Realized P&L
+$56
Unrealized P&L
-$5
Hit rate
54.6%
Resolved
73
Trades
2,898
lifetime
Volume
$8.86K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$3
Open exposure
$151
30 positions
First seen
2026-04-27
last 06-30 18:47
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 13 days
Categories
Other
77% 71% $-2
Sports
15% 53% +$58
Politics
6%
Tech
1%
Crypto
1%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
53 active days in 12wk • peak 372 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Trump out as President before 2027? No -113 $-102 92¢ $-104 $-2 06-27 10:33
OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027? No -9 $-8 91¢ $-8 $-0 06-27 10:33
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? No +10 $3 70¢ $7 +$4 06-30 15:19
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by June 30? No -6 $-6 100¢ $-6 $-0 06-04 01:10
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? No -6 $-4 76¢ $-4 +$0 06-27 10:33
Kadyrov out as Head of the Chechen Republic by December 31, 2026? Yes +19 $6 21¢ $4 $-2 06-30 00:13
Waymo IPO before 2027? No -3 $-3 96¢ $-3 $-0 06-27 10:33
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026? Yes -8 $-3 40¢ $-3 +$0 06-27 10:33
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,900 (LOW) in June? No -3 $-3 100¢ $-3 $-0 06-27 10:32
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? Yes -9 $-3 34¢ $-3 +$0 06-27 10:33
Will FISA Section 702 reauthorization become law this year? Yes +13 $4 21¢ $3 $-1 06-30 12:05
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30? No +2 $1 83¢ $2 +$1 06-28 16:34
US strike on Cuba by December 31? Yes +0 $1 41¢ $0 $-1 06-27 10:31
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026? No +0 $-1 99¢ $0 +$1 06-27 10:32
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30? No +0 $-2 98¢ $0 +$2 06-27 10:32
Iran leadership change by June 30? No +0 $-0 100¢ $0 +$0 06-27 10:32
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? No +0 $-0 66¢ $0 +$0 06-27 10:32
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026? Yes +0 $-1 63¢ $0 +$1 06-27 10:32
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No +0 $0 86¢ $0 $-0 06-27 10:31
US x Cuba military clash in 2026? Yes +0 $0 42¢ $0 $-0 06-27 10:32
US national Bitcoin reserve before 2027? Yes +0 $0 24¢ $0 $-0 06-27 10:31
New Rihanna Album before GTA VI? Yes +0 $0 51¢ $0 $-0 06-27 10:32
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? Yes +0 $1 16¢ $0 $-1 06-27 10:32
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +0 $0 16¢ $0 $-0 06-27 10:32
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No +0 $1 18¢ $0 $-1 06-27 10:32
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30? Yes +0 $1 10¢ $0 $-1 06-27 10:32
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? Yes +0 $0 34¢ $0 $-0 06-27 10:31
Iran leadership change by December 31? Yes +0 $1 16¢ $0 $-1 06-27 10:32
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? Yes +0 $1 11¢ $0 $-1 06-27 10:32
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? Yes +5 $2 $0 $-2 06-15 23:39