Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L (7d)

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Unrealized P&L

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Hit rate

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Resolved (7d)

Trades (7d)

204 lifetime

Volume (7d)

$398 lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

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0 positions

First seen

2026-07-19

last 10-20 13:29

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 15 days

Categories

Other

81% 28% -$10

Politics

10% 0% -$1

Tech

5% 0% -$2

Crypto

4% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

14 active days in 12wk • peak 8 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (22) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Qairat FK win on 2026-08-11?	13	$55	75	70	+5	No	-$3	08-10 10:58
Joseph Aoun out as President of Lebanon by December 31?	22	$38	177	177	+0	open	—	10-20 13:29
crint ken2 bhr 2026 08 05	9	$20	33	17	+16	Bahrain	-$6	08-05 10:33
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	9	$19	18	18	+0	Yes	$0	09-17 11:28
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	10	$19	20	12	+7	Yes	+$2	09-16 12:25
Nawaf Salam out as Lebanon PM in 2026?	6	$19	42	42	+0	open	—	10-20 13:29
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?	9	$18	9	9	+0	Yes	$0	08-14 14:06
Will Vinicius Junior stay at Real Madrid?	6	$18	16	9	+7	Yes	+$2	08-04 12:56
Will Netanyahu talk to Joseph Aoun by December 31?	6	$15	49	49	+0	open	—	10-20 13:29
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026?	11	$13	193	193	+0	open	—	07-26 18:11
Fed rate cut by July 2027 meeting?	4	$13	12	12	+0	open	—	10-20 13:29
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	6	$12	7	7	+0	Yes	$0	10-12 16:40
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	6	$12	10	10	+0	No	$0	08-16 00:28
iran invades kuwait by august 31 20260720015031546	10	$10	140	140	+0	No	-$1	07-26 22:11
will xauusd dip to 4100 in september 2026	4	$9	9	9	+0	No	$0	09-28 12:59
Exact Score: Any Other Score?	11	$9	23	18	+5	No	-$4	07-25 18:15
Will Qairat FK win on 2026-07-29?	8	$9	12	10	+2	Yes	+$1	07-29 14:49
Will Wesley Bell be the Democratic nominee for MO-01?	4	$8	6	6	+0	Yes	$0	07-31 06:01
Will S&P 500 (SPX) close at >$8,000 in December?	2	$8	9	9	+0	open	—	10-20 13:29
crcl quarterly earnings gaap eps 08 05 2026 0pt16	3	$6	6	3	+3	Yes	+$1	07-31 13:08
Will Brentford FC win on 2026-09-18?	3	$6	13	6	+7	Yes	+$4	09-18 17:17
Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?	2	$5	3	3	+0	Yes	$0	08-03 16:54
Will Rafael Fiziev fight Mateusz Gamrot next?	4	$4	19	19	+0	open	—	07-26 22:11
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	2	$4	305	0	+305	No	-$4	08-16 00:03
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	2	$4	4	4	+0	No	$0	09-16 10:35
will wti reach 85 in august 2026	2	$4	3	3	+0	Yes	$0	08-14 12:16
Will Henan FC win on 2026-07-31?	2	$4	4	4	+0	No	$0	07-31 07:29
Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2026-08-18?	2	$4	4	4	+0	No	$0	08-15 14:49
ucl kai pls 2026 08 11 total 0pt5	2	$4	2	2	+0	Over	$0	08-06 07:34
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	2	$4	12	12	+0	open	—	10-05 09:44

