Insignificant-Jackal — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$33

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

74.6%

Resolved

Trades

1,841

lifetime

Volume

$17.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 05-24 15:22

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 13 days

Categories

Crypto

43% 50% $-9

Other

41% 86% $-11

Politics

12% 67% $-13

Sports

2% 100% +$0

Tech

1% — —

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

40 active days in 12wk • peak 12 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will partido popular pp win the 2026 castilla y len regional election 258	19	$534	274	274	+0	open	—	03-15 19:04
will crude oil cl hit high 110 by march 20	14	$289	183	144	+39	open	—	03-18 05:29
will norway record a gold medal at the 2026 winter olympics 458	3	$258	130	130	+0	open	—	02-15 17:09
googl quarterly earnings gaap eps 02 04 2026 2pt64	2	$189	100	100	+0	open	—	01-29 13:15
Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?	7	$188	100	100	+0	open	—	03-17 06:59
btc updown 15m 1773676800	6	$188	156	144	+12	open	—	03-16 16:13
will beinir johannesen be the next lgmaur of the faroe islands following the 2026 faroese general election	15	$145	80	80	+0	open	—	04-09 08:23
nvda above 190 on february 27 2026	4	$127	100	100	+0	open	—	02-25 06:51
btc updown 15m 1772988300	5	$117	100	98	+1	open	—	03-08 16:51
btc updown 15m 1773654300	16	$109	79	78	+1	open	—	03-16 09:55
bkligend cb bar 2026 03 08	4	$106	57	57	+0	open	—	03-08 13:15
btc updown 15m 1772981100	6	$106	82	81	+1	open	—	03-08 14:51
btc updown 15m 1774019700	7	$105	91	75	+16	open	—	03-20 15:21
btc updown 15m 1774464300	4	$104	71	71	+1	open	—	03-25 18:49
btc updown 15m 1773010800	7	$96	98	28	+70	open	—	03-08 23:14
will crude oil cl hit high 180 by end of march 692	2	$94	50	50	+0	open	—	03-12 18:53
will trump say jesus this week march 8	6	$91	50	50	+0	open	—	03-08 09:22
btc updown 15m 1774017000	7	$90	67	66	+1	open	—	03-20 14:34
elon musk of tweets march 10 march 17 280 299	6	$90	50	50	+0	open	—	03-12 06:19
btc updown 15m 1773682200	4	$86	63	62	+1	open	—	03-16 17:37
btc updown 15m 1773252000	7	$84	66	60	+6	open	—	03-11 18:13
btc updown 15m 1774020600	6	$83	119	117	+2	open	—	03-20 15:42
btc updown 15m 1772739000	10	$79	101	100	+1	open	—	03-05 19:44
btc updown 15m 1774197000	9	$75	57	57	+1	open	—	03-22 16:44
btc updown 15m 1773120600	6	$73	60	59	+1	open	—	03-10 05:35
will bitcoin reach 69000 on march 7	2	$73	40	40	+0	open	—	03-07 18:02
btc updown 15m 1774295100	4	$72	158	0	+158	open	—	03-23 19:53
btc updown 15m 1773183600	7	$71	57	56	+1	open	—	03-10 23:14
btc updown 15m 1773414000	5	$69	62	62	+1	open	—	03-13 15:06
amzn close above 205 on february 19 2026	2	$69	100	100	+0	open	—	02-19 18:56

