Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$438

Unrealized P&L

-$19

Hit rate

64.7%

Resolved

229

Trades

374

lifetime

Volume

$5.83K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$16

Open exposure

$181

14 positions

First seen

2026-05-11

last 10-26 19:38

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 47 days

Categories

Other

50% 33% +$313

Sports

33% 41% +$91

Politics

13% 100% +$44

Crypto

4% 33% -$11

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

35 active days in 12wk • peak 22 trades/day

Open positions (14) Resolved markets (24) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	+236	$50	18¢	$43	-$7	08-21 17:23
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	+83	$30	34¢	$28	-$2	10-06 14:18
Will Paris Saint-Germain win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	Yes	+134	$20	18¢	$23	+$3	10-20 20:01
Will Real Madrid win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	Yes	+91	$10	12¢	$11	+$1	10-13 21:31
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	Yes	+143	$10	8¢	$11	+$1	10-13 21:31
Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?	Yes	+476	$10	2¢	$10	$0	08-31 19:44
Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	Yes	+71	$10	14¢	$10	$0	10-20 20:01
Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	Yes	+42	$10	22¢	$9	-$1	10-13 21:30
Will Bayern Munich win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	Yes	+67	$10	14¢	$9	-$1	10-13 21:31
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	+47	$10	18¢	$9	-$1	08-06 14:22
Will Atlético Madrid win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	Yes	+333	$10	2¢	$8	-$2	10-13 21:31
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.25T at market close on IPO day?	Yes	+25	$5	24¢	$6	+$1	10-25 02:11
Any Brazil STF Justice removed by impeachment before 2027?	Yes	+86	$5	3¢	$3	-$2	10-26 03:53
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?	Yes	+111	$10	2¢	$2	-$8	08-06 14:21

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	15	$608	1,431	1,431	+0	No	+$96	07-19 20:43
fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 team to advance	4	$562	608	608	+0	Argentina	+$162	07-15 20:48
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	10	$301	6,085	5,630	+455	No	-$21	07-06 02:35
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,700 in August?	2	$232	192	192	+0	No	+$132	08-24 13:20
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	4	$216	324	324	+0	No	+$36	07-14 06:00
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	8	$209	3,093	2,566	+526	No	-$1	07-11 23:12
Will Grecia Quiroz win the 2027 Michoacán Governor Election?	13	$151	808	0	+808	open	—	09-10 12:01
will bitcoin reach 67pt5k in august 2026	2	$139	89	89	+0	Yes	+$39	08-19 15:33
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	5	$134	339	339	+0	Yes	+$9	07-14 05:58
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$107	255	255	+0	No	+$7	07-15 04:17
Will the Institutional Revolutionary Party (PRI) win the second most seats in the 2027 Mexico legislative election?	1	$100	430	0	+430	open	—	07-16 16:26
Will Luis Bernardo Nava Guerrero win the 2027 Querétaro Governor Election?	2	$95	132	91	+40	open	—	10-06 08:50
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	3	$92	99	68	+31	No	+$22	10-25 23:06
Will Mexico be eliminated in the Round of 16 of the World Cup?	6	$89	75	75	+0	Yes	+$9	07-06 02:07
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	2	$73	54	54	+0	Yes	+$13	09-11 12:53
Will Alfonso Sánchez García win the 2027 Tlaxcala Governor Election?	4	$70	388	0	+388	open	—	09-29 05:03
Will Spain win on 2026-07-19?	2	$58	117	117	+0	No	-$42	07-19 21:11
Will Mexico be eliminated in the Quarterfinals of the World Cup?	4	$50	119	119	+0	No	-$10	07-06 02:38
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	1	$50	236	0	+236	open	—	08-21 17:23
fifwc fra esp 2026 07 14 team to advance	1	$50	84	0	+84	Spain	-$50	07-14 05:58
Will Spain be the furthest advancing UEFA nation at the World Cup?	2	$44	88	88	+0	Yes	+$4	07-07 14:51
Exact Score: Spain 2 - 1 Belgium?	2	$43	42	42	+0	Yes	+$33	07-10 20:59
Exact Score: Spain 0 - 0 Argentina?	2	$43	42	42	+0	Yes	+$33	07-19 21:12
fifwc cdr uzb 2026 06 27 spread home 1pt5	2	$41	33	33	+0	DR Congo	+$21	06-28 01:28
Exact Score: VfB Stuttgart 1 - 1 Club Atlético de Madrid?	2	$40	42	42	+0	Yes	+$30	10-20 20:47
Will Portugal win on 2026-07-02?	2	$39	34	34	+0	Yes	+$29	07-03 01:02
ucl ast fen 2026 10 14 spread home 1pt5	2	$38	28	28	+0	Aston Villa FC	+$18	10-14 20:46
fifwc arg che 2026 07 11 penalty shootout	1	$35	49	0	+49	No	+$14	07-12 02:56
Exact Score: Scotland 0 - 3 Brazil?	2	$31	45	45	+0	Yes	+$21	06-24 23:47
Will Ana Lilia Rivera Rivera win the 2027 Tlaxcala Governor Election?	1	$30	59	0	+59	open	—	09-29 05:28

