Exact Score: TSG 1899 Hoffenheim 2 - 0 Olympique Lyonnais?	Yes	BUY	125	8¢	$10	0x0a61dd…
10-21 21:01:50	Exact Score: FC Bayern München 2 - 2 Arsenal FC?	Yes	SELL	45	100¢	$45	0xc59bba…
10-21 19:44:17	Exact Score: FC Bayern München 3 - 2 Arsenal FC?	Yes	BUY	35	7¢	$3	0x31df93…
10-21 19:42:50	Exact Score: FC Bayern München 2 - 2 Arsenal FC?	Yes	BUY	45	15¢	$7	0x211126…
10-21 18:50:05	Exact Score: FC Bayern München 1 - 1 Arsenal FC?	Yes	BUY	56	12¢	$7	0x43f62a…
10-21 18:49:42	Exact Score: FC Bayern München 2 - 1 Arsenal FC?	Yes	BUY	56	9¢	$5	0xe10a52…
10-21 18:49:27	Exact Score: FC Bayern München 1 - 2 Arsenal FC?	Yes	BUY	89	9¢	$8	0x1d58f1…
10-21 18:48:21	Exact Score: FC Bayern München 0 - 1 Arsenal FC?	Yes	BUY	57	7¢	$4	0x169b2b…
10-21 18:47:21	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	158	12¢	$19	0x8fb39c…
10-17 15:27:50	Exact Score: RC Strasbourg Alsace 0 - 1 Paris Saint-Germain FC?	Yes	BUY	31	10¢	$3	0x3edc54…
10-17 15:27:24	Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-10-17?	Yes	BUY	15	66¢	$10	0xb0846e…
10-17 14:20:38	Exact Score: Hamburger SV 0 - 1 VfB Stuttgart?	Yes	BUY	16	19¢	$3	0xfc4666…
10-17 14:19:44	Exact Score: 1. FC Union Berlin 1 - 1 BV Borussia 09 Dortmund?	Yes	BUY	10	13¢	$1	0xa0e6c5…
10-17 14:17:59	Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-10-17?	Yes	BUY	35	53¢	$19	0xec6712…
10-17 14:15:03	Exact Score: 1. FC Union Berlin 1 - 1 BV Borussia 09 Dortmund?	Yes	BUY	21	14¢	$3	0xcca6ca…
10-16 17:29:24	bitcoin up or down on october 17 2026	Down	SELL	63	64¢	$41	0x1b6547…
10-16 16:27:28	bitcoin up or down on october 17 2026	Down	BUY	63	34¢	$22	0x515122…
10-16 16:25:12	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	157	13¢	$20	0xedc2ae…
10-15 13:05:13	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	157	27¢	$42	0x68014b…
10-15 12:32:16	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	8	35¢	$3	0xe8329d…
10-15 12:31:38	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	90	37¢	$33	0x7c75c6…
10-15 12:31:16	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	60	37¢	$22	0x798f86…
10-15 07:31:59	bitcoin up or down on october 15 2026	Up	SELL	94	32¢	$30	0xe237b4…
10-15 00:26:52	Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	6,080	24¢	$1,459	0x5d3d30…
10-15 00:26:01	bitcoin up or down on october 15 2026	Up	BUY	94	53¢	$50	0xc119c8…
10-15 00:23:47	Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	793	24¢	$190	0x5cc882…
10-14 12:35:53	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	2,008	37¢	$743	0x998990…
10-14 08:56:47	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1,257	19¢	$239	0x2199ea…
10-14 08:55:19	Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,200	22¢	$264	0xa2c363…
10-14 08:18:49	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	751	19¢	$143	0x0a7b35…
10-14 08:16:32	bitcoin up or down on october 14 2026	Up	SELL	56	68¢	$38	0x3f7c9e…
10-14 08:15:58	bitcoin up or down on october 14 2026	Up	SELL	169	68¢	$115	0xe15cc7…
10-14 01:25:58	bitcoin up or down on october 14 2026	Up	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x475560…
10-14 01:25:35	bitcoin up or down on october 14 2026	Up	BUY	30	47¢	$14	0x47928a…
10-14 01:24:41	bitcoin up or down on october 14 2026	Up	BUY	190	46¢	$87	0x970869…
10-14 01:20:52	Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	500	22¢	$110	0xc1c34e…
10-12 18:55:21	Spread: Levante UD (-1.5)	Levante UD	BUY	164	13¢	$21	0xc0b826…
10-12 18:53:51	Levante UD vs. Sevilla FC: Both Teams to Score	Yes	SELL	43	53¢	$23	0x3cb533…
10-12 18:45:51	Levante UD vs. Sevilla FC: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	43	55¢	$24	0x58238e…
10-12 01:56:20	Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7,203	22¢	$1,585	0x377f33…
10-12 01:55:26	Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	730	21¢	$153	0xf95953…
10-12 01:54:24	Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	640	20¢	$128	0x0d7e3e…
10-12 01:51:32	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	275	36¢	$99	0xcd9789…
10-12 01:49:50	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	275	36¢	$99	0xa1f716…
10-11 15:41:00	1. FC Köln vs. Borussia Mönchengladbach: Both Teams to Score	Yes	SELL	1,737	100¢	$1,735	0xcdf39b…
10-11 11:47:49	1. FC Köln vs. Borussia Mönchengladbach: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	1,737	65¢	$1,129	0xca08a3…
10-11 11:40:15	Will Borussia Mönchengladbach win on 2026-10-11?	Yes	SELL	380	25¢	$95	0xddf56b…
10-10 17:16:31	Will RB Leipzig win on 2026-10-10?	Yes	SELL	230	99¢	$228	0x054a55…
10-10 16:28:24	Will RB Leipzig win on 2026-10-10?	Yes	BUY	230	61¢	$140	0x1e506a…
10-10 16:24:30	RB Leipzig vs. Eintracht Frankfurt: Both Teams to Score	Yes	SELL	1,101	71¢	$781	0x27a070…
10-10 16:23:42	RB Leipzig vs. Eintracht Frankfurt: Both Teams to Score	Yes	SELL	290	72¢	$208	0x1f80a7…
10-10 12:27:25	1. FC Köln vs. Borussia Mönchengladbach: Both Teams to Score	Yes	SELL	0	65¢	$0	0x3db122…
10-10 12:26:10	RB Leipzig vs. Eintracht Frankfurt: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	1,390	71¢	$987	0xcd2378…
10-10 12:23:45	1. FC Köln vs. Borussia Mönchengladbach: Both Teams to Score	Yes	SELL	1,562	65¢	$1,015	0x487638…
10-09 17:11:14	1. FC Köln vs. Borussia Mönchengladbach: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	1,562	66¢	$1,031	0x1d25c1…
10-09 17:09:49	Will Borussia Mönchengladbach win on 2026-10-11?	Yes	BUY	380	29¢	$110	0x5a5aee…
10-09 17:07:55	Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	10,823	10¢	$1,082	0xca17e4…
10-06 21:05:41	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 7?	Up	BUY	110	44¢	$48	0x836a2c…
10-06 21:04:23	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 7?	Up	BUY	212	43¢	$91	0x4bc894…
09-28 16:23:33	Will Cyprus win on 2026-09-28?	Yes	BUY	49	40¢	$20	0x33f605…
09-27 18:15:20	Exact Score: Germany 2 - 2 Greece?	Yes	BUY	158	5¢	$8	0x6172e2…