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-24 15:22:23	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 24?	Yes	BUY	6	97¢	$5	0xb13a8f…
05-22 16:37:37	Will Google (GOOGL) close above $390 on May 22?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xb7cf61…
05-20 23:43:22	Iran closes its airspace by May 21?	No	SELL	6	96¢	$6	0x313252…
05-19 05:40:41	Iran closes its airspace by May 21?	No	BUY	6	91¢	$5	0x1b6dd1…
05-18 13:25:09	Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $90 in May?	Yes	SELL	10	19¢	$2	0x5598f6…
05-16 22:46:39	Will Bulgaria be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	95¢	$6	0x12fc59…
05-13 19:55:01	Valencia vs. Panathinaikos	Valencia	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0x7967e5…
05-13 19:19:10	Valencia vs. Panathinaikos	Panathinaikos	SELL	6	35¢	$2	0xebf952…
05-13 19:12:17	Valencia vs. Panathinaikos	Panathinaikos	BUY	11	32¢	$4	0xe9e29a…
05-13 18:58:51	Will Meta (META) close above $620 on May 13?	No	SELL	5	85¢	$4	0x0161c5…
05-13 18:56:01	Will Meta (META) close above $620 on May 13?	No	BUY	10	83¢	$8	0xfc3ab4…
05-11 22:14:10	Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $90 in May?	Yes	BUY	10	45¢	$4	0xb50862…
05-11 19:56:13	Will eToro (ETOR) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	10	90¢	$9	0xbc8224…
05-10 15:29:49	Real Madrid vs. CB Breogan Lugo	Real Madrid	BUY	20	88¢	$18	0xfc9056…
05-10 15:06:03	Real Madrid vs. CB Breogan Lugo	Real Madrid	BUY	8	88¢	$7	0x0186b5…
05-10 11:11:59	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Alexander Blockx vs Alexander Zverev	Alexander Zverev	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0x3619d1…
05-09 14:09:32	Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 on May 9?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x942eb1…
05-08 14:35:50	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $220 Week of May 4 2026?	No	SELL	10	88¢	$9	0x035093…
05-08 14:20:26	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $220 Week of May 4 2026?	No	BUY	10	84¢	$8	0xb04fc5…
05-08 14:09:10	Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (HIGH) $630 Week of May 4 2026?	No	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x38b5e0…
05-08 13:59:15	Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $390 on May 8?	Yes	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xe5bdab…
05-07 18:36:41	Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $410 on May 7?	No	SELL	5	89¢	$4	0x84ed35…
05-07 18:36:39	Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $410 on May 7?	No	SELL	1	89¢	$1	0x858e08…
05-07 18:36:37	Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $410 on May 7?	No	SELL	1	89¢	$1	0xc896e4…
05-07 18:32:51	Meta (META) Up or Down on May 7?	Up	SELL	10	94¢	$9	0x22750c…
05-07 18:24:43	Meta (META) Up or Down on May 7?	Up	BUY	10	90¢	$9	0xb4a8af…
05-07 18:21:11	Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $410 on May 7?	No	BUY	7	82¢	$6	0x214d7b…
05-06 18:47:15	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $200 on May 6?	Yes	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x271f86…
05-06 18:01:40	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $200 on May 6?	Yes	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0xeea469…
05-06 17:57:47	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $200 on May 6?	Yes	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0xbad2a7…
05-06 17:57:42	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $200 on May 6?	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x0a7d2a…
05-06 17:36:05	Ethereum above 2,385 on May 6, 2PM ET?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x615e97…
05-06 10:48:12	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	No	SELL	10	96¢	$10	0x89d7e5…
05-06 08:56:40	Iran closes its airspace by May 7?	No	SELL	10	98¢	$10	0xa59486…
05-06 04:37:08	LoL: Gen.G vs Nongshim Red Force (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2	Gen.G	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0xcbe8b4…
05-06 04:18:08	Iran closes its airspace by May 7?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xea3a5a…
05-06 04:12:34	Will Trump or Melania say "Venezuela" at the Military Mothers event?	No	BUY	15	87¢	$13	0xd26048…
05-05 18:51:48	NVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down on May 5?	Down	SELL	10	84¢	$8	0x8133eb…
05-05 18:20:26	NVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down on May 5?	Down	BUY	10	81¢	$8	0x671302…
05-05 10:28:24	Will Sweden advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?	Yes	SELL	6	97¢	$6	0x595c96…
05-04 21:37:12	Will Sweden advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?	Yes	BUY	6	97¢	$6	0xea465d…
05-04 20:22:00	Will Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x1cdb8f…
05-04 20:19:54	Will Applovin (APP) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	6	95¢	$6	0x5cce41…
05-04 20:15:08	Will Navitas Semiconductor (NVTS) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	6	93¢	$6	0xbbaa64…
05-04 19:47:02	Will ON Semiconductor (ON) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0xf61842…
05-04 16:54:22	Rocket Lab (RKLB) Up or Down on May 4?	Up	BUY	6	77¢	$5	0x405a35…
05-04 16:48:56	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $195 on May 4?	Yes	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0x0cc292…
05-04 15:14:54	HYPE Up or Down on May 4?	Up	BUY	20	95¢	$19	0xaa2396…
05-03 21:42:18	Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase April 28-May 4?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x21c35e…
05-03 12:52:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 8AM ET	Down	SELL	10	2¢	$0	0x0da9c8…
05-03 12:32:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 8AM ET	Down	SELL	8	24¢	$2	0x2cfa78…
