Realized P&L
+$56
Unrealized P&L
-$9
Hit rate
54.6%
Resolved
73
Trades
3,179
lifetime
Volume
$9.66K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$3
Open exposure
$148
23 positions
First seen
2026-04-27
last 07-20 20:18
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 13 days
Categories
Other
77% 71% $-2
Sports
14% 53% +$58
Politics
7%
Tech
1%
Crypto
1%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
73 active days in 12wk • peak 372 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Trump out as President before 2027? No -114 $-103 92¢ $-106 $-3 07-11 18:56
OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027? No -9 $-8 92¢ $-8 $-0 06-27 10:33
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? No +6 $0 88¢ $5 +$5 07-13 05:52
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? No -6 $-4 80¢ $-4 $-0 06-27 10:33
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes +14 $3 26¢ $4 +$1 07-17 05:32
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026? Yes -8 $-3 42¢ $-4 $-0 06-27 10:33
Waymo IPO before 2027? No -3 $-3 97¢ $-3 $-0 06-27 10:33
Will FISA Section 702 reauthorization become law this year? Yes +13 $4 24¢ $3 $-1 06-30 12:05
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? Yes -9 $-3 32¢ $-3 +$0 06-27 10:33
US strike on Cuba by December 31? Yes +8 $4 33¢ $3 $-1 07-02 10:27
US x Cuba military clash in 2026? Yes +8 $3 30¢ $3 $-1 07-05 22:19
Kadyrov out as Head of the Chechen Republic by December 31, 2026? Yes +19 $6 12¢ $2 $-3 06-30 00:13
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No +0 $1 46¢ $0 $-1 06-27 10:32
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? No +0 $-0 99¢ $0 +$0 06-27 10:32
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No +0 $0 92¢ $0 $-0 06-27 10:31
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026? Yes +0 $-1 55¢ $0 +$1 06-27 10:32
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? Yes +0 $1 22¢ $0 $-1 06-27 10:32
New Rihanna Album before GTA VI? Yes +0 $0 50¢ $0 $-0 06-27 10:32
Iran leadership change by December 31? Yes +0 $1 24¢ $0 $-1 06-27 10:32
US national Bitcoin reserve before 2027? Yes +0 $0 18¢ $0 $-0 06-27 10:31
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? Yes +0 $1 15¢ $0 $-1 06-27 10:32
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30? Yes +0 $1 $0 $-1 06-27 10:32
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +0 $0 11¢ $0 $-0 06-27 10:32