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-26 19:38:32	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	26	19¢	$5	0xd534ef…
10-26 03:54:11	Jair Bolsonaro released from custody by March 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	24	21¢	$5	0x54e281…
10-26 03:53:38	Any Brazil STF Justice removed by impeachment before 2027?	Yes	BUY	86	6¢	$5	0x325b71…
10-26 03:53:09	Will Pep Guardiola's next job be Manchester City?	Yes	BUY	60	8¢	$5	0xaca098…
10-26 01:12:14	Exact Score: CF América 2 - 1 CF Pachuca?	Yes	BUY	45	11¢	$5	0x5764f8…
10-26 01:11:50	Spread: CF América (-2.5)	CF América	BUY	29	17¢	$5	0x97a844…
10-25 23:06:36	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	31	16¢	$5	0xec7b47…
10-25 23:02:20	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	24	79¢	$19	0x7388fb…
10-25 21:47:48	Exact Score: FC Barcelona 1 - 2 Real Madrid CF?	Yes	SELL	41	12¢	$5	0xe91489…
10-25 20:51:59	Exact Score: FC Barcelona 1 - 2 Real Madrid CF?	Yes	BUY	41	12¢	$5	0x3b6a97…
10-25 20:51:45	Exact Score: FC Barcelona 2 - 1 Real Madrid CF?	Yes	BUY	38	13¢	$5	0xf49416…
10-25 16:51:36	Exact Score: Sunderland AFC 1 - 2 Leeds United FC?	Yes	BUY	62	8¢	$5	0x7b1e26…
10-25 16:42:38	Exact Score: Sunderland AFC 0 - 1 Leeds United FC?	Yes	BUY	42	12¢	$5	0x8b3961…
10-25 16:42:18	Will Sunderland AFC vs. Leeds United FC end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0xa97e50…
10-25 15:31:00	Will Manchester United FC vs. AFC Bournemouth end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	18	1¢	$0	0xaf9fe9…
10-25 15:09:42	Exact Score: Manchester United FC 1 - 3 AFC Bournemouth?	Yes	BUY	40	12¢	$5	0x5cf85d…
10-25 14:41:45	Exact Score: Manchester United FC 2 - 2 AFC Bournemouth?	Yes	BUY	65	8¢	$5	0x319a66…
10-25 13:32:20	Exact Score: Manchester United FC 2 - 2 AFC Bournemouth?	Yes	BUY	71	7¢	$5	0x79d833…
10-25 13:32:02	Will Manchester United FC vs. AFC Bournemouth end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0x838062…
10-25 03:59:00	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	24	21¢	$5	0xaaf280…
10-25 03:27:54	Exact Score: Pumas de la UNAM 2 - 1 Tigres de la UANL?	Yes	BUY	36	14¢	$5	0xe105f9…
10-25 03:27:38	Will Pumas de la UNAM vs. Tigres de la UANL end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	19	26¢	$5	0xf4926a…
10-25 02:11:00	Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.25T at market close on IPO day?	Yes	BUY	25	20¢	$5	0xfc9b00…
10-25 02:09:50	Will FC Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	31	16¢	$5	0x3049bd…
10-25 01:15:53	Will CF Monterrey win on 2026-10-24?	Yes	BUY	21	24¢	$5	0x1e478c…
10-25 00:59:20	Exact Score: CF Monterrey 2 - 1 CD Guadalajara?	Yes	BUY	50	10¢	$5	0xe6e72e…
10-25 00:58:57	Will CF Monterrey win on 2026-10-24?	Yes	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0xd4ef37…
10-25 00:26:57	Exact Score: Club León FC 1 - 2 Deportivo Toluca FC?	Yes	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0x501781…
10-23 03:31:18	Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	62	16¢	$10	0x2e84a7…
10-21 20:44:59	Exact Score: FC Internazionale Milano 1 - 0 FK Shakhtar Donetsk?	Yes	SELL	17	69¢	$11	0x516d3b…
10-21 20:22:35	Exact Score: FC Internazionale Milano 1 - 0 FK Shakhtar Donetsk?	Yes	BUY	17	30¢	$5	0x6ecd80…
10-21 20:18:44	Exact Score: FC Bayern München 1 - 1 Arsenal FC?	Yes	SELL	42	6¢	$2	0xb26f0e…
10-21 20:08:44	Exact Score: Real Madrid CF 3 - 1 RB Leipzig?	Yes	SELL	56	9¢	$5	0x2452a0…