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-20 13:29:44	Fed rate cut by July 2027 meeting?	Yes	SELL	6	21¢	$1	0x79709c…
10-20 13:29:44	Nawaf Salam out as Lebanon PM in 2026?	Yes	SELL	39	5¢	$2	0x628a08…
10-20 13:29:44	Will Netanyahu talk to Joseph Aoun by December 31?	Yes	SELL	38	6¢	$2	0x290a16…
10-20 13:29:42	Joseph Aoun out as President of Lebanon by December 31?	No	SELL	3	93¢	$3	0x231fc7…
10-20 13:29:42	Will S&P 500 (SPX) close at >$8,000 in December?	Yes	SELL	9	29¢	$3	0x0f1ba8…
10-20 13:29:39	Joseph Aoun out as President of Lebanon by December 31?	No	SELL	3	93¢	$3	0xd6c911…
10-20 13:29:39	Fed rate cut by July 2027 meeting?	Yes	SELL	6	21¢	$1	0x06713f…
10-12 16:40:12	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	2	80¢	$2	0x6533ba…
10-12 11:03:20	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	2	84¢	$2	0x19379a…
10-12 10:30:21	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	3	83¢	$2	0xd73580…
10-12 08:51:25	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	3	84¢	$2	0xbb53e0…
10-07 05:21:14	Nawaf Salam out as Lebanon PM in 2026?	Yes	BUY	17	29¢	$5	0xc3dfd3…
10-07 04:45:09	Will S&P 500 (SPX) close at >$8,000 in December?	Yes	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0xc8f549…
10-06 13:11:36	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	2	81¢	$2	0x1af854…
10-06 13:08:07	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	2	82¢	$2	0x543d4f…
10-06 11:59:43	Joseph Aoun out as President of Lebanon by December 31?	No	BUY	3	95¢	$3	0x3d657c…
10-06 11:43:15	Will Netanyahu talk to Joseph Aoun by December 31?	Yes	BUY	38	13¢	$5	0x8b822d…
10-06 11:39:28	Joseph Aoun out as President of Lebanon by December 31?	No	BUY	3	95¢	$3	0x2636a3…
10-06 11:22:52	Nawaf Salam out as Lebanon PM in 2026?	Yes	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0x6e991f…
10-06 11:19:52	Fed rate cut by July 2027 meeting?	Yes	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0xba592e…
10-06 09:46:04	Nawaf Salam out as Lebanon PM in 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	31¢	$2	0x84d67f…
10-05 09:44:47	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	SELL	12	15¢	$2	0xe87813…
10-05 09:43:49	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	BUY	12	16¢	$2	0xc5b9fc…
10-05 08:58:59	Fed rate cut by July 2027 meeting?	Yes	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0x630f44…
09-28 12:59:09	will xauusd dip to 4100 in september 2026	No	SELL	5	47¢	$2	0x6d4728…
09-28 11:03:08	will xauusd dip to 4100 in september 2026	No	BUY	5	55¢	$2	0x5ddd0a…
09-28 10:52:18	will xauusd dip to 4100 in september 2026	No	SELL	4	52¢	$2	0x98b5b2…
09-28 10:48:15	will xauusd dip to 4100 in september 2026	No	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0x57d3b5…
09-18 17:17:06	Will Brentford FC win on 2026-09-18?	Yes	BUY	7	36¢	$2	0x33aeb6…
09-17 14:53:36	Will Brentford FC win on 2026-09-18?	Yes	SELL	6	34¢	$2	0x3d69e2…
09-17 14:53:18	Will Brentford FC win on 2026-09-18?	Yes	BUY	6	35¢	$2	0x7f45f0…
09-17 11:28:39	Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	Yes	SELL	13	8¢	$1	0x53e272…
09-17 11:28:37	Joseph Aoun out as President of Lebanon by December 31?	Yes	SELL	30	6¢	$2	0x9aad94…
09-17 11:28:37	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	4	44¢	$2	0x081b64…
09-16 12:25:48	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	3	89¢	$2	0x03f919…
09-16 11:12:54	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	4	44¢	$2	0x72a64f…
09-16 11:11:43	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	4	45¢	$2	0xef7aa3…
09-16 10:35:09	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	4	54¢	$2	0x3aa03b…
09-16 10:34:24	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	1	87¢	$1	0x70a345…
09-16 10:33:09	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0xc3a2c3…
09-16 10:20:07	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	4	45¢	$2	0xa24235…
09-16 08:59:55	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0xda29b5…
09-09 09:14:45	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	5	53¢	$2	0xbef3a7…
08-25 13:33:57	Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	Yes	BUY	13	15¢	$2	0xa99586…
08-17 19:52:30	crint tza ita 2026 08 18	Italy	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x9c2e6d…
08-16 15:05:04	Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-08-18?	Yes	BUY	9	29¢	$2	0xeb61fe…
08-16 00:28:04	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	2	73¢	$1	0x92a172…
08-16 00:18:54	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	214	0¢	$1	0x91f7bd…
08-16 00:17:10	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	1	0¢	$0	0xeaf27b…
08-16 00:17:09	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	1	0¢	$0	0xa8e6bf…
