Realized P&L
-$94
Unrealized P&L
+$10
Hit rate
91.8%
Resolved
127
Trades
163
lifetime
Volume
$18.4K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$113
Open exposure
$649
10 positions
First seen
2026-01-04
last 10-24 09:37
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 70 days
Categories
Other
50% 79% +$154
Tech
17% 95% +$327
Crypto
14% 91% -$64
Sports
7% 62% -$19
Politics
7% 44% -$409
Pop-Culture
5% 83% -$84
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
7 active days in 12wk • peak 14 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026? No +246 $245 100¢ $245 +$0 10-18 14:18
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026? Yes +131 $105 92¢ $120 +$15 10-24 09:37
Will Bitcoin dip to $67,500 in October? No +73 $69 99¢ $72 +$3 10-05 18:08
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? Yes +78 $52 88¢ $68 +$16 10-05 18:09
Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026? Yes +74 $52 88¢ $66 +$14 10-05 18:10
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? Yes +66 $52 93¢ $61 +$9 10-05 18:11
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? Yes +58 $15 15¢ $8 -$7 09-05 10:47
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? Yes +100 $15 4¢ $4 -$11 09-05 10:48
gianni infantino out as fifa president by december 31 20260706195547871 Yes +68 $15 4¢ $3 -$12 08-07 08:20
Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026? Yes +49 $20 4¢ $2 -$18 10-05 18:07