Those-Impression 0xdcdef2…437960
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Realized P&L
+$1
Unrealized P&L
-$18
Hit rate
78.8%
Resolved
3
Trades
5,547
lifetime
Volume
$13.5K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$2
Open exposure
$114
16 positions
First seen
2026-04-06
last 06-27 18:10
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 3 days
Categories
Politics
69% 100% +$3
Crypto
27% — —
Other
4% 0% $-2
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
72 active days in 12wk • peak 408 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? No -49 $-41 88¢ $-43 $-1 06-05 09:17
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30? No -27 $-27 100¢ $-27 $-1 06-05 09:17
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026? No -11 $-10 100¢ $-11 $-1 06-14 21:25
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? No -13 $-8 80¢ $-10 $-3 06-05 09:17
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by June 30? No -5 $-4 99¢ $-5 $-1 05-29 09:24
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 Yes -6 $-4 84¢ $-5 $-1 06-21 04:13
Kurds declare independence from Iran? No -3 $-3 99¢ $-3 $-0 06-05 09:17
U.S. Embassy in Damascus reopened by June 30, 2026? No -2 $-2 99¢ $-2 $-0 06-05 09:17
Israel and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2026? No -3 $-2 88¢ $-2 $-0 06-20 14:17
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? No +1 $1 100¢ $1 +$0 06-19 20:58
Iran coup attempt by June 30? No +1 $1 100¢ $1 +$0 06-11 08:11
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027? No -1 $-1 90¢ $-1 $-0 06-05 09:17
Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027? No -1 $-1 89¢ $-1 $-0 06-05 09:17
Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027? No +1 $1 80¢ $1 $-0 06-27 18:10
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? Yes +23 $8 0¢ $0 $-8 06-20 04:30
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? Yes +0 $3 1¢ $0 $-3 06-19 17:49