Realized P&L
Unrealized P&L
+$64
Hit rate
Resolved
0
Trades
398
lifetime
Volume
$18.5K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$47
Open exposure
$269
7 positions
First seen
2026-01-04
last 07-21 11:48
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Politics
90%
Other
9%
Sports
0%
Crypto
0%
Tech
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
25 active days in 12wk • peak 8 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Iran leadership change by December 31? Yes +409 $61 28¢ $113 +$52 07-21 11:48
Will Xi Jinping purge Wang Yi in 2026? No +110 $102 94¢ $103 +$2 07-18 23:29
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? No +40 $17 56¢ $23 +$6 05-31 01:28
Will Xi Jinping purge Li Xi in 2026? No +17 $10 99¢ $17 +$6 07-04 07:47
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? Yes +30 $16 44¢ $13 $-3 06-01 16:18
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? Yes -10 $-3 10¢ $-1 +$2 06-13 12:05
Will Xi Jinping purge Li Xi in 2026? Yes +46 $1 $0 $-1 06-25 13:14