05-03 12:27:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 8AM ET	Down	BUY	28	18¢	$5	0x842bad…
05-03 11:46:02	Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by May 30?	No	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0xba1f5a…
05-03 02:38:34	Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by May 30?	No	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0x5c1fe6…
05-02 18:39:14	La Laguna Tenerife vs. Basquet Club Andorra	La Laguna Tenerife	BUY	10	94¢	$9	0x710210…
05-02 16:52:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 12PM ET	Up	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0xaf26f8…
05-02 16:49:36	Basquet Girona vs. Basket Zaragoza	Basquet Girona	BUY	10	87¢	$9	0x9f9f49…
05-02 04:30:04	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	No	BUY	10	94¢	$9	0x8abfa8…
05-01 15:45:54	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 1?	Up	SELL	15	96¢	$14	0x4b71ab…
05-01 15:45:02	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 1?	Up	BUY	15	95¢	$14	0x3b5c92…
05-01 15:31:34	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 1?	Yes	BUY	6	98¢	$6	0x451b43…
05-01 15:27:32	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 on May 1?	No	BUY	6	98¢	$6	0xd1d73a…
04-30 13:18:08	Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $335 Week of April 27 2026?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x952461…
04-30 08:22:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 4AM ET	Down	SELL	8	78¢	$6	0x93a900…
04-30 08:10:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 4AM ET	Down	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0x2a335e…
04-29 21:26:06	Will Sandisk (SNDK) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	20	96¢	$19	0xf5e669…
04-29 19:25:10	Will Powell say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during April press conference?	No	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x2746e9…
04-29 18:57:10	Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by May 30?	No	BUY	10	94¢	$9	0x0df5fa…
04-29 18:54:02	Will Powell say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during April press conference?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x68800d…
04-29 17:08:40	Real Madrid vs. Hapoel Tel Aviv	Real Madrid	BUY	10	78¢	$8	0x382096…
04-29 16:57:48	Will Trump say "Crypto / Bitcoin" during King Charles visit?	No	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0xdd2e8a…
04-29 16:54:40	Will Alphabet (GOOGL) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	SELL	10	98¢	$10	0x45cfd0…
04-28 22:28:32	Will SoFi Technologies (SOFI) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	SELL	5	94¢	$5	0x0da347…
04-28 18:23:32	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $210 on April 28?	Yes	SELL	5	91¢	$5	0x1475d0…
04-28 18:21:36	Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $430 on April 28?	No	SELL	8	97¢	$8	0x6f58c5…
04-28 18:16:00	Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $430 on April 28?	No	SELL	2	97¢	$2	0x485359…
04-28 18:08:26	Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $430 on April 28?	No	BUY	10	95¢	$10	0xe77fa2…
04-28 18:03:10	Will SoFi Technologies (SOFI) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	10	88¢	$9	0x6a00b8…
04-28 17:58:52	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $210 on April 28?	Yes	BUY	10	84¢	$8	0x45ebea…
04-28 10:02:06	Will the April 2026 unemployment rate be 4.5%?	No	SELL	10	97¢	$10	0x1bdb83…
04-27 21:43:04	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 23°C on April 28?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xa6c4bb…
04-27 20:59:10	Will Greece win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	10¢	$1	0x2a9264…
04-27 20:56:42	Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on April 27?	Yes	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x63b951…
04-27 08:32:14	Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on April 27?	Yes	BUY	6	55¢	$3	0xdac7e4…
04-26 20:50:08	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	Yes	BUY	6	98¢	$6	0xe039eb…
04-26 19:43:08	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xfc35fd…
04-26 19:40:48	Will Alphabet (GOOGL) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x7ed535…
04-26 19:39:04	Will Trump say "Crypto / Bitcoin" during King Charles visit?	No	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x3b0832…
04-26 19:37:50	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 29°C on April 27?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xc82d4f…
04-26 19:35:38	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xc9f1ea…
04-26 17:32:26	Will Oviedo be relegated from La Liga after the 2025–26 season?	Yes	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0xfaa94a…
04-26 16:10:50	Will Oviedo be relegated from La Liga after the 2025–26 season?	Yes	SELL	9	96¢	$9	0xb895cb…
04-26 13:50:30	Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-04-26?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x0f6c93…
04-25 12:39:58	Will Partido Popular (PP) win the Andalusia regional election?	Yes	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xb51525…
04-25 12:36:54	Will Greece win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	7¢	$1	0xbac11d…
04-24 23:47:50	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 54-55°F on April 25?	No	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x61e130…
04-24 23:46:20	Will Greece win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	7¢	$1	0x3b218b…
04-24 23:42:26	Will the total number of TSA passengers for April 20 - April 26 be greater than 18,500,000?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xdf0206…
04-24 23:37:56	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xaf66d1…
04-24 23:35:44	Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	Yes	SELL	2	85¢	$2	0xaf9a7e…