Those-Impression — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$634

Unrealized P&L

-$16

Hit rate

54.9%

Resolved

176

Trades

6,482

lifetime

Volume

$17.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$131

4 positions

First seen

2026-04-06

last 09-19 21:35

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 46 days

Categories

Politics

64% 56% +$179

Crypto

21% 35% -$815

Other

14% 55% +$1

Sports

0% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

12 active days in 12wk • peak 30 trades/day

Open positions (4) Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?	No	-99	-$88	96¢	$-95	-$7	05-05 18:07
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	Yes	-25	-$15	85¢	$-21	-$6	05-05 18:07
Iran leadership change by December 31?	No	-12	-$8	85¢	$-11	-$3	05-05 18:07
Israel and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2026?	No	-4	-$3	95¢	$-4	$0	09-19 21:35

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	277	$1.1K	559	559	-0	No	-$5	06-20 13:38
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	49	$776	502	502	+0	Yes	+$50	04-21 20:02
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	77	$739	396	382	+14	No	+$3	05-01 05:56
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-06 08:40 UTC	572	$653	18,642	0	+18,642	Up	-$213	04-06 08:46
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	86	$623	632	632	+0	No	+$8	04-26 08:59
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	22	$576	667	667	+0	Yes	+$10	04-09 21:35
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	169	$513	1,124	1,067	+57	No	-$33	05-25 00:17
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	44	$472	364	362	+2	No	+$44	05-31 04:06
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	65	$402	216	216	-0	open	—	09-19 21:35
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-06 08:35 UTC	344	$398	2,369	0	+2,369	Up	-$95	04-06 08:40
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	90	$393	268	262	+6	Yes	+$22	04-21 18:09
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?	77	$309	202	202	+0	open	—	06-05 09:17
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-06 14:20 UTC	79	$308	346	332	+14	Up	+$3	04-06 14:25
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?	100	$291	1,038	1,018	+20	No	-$125	04-30 17:13
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-06 08:45 UTC	242	$284	1,298	0	+1,298	Down	-$100	04-06 08:49
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	29	$276	226	205	+21	No	+$1	05-24 05:21
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	75	$275	373	340	+33	Yes	+$47	06-14 21:22
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-06 08:50 UTC	233	$271	6,056	0	+6,056	Down	-$150	04-06 08:55
US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?	35	$270	338	338	+0	No	+$32	04-25 20:00
israel x hezbollah ceasefire extended by april 26 2026	83	$270	335	335	+0	Yes	+$60	04-28 13:12
Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	388	$250	164	164	+0	No	+$11	05-06 08:23
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-06 08:40 UTC	196	$229	3,024	0	+3,024	Down	-$46	04-06 08:45
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?	68	$223	410	397	+13	No	+$24	04-30 00:37
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	16	$216	178	178	+0	Yes	-$1	05-06 08:23
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	100	$210	265	233	+32	No	-$6	06-20 04:30
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-06 14:10 UTC	2	$204	189	183	+6	Up	+$4	04-06 14:13
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	5	$202	105	105	+0	No	+$2	04-13 07:40
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-09 22:05 UTC	2	$202	222	213	+9	Up	+$11	04-09 22:07
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	58	$201	200	165	+35	Yes	+$27	04-16 08:37
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-06 08:45 UTC	167	$197	888	0	+888	Down	-$54	04-06 08:49

