Realized P&L
+$1
Unrealized P&L
-$5
Hit rate
78.8%
Resolved
3
Trades
5,613
lifetime
Volume
$13.6K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$2
Open exposure
$64
7 positions
First seen
2026-04-06
last 07-19 17:36
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 3 days
Categories
Politics
69% 100% +$3
Crypto
27%
Other
4% 0% $-2
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
60 active days in 12wk • peak 408 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? No -49 $-41 88¢ $-43 $-1 06-05 09:17
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? No -13 $-8 86¢ $-11 $-3 06-05 09:17
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 Yes -6 $-4 70¢ $-4 $-0 06-21 04:13
Israel and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2026? No -3 $-2 94¢ $-2 $-0 06-20 14:17
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027? No -1 $-1 92¢ $-1 $-0 06-05 09:17
Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027? No +1 $1 84¢ $1 +$0 06-27 18:10
Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027? No -1 $-1 85¢ $-1 $-0 06-05 09:17