10-21 15:38:53	Exact Score: Lille OSC 2 - 1 Galatasaray SK?	Yes	BUY	50	10¢	$5	0xc23390…
10-21 15:37:24	Will Lille OSC vs. Galatasaray SK end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	19	27¢	$5	0x333b99…
10-20 20:47:05	Exact Score: VfB Stuttgart 1 - 1 Club Atlético de Madrid?	Yes	SELL	42	83¢	$35	0x0505a6…
10-20 20:30:53	Exact Score: Paris Saint-Germain FC 2 - 1 FC Barcelona?	Yes	SELL	71	14¢	$10	0xb92c5e…
10-20 20:01:48	Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	Yes	BUY	71	14¢	$10	0x94174f…
10-20 20:01:39	Will Paris Saint-Germain win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	Yes	BUY	62	16¢	$10	0x750f90…
10-20 18:25:20	Exact Score: Sabah FK 1 - 3 BV Borussia 09 Dortmund?	Yes	SELL	19	24¢	$5	0xf5c79f…
10-20 18:04:18	Exact Score: Sabah FK 1 - 3 BV Borussia 09 Dortmund?	Yes	BUY	19	26¢	$5	0x80440f…
10-19 05:12:53	Exact Score: VfB Stuttgart 1 - 1 Club Atlético de Madrid?	Yes	BUY	42	12¢	$5	0x185b78…
10-19 05:12:03	Will VfB Stuttgart vs. Club Atlético de Madrid end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	19	26¢	$5	0x285fbc…
10-19 05:10:06	Exact Score: FC Bayern München 1 - 1 Arsenal FC?	Yes	BUY	42	12¢	$5	0x8c26d3…
10-19 05:09:48	Will FC Bayern München vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0xf51fd3…
10-19 05:08:21	Exact Score: Paris Saint-Germain FC 1 - 2 FC Barcelona?	Yes	BUY	71	7¢	$5	0x15b6f5…
10-19 05:08:03	Exact Score: Paris Saint-Germain FC 2 - 1 FC Barcelona?	Yes	BUY	71	7¢	$5	0x957b7f…
10-19 05:07:48	Exact Score: Paris Saint-Germain FC 2 - 2 FC Barcelona?	Yes	BUY	56	9¢	$5	0x3f8c01…
10-19 05:07:27	Will Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Barcelona end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	24	21¢	$5	0x878241…
10-19 05:06:41	Exact Score: Aston Villa FC 2 - 0 Viking FK?	Yes	BUY	50	10¢	$5	0x5df177…
10-19 05:05:51	Exact Score: Real Madrid CF 3 - 1 RB Leipzig?	Yes	BUY	56	9¢	$5	0x619e99…
10-19 04:59:56	Exact Score: Sporting CP 3 - 0 LASK Linz?	Yes	BUY	45	11¢	$5	0x23dd42…
10-19 04:59:38	Spread: Sporting CP (-2.5)	Sporting CP	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0x7cdc8a…
10-19 04:58:20	Exact Score: AS Roma 3 - 0 ŠK Slovan Bratislava?	Yes	BUY	42	12¢	$5	0x9b18d3…
10-19 04:57:57	Spread: AS Roma (-2.5)	AS Roma	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0x9295af…
10-19 04:56:50	Exact Score: Liverpool FC 3 - 1 Villarreal CF?	Yes	BUY	62	8¢	$5	0x745bc0…
10-19 04:56:23	Spread: Liverpool FC (-1.5)	Liverpool FC	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0x72b2c7…
10-19 04:55:11	Exact Score: Manchester City FC 3 - 0 AEK?	Yes	BUY	36	14¢	$5	0x2240c4…
10-19 04:54:08	Spread: Manchester City FC (-3.5)	Manchester City FC	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0xb97341…
10-18 15:43:21	Exact Score: Nottingham Forest FC 0 - 2 Arsenal FC?	Yes	BUY	36	14¢	$5	0xa31ccd…
10-18 15:42:57	Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)	Arsenal FC	BUY	14	35¢	$5	0x4e6aa5…
10-18 02:51:48	Spread: CF Cruz Azul (-1.5)	CF Cruz Azul	BUY	19	54¢	$10	0x415a9a…
10-18 02:51:21	Exact Score: CF Cruz Azul 2 - 1 FC Juárez?	Yes	BUY	45	11¢	$5	0xa70e91…
10-17 23:26:44	Spread: CD Guadalajara (-1.5)	CD Guadalajara	BUY	37	27¢	$10	0x4f4298…
10-17 16:18:08	Spread: FC Bayern München (-2.5)	FC Bayern München	BUY	23	43¢	$10	0xe750e6…
10-17 16:17:32	FC Bayern München vs. RB Leipzig: Both Teams to Score	No	SELL	17	28¢	$5	0xb750ab…
10-17 16:11:48	FC Bayern München vs. RB Leipzig: Both Teams to Score	No	BUY	17	30¢	$5	0xb738b3…
