Realized P&L
+$11
Unrealized P&L
+$54
Hit rate
100.0%
Resolved
3
Trades
5,420
lifetime
Volume
$267.0K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$49
Open exposure
$467
13 positions
First seen
2026-01-03
last 06-30 23:07
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 2 days
Categories
Politics
87% 100% +$1
Other
10%
Sports
2% 100% +$10
Tech
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
65 active days in 12wk • peak 224 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Israel reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026? No -186 $-171 97¢ $-180 $-9 05-31 00:45
Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027? No -183 $-156 87¢ $-160 $-4 06-06 15:17
Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by June 30, 2026? No +54 $25 100¢ $54 +$29 05-31 10:15
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? Yes +94 $22 30¢ $28 +$5 06-18 14:21
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027? Yes -189 $-27 11¢ $-20 +$7 06-09 19:08
Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027? Yes +150 $8 $14 +$6 06-29 17:03
Will Donald Trump visit Israel in 2026? Yes -30 $-8 18¢ $-5 +$3 06-18 14:23
Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by June 30? Yes -560 $-56 $-4 +$52 06-09 09:16
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027? Yes -11 $14 28¢ $-3 $-17 06-18 14:21
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by June 30? Yes -96 $-4 $-0 +$4 06-04 01:12
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? Yes -100 $23 $-0 $-23 06-18 14:24
Will Benny Gantz join the Bennett-Lapid alliance by June 30? Yes -8 $-0 $-0 +$0 06-10 20:07
Will Eisenkot join the Bennett-Lapid alliance by June 30? Yes -5 $-0 $-0 +$0 06-10 20:07