08-16 00:03:31	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	152	1¢	$2	0x5436bc…
08-15 23:46:09	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	216	0¢	$1	0xd2dfc8…
08-15 23:25:33	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	3	65¢	$2	0xb054c9…
08-15 23:23:48	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	3	66¢	$2	0xd7b96b…
08-15 23:19:16	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	2	74¢	$1	0xec54b0…
08-15 23:08:15	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	152	1¢	$2	0x559211…
08-15 14:49:36	Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2026-08-18?	Yes	SELL	4	46¢	$2	0xa9601b…
08-15 14:49:19	Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2026-08-18?	Yes	BUY	4	47¢	$2	0x0eab31…
08-14 14:06:01	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?	Yes	SELL	2	95¢	$2	0xd93a13…
08-14 14:04:54	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x437f03…
08-14 14:04:51	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xd2b1e9…
08-14 12:16:13	will wti reach 85 in august 2026	Yes	SELL	3	61¢	$2	0x32a8f1…
08-14 12:15:24	will wti reach 85 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	3	62¢	$2	0x2cdef4…
08-14 12:13:16	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?	Yes	SELL	2	95¢	$2	0x9be09a…
08-14 12:11:06	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0x37fb89…
08-14 12:09:48	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?	Yes	SELL	3	95¢	$3	0x25baf3…
08-14 12:09:36	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	96¢	$3	0xbc5114…
08-14 12:08:10	will netanyahu talk to joseph aoun by december 31	No	SELL	2	78¢	$2	0xfd237c…
08-14 12:06:57	will netanyahu talk to joseph aoun by december 31	No	BUY	2	84¢	$2	0x79010e…
08-14 12:05:46	will netanyahu talk to joseph aoun by december 31	Yes	SELL	9	17¢	$2	0x6de7b0…
08-14 12:05:10	will netanyahu talk to joseph aoun by december 31	Yes	BUY	9	22¢	$2	0xa1a184…
08-14 07:45:54	Joseph Aoun out as President of Lebanon by December 31?	Yes	SELL	5	4¢	$0	0xaa6ca9…
08-14 07:45:06	Joseph Aoun out as President of Lebanon by December 31?	Yes	SELL	5	4¢	$0	0xc7f7dd…
08-14 07:42:34	Joseph Aoun out as President of Lebanon by December 31?	Yes	BUY	20	6¢	$1	0xba5760…
08-14 07:42:25	Joseph Aoun out as President of Lebanon by December 31?	Yes	BUY	20	6¢	$1	0x64a31b…
08-14 07:33:04	will wti reach 100 in august 2026	Yes	SELL	15	7¢	$1	0xf1d336…
08-14 07:33:03	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?	Yes	SELL	2	95¢	$2	0x8d6e57…
08-14 07:31:58	will wti reach 100 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	15	8¢	$1	0x5742a5…
08-14 07:31:07	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0x77707d…
08-14 07:26:49	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?	Yes	BUY	58	3¢	$2	0x1d08a3…
08-14 07:22:46	Joseph Aoun out as President of Lebanon by December 31?	Yes	SELL	20	3¢	$1	0x4b87cf…
08-14 07:20:13	Joseph Aoun out as President of Lebanon by December 31?	Yes	SELL	33	3¢	$1	0xd32b73…
08-14 07:19:42	Joseph Aoun out as President of Lebanon by December 31?	Yes	BUY	33	6¢	$2	0xffa410…
08-14 07:17:24	Joseph Aoun out as President of Lebanon by December 31?	Yes	BUY	20	6¢	$1	0x04e607…
08-14 07:15:21	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	3	71¢	$2	0xecb1ed…
08-14 07:15:06	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	3	72¢	$2	0x5e7e4b…
08-14 07:14:33	Joseph Aoun out as President of Lebanon by December 31?	Yes	SELL	33	4¢	$1	0x7b3835…
08-14 07:13:42	Joseph Aoun out as President of Lebanon by December 31?	Yes	BUY	33	6¢	$2	0xd382d0…
08-14 07:13:33	Joseph Aoun out as President of Lebanon by December 31?	Yes	SELL	40	4¢	$2	0x1a67ad…
08-14 07:10:34	Joseph Aoun out as President of Lebanon by December 31?	Yes	BUY	20	6¢	$1	0xc50ee3…
08-14 07:09:09	Joseph Aoun out as President of Lebanon by December 31?	Yes	BUY	20	6¢	$1	0xfd4c36…
08-10 10:58:49	Will Qairat FK win on 2026-08-11?	Yes	SELL	1	37¢	$0	0x3bb794…
08-10 10:57:57	Will Qairat FK win on 2026-08-11?	Yes	SELL	1	37¢	$0	0x24bd4a…
08-10 10:57:55	Will Qairat FK win on 2026-08-11?	Yes	SELL	1	37¢	$0	0x21f599…
08-10 10:54:18	Will Qairat FK win on 2026-08-11?	Yes	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x35da5a…
08-10 09:08:00	will xauusd reach 4400 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	3	85¢	$2	0x3e1055…
08-10 06:48:42	Will Qairat FK win on 2026-08-11?	Yes	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x1adb33…
08-10 06:46:27	Will Qairat FK win on 2026-08-11?	Yes	SELL	6	37¢	$2	0x7edd59…
08-10 06:46:27	Will Qairat FK win on 2026-08-11?	Yes	SELL	52	37¢	$19	0x3185fd…
08-09 19:23:10	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	6	63¢	$4	0x2e75f6…