10-17 16:10:38	Exact Score: FC Bayern München 3 - 1 RB Leipzig?	Yes	BUY	56	9¢	$5	0xde7383…
10-17 15:34:24	Spread: Liverpool FC (-1.5)	Liverpool FC	BUY	57	17¢	$10	0x724895…
10-15 04:13:05	uel jag aa 2026 10 15 spread home 1pt5	Jagiellonia Białystok	BUY	22	46¢	$10	0x114cc6…
10-15 04:11:49	Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. Celtic FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	21	47¢	$10	0xecd6c8…
10-15 04:10:55	uel ren1 ofi 2026 10 15 spread home 2pt5	Stade Rennais FC 1901	BUY	26	38¢	$10	0x49b102…
10-15 04:08:14	uel az hbs 2026 10 15 spread home 2pt5	AZ	BUY	31	32¢	$10	0x6cf0d2…
10-15 04:06:41	Spread: AC Sparta Praha (-2.5)	AC Sparta Praha	BUY	36	28¢	$10	0x11d194…
10-15 04:05:05	uel lep lev 2026 10 15 spread away 1pt5	Bayer 04 Leverkusen	BUY	26	38¢	$10	0x21ff0e…
10-14 20:46:18	ucl ast fen 2026 10 14 spread home 1pt5	Aston Villa FC	SELL	28	100¢	$28	0x51a302…
10-13 21:31:43	Will Atlético Madrid win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	Yes	BUY	333	3¢	$10	0x3f8906…
10-13 21:31:25	Will Bayern Munich win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	Yes	BUY	67	15¢	$10	0x5798cd…
10-13 21:31:12	Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	Yes	BUY	143	7¢	$10	0x501f75…
10-13 21:31:04	Will Real Madrid win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	Yes	BUY	91	11¢	$10	0x76b300…
10-13 21:31:00	Will Paris Saint-Germain win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	Yes	BUY	71	14¢	$10	0x43ba50…
10-13 21:30:52	Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	Yes	BUY	42	24¢	$10	0x8fd835…
10-13 21:29:55	Will FK Shakhtar Donetsk win on 2026-10-14?	Yes	BUY	28	36¢	$10	0x3abe5c…
10-13 21:29:24	Will Real Betis Balompié vs. FC Porto end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	19	26¢	$5	0x5915f6…
10-13 21:28:33	Spread: Aston Villa FC (-1.5)	Aston Villa FC	BUY	28	36¢	$10	0x14386c…
10-13 21:28:09	Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-10-14?	Yes	BUY	22	46¢	$10	0xa7f93c…
10-13 21:27:15	Exact Score: Manchester City FC 2 - 1 Paris Saint-Germain FC?	Yes	BUY	56	9¢	$5	0xc168a2…
10-13 21:26:30	Will Manchester City FC vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	42	24¢	$10	0x0974d2…
10-13 21:24:51	Spread: Real Madrid CF (-1.5)	Real Madrid CF	BUY	34	29¢	$10	0xfca6c2…
10-13 21:23:25	Will Feyenoord Rotterdam win on 2026-10-14?	Yes	BUY	37	27¢	$10	0x84e97c…
10-13 21:22:09	Spread: Liverpool FC (-2.5)	Liverpool FC	BUY	30	33¢	$10	0xcff9d8…
10-13 20:44:48	Exact Score: Galatasaray SK 1 - 5 FC Barcelona?	Yes	BUY	14	36¢	$5	0x95c146…
10-13 20:41:01	Exact Score: Club Atlético de Madrid 2 - 0 Manchester United FC?	Yes	BUY	17	59¢	$10	0xb99731…
10-13 20:26:12	Exact Score: Arsenal FC 3 - 0 Lille OSC?	Yes	BUY	16	32¢	$5	0xab7e73…
10-13 19:38:12	Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-10-13?	Yes	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0xa1080e…
10-13 19:15:01	Will Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Manchester United FC end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	56	18¢	$10	0x8cd5a4…
10-13 19:14:06	Exact Score: Galatasaray SK 1 - 2 FC Barcelona?	Yes	BUY	50	10¢	$5	0x459b2b…
10-11 04:04:38	Exact Score: CF América 3 - 1 CF Monterrey?	Yes	BUY	76	13¢	$10	0x277aed…
10-11 03:31:51	Will CF América win on 2026-10-10?	Yes	BUY	34	29¢	$10	0x56d457…
10-11 02:59:27	Will CF América win on 2026-10-10?	Yes	BUY	19	53¢	$10	0x4b2a5c…