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-19 21:35:32	Nothing Ever Happens: 2026	Yes	SELL	1	81¢	$1	0x4b0210…
09-19 21:35:32	Israel and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0x0ce8b3…
09-19 21:35:30	Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?	No	SELL	2	95¢	$2	0xa82901…
09-19 21:35:30	Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?	No	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0xa2a35c…
09-19 21:35:30	Will another country leave OPEC in 2026?	Yes	SELL	31	14¢	$4	0x1e4fd4…
09-19 21:35:29	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	3	94¢	$3	0x767458…
09-19 21:35:26	Foreign intervention in Gaza by December 31?	Yes	SELL	43	12¢	$5	0x162496…
09-19 21:35:23	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	SELL	216	93¢	$201	0x7a23fb…
09-12 02:33:57	Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xad351d…
09-12 01:42:39	Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x16a82d…
09-10 22:44:39	Will another country leave OPEC in 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0xe55431…
09-10 13:05:15	Will another country leave OPEC in 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0xae184f…
09-09 06:40:57	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by September 30, 2026?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xcb01bf…
09-09 06:40:57	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by September 30, 2026?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x850916…
09-09 06:40:57	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by September 30, 2026?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x50ecd6…
09-09 06:40:57	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by September 30, 2026?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x43b72d…
08-31 17:05:13	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x59b83f…
08-31 16:59:01	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0x4dbb12…
08-30 21:51:13	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by August 31, 2026?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x9355ce…
08-29 10:26:15	Will another country leave OPEC in 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x471bc1…
08-29 06:14:15	Will another country leave OPEC in 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x535add…
08-29 01:11:12	Will another country leave OPEC in 2026?	Yes	BUY	12	32¢	$4	0xeaa13b…
08-29 00:05:16	Foreign intervention in Gaza by December 31?	Yes	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x2b2614…
08-28 13:04:07	Will another country leave OPEC in 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	31¢	$1	0x26a099…
08-28 09:18:37	Foreign intervention in Gaza by December 31?	Yes	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x10aba9…
08-28 09:18:31	Foreign intervention in Gaza by December 31?	Yes	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0xbf5b9b…
08-26 11:36:37	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xe2cec4…
08-26 11:36:30	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xf767d1…
08-26 10:58:06	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0xc1ba10…
08-26 10:35:06	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x88dca0…
08-26 09:51:42	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x412d84…
08-26 09:48:45	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x468ff6…
08-26 08:19:06	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xf38ea9…
08-26 01:00:19	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x32bfe2…
08-26 00:49:27	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x254d7a…
08-25 22:31:46	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xe0c7cb…
08-25 22:30:55	Foreign intervention in Gaza by December 31?	Yes	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x4aaad7…
08-25 19:41:46	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xc6f142…
08-25 15:38:16	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	BUY	4	93¢	$4	0x323434…
08-25 15:15:48	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x646251…
08-25 14:10:55	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x5992a5…
08-25 14:10:30	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x48340c…
08-25 12:19:18	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x842f54…
08-25 10:51:10	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xea8d97…
08-25 10:27:58	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0xa526fb…
08-25 10:26:33	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x0982cc…
08-25 10:07:01	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xae38ad…
08-25 10:06:24	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x03bd87…
08-25 09:55:43	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xe7590b…
08-25 09:44:49	Foreign intervention in Gaza by December 31?	Yes	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x531a2e…
08-25 09:39:43	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xfe7286…
08-25 09:20:19	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x2e0e43…
08-25 08:19:16	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xc8295f…
08-25 06:56:55	Foreign intervention in Gaza by December 31?	Yes	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x453268…
08-25 06:10:58	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x1f307c…
08-25 04:13:39	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0x3c4758…
08-25 04:02:52	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0xa831b3…
08-25 03:42:24	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x0af581…
08-25 03:17:01	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xed5d94…
08-25 02:58:54	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x5175ea…
08-25 02:28:33	Foreign intervention in Gaza by December 31?	Yes	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x5e82f3…
08-25 02:02:13	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x8c882c…
08-25 01:59:37	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	BUY	65	93¢	$61	0xda6267…
08-25 00:14:39	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x981a77…
08-24 23:54:33	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xa72400…
08-24 23:46:45	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x2eac9f…
08-24 22:34:40	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x4f738e…
08-24 21:47:13	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x12fa15…
08-24 21:42:00	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	BUY	4	93¢	$4	0x38457a…
08-24 21:14:07	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xf1e1be…
08-24 21:14:07	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xb036cb…
08-24 20:05:00	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	BUY	3	93¢	$3	0xbab756…
08-24 19:22:55	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	BUY	62	93¢	$57	0xf6714b…
08-24 19:13:51	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x892a0c…
08-24 18:51:51	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0xcccef1…
08-24 18:44:16	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x2f032e…
08-24 18:24:57	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xd92448…
08-24 17:31:01	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xd60e81…
08-24 17:31:00	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x7581ac…
08-24 17:31:00	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x235fbb…
08-24 17:30:58	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xe078a2…
08-24 17:30:58	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xad7ac4…
08-24 17:26:31	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x8a9349…
08-24 17:25:09	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x2deb94…
08-24 17:25:07	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x41c90f…
08-24 17:24:13	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xd27ceb…
08-24 17:23:06	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x09a791…
08-24 17:20:27	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	BUY	2	94¢	$2	0xe11268…
08-24 17:20:24	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	BUY	2	94¢	$2	0x8ac16c…
08-24 17:20:13	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x594880…
08-24 17:20:12	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x8a89ae…
08-24 17:20:10	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	BUY	4	94¢	$4	0x12ed22…
08-24 14:36:03	Foreign intervention in Gaza by December 31?	Yes	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xf51399…
08-24 14:22:10	Foreign intervention in Gaza by December 31?	Yes	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xd32e17…
08-23 17:28:25	Foreign intervention in Gaza by December 31?	Yes	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x0362ec…
08-23 16:43:10	Foreign intervention in Gaza by December 31?	Yes	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x0b8ce1…
07-24 12:05:58	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 31 827 659	No	SELL	0	99¢	$0	0x389f58…
07-19 17:36:13	israel withdraws from lebanon by august 31 2026	No	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0x67cb67…
07-19 16:59:13	israel withdraws from lebanon by september 30 2026	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xa0bfc1…
07-19 16:59:09	israel withdraws from lebanon by september 30 2026	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xf2d1d9…