Realized P&L
+$11
Unrealized P&L
+$78
Hit rate
100.0%
Resolved
3
Trades
4,470
lifetime
Volume
$225.2K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$50
Open exposure
$902
12 positions
First seen
2026-01-03
last 06-10 00:50
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 2 days
Categories
Politics
90% 100% +$1
Other
8%
Sports
2% 100% +$10
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
62 active days in 12wk • peak 107 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? Yes +1,772 $271 16¢ $292 +$21 06-10 01:05
Will Israel reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026? No -186 $-171 92¢ $-170 +$1 05-31 00:45
Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027? No -183 $-156 86¢ $-157 $-1 06-06 15:17
Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by June 30? Yes -560 $-56 13¢ $-73 $-17 06-09 09:16
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026? No +91 $16 74¢ $68 +$51 06-10 00:07
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31? Yes +166 $62 32¢ $54 $-9 06-04 05:46
Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by June 30, 2026? No +54 $25 94¢ $51 +$26 05-31 10:15
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027? Yes -189 $-27 13¢ $-25 +$3 06-09 19:08
Will Netanyahu be pardoned by June 30? Yes -162 $-10 $-8 +$2 06-01 08:53
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by June 30? Yes -96 $-4 $-3 +$2 06-04 01:12
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30? Yes +10 $2 13¢ $1 $-1 06-08 06:42
Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027? Yes +5 $1 16¢ $1 $-0 06-03 23:03