(anonymous) 0xd8e4b4…11a9cf
bot
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$325
Unrealized P&L
-$8
Hit rate
44.2%
Resolved
2,282
Trades
3,785
lifetime
Volume
$11.3K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$3
Open exposure
$62
23 positions
First seen
2026-04-27
last 10-23 12:40
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 110 days
Categories
Other
77% 47% -$609
Sports
13% 47% +$347
Politics
8% 44% +$17
Tech
1% 29% -$38
Crypto
1% 35% -$42
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
21 active days in 12wk • peak 19 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Wes Moore win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes -2,000 -$24 2¢ $-39 -$15 04-29 16:33
Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026? Yes -432 -$26 2¢ $-7 +$19 04-29 16:32
Will Anthropic IPO by December 15, 2026? Yes +4 $3 92¢ $3 +$0 10-02 00:03
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31? Yes +4 $3 80¢ $3 +$0 10-01 00:01
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31? Yes +4 $3 70¢ $3 $0 10-02 00:03
will anthropics valuation hit high 3pt0t by december 31 No +4 $3 80¢ $3 $0 08-12 00:00
Will FISA Section 702 reauthorization become law this year? Yes +13 $4 15¢ $2 -$2 06-30 12:05
Kadyrov out as Head of the Chechen Republic by December 31, 2026? Yes +19 $6 6¢ $1 -$5 06-30 00:13
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? No +0 $1 93¢ $0 -$1 06-27 10:33
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Yes +0 $0 97¢ $0 +$0 04-28 23:34
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No +0 $1 90¢ $0 -$1 06-27 10:32
OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027? No +0 $0 90¢ $0 +$0 06-27 10:33
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? No +0 $0 96¢ $0 +$0 06-27 10:33
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +2 -$1 3¢ $0 +$1 06-27 10:33
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No +0 $0 98¢ $0 $0 06-27 10:31
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? Yes +0 $1 16¢ $0 -$1 06-27 10:32
US strike on Cuba by December 31? Yes +0 $2 8¢ $0 -$2 08-06 02:10
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? Yes +0 $1 22¢ $0 -$1 06-27 10:33
Iran leadership change by December 31? Yes +0 $1 15¢ $0 -$1 06-27 10:32
US national Bitcoin reserve before 2027? Yes +0 $0 4¢ $0 $0 06-27 10:31
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026? Yes +0 -$1 6¢ $0 +$1 06-27 10:32
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026? Yes +0 $1 3¢ $0 -$1 06-27 10:33
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +0 $0 2¢ $0 $0 06-27 10:32