Realized P&L (7d)
-$414
Unrealized P&L
+$688
Hit rate
91.3%
Resolved (7d)
3
Trades (7d)
161
104,240 lifetime
Volume (7d)
$9.63K
$9.68M lifetime
Avg / trade
$93
Open exposure
$15.1K
19 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-28 14:23
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 167 days
Categories
Other
80% 58% +$20,797
Sports
16% 54% -$11,982
Crypto
3% 57% -$19,423
Politics
1% 53% -$637
Pop-Culture
0% 100% +$1
Tech
0% 100% +$3
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
15 active days in 12wk • peak 83 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? No +7,067 $6,509 96¢ $6.8K +$243 10-24 20:31
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? No +6,455 $5,968 98¢ $6.3K +$355 05-07 20:15
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs LYON (BO3) - Worlds Group Stage LYON +2,100 $735 34¢ $704 -$32 10-28 02:34
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? Yes +483 $458 100¢ $483 +$26 10-28 14:23
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? Yes -2,710 -$462 10¢ $-257 +$205 05-09 18:43
Xi Jinping out before 2027? No +159 $147 96¢ $154 +$7 05-01 07:38
9.0 or above earthquake before 2027? No +133 $125 97¢ $129 +$4 10-16 03:39
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? No +71 $66 97¢ $69 +$3 04-28 21:30
Will the Democratic Progressive Party (DPP) win the most head of local government elections in the 2026 Taiwan local elections? No -55 -$45 69¢ $-38 +$7 05-18 03:59
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +297 $52 11¢ $31 -$21 04-28 15:36
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - Worlds Group Stage Top Esports — +116 $27 24¢ $28 +$2 10-27 07:45
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +63 $31 34¢ $21 -$10 04-28 12:51
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? Yes +100 $42 20¢ $20 -$22 04-28 12:49
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +100 $27 17¢ $17 -$10 04-28 12:45
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? Yes +659 $86 2¢ $14 -$72 05-08 19:01
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +49 $3 15¢ $8 +$5 04-28 14:06
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027? Yes -111 -$14 6¢ $-6 +$8 05-10 01:40
Will Kuomintang (KMT) win the most head of local government elections in the 2026 Taiwan local elections? No -14 -$2 30¢ $-4 -$2 05-18 03:59
Will Glenn Youngkin win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +795 $8 0¢ $1 -$7 04-28 13:59