Realistic-Liquor — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1

Unrealized P&L

-$6

Hit rate

61.7%

Resolved

Trades

1,475

lifetime

Volume

$23.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$16

Open exposure

$83

2 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 06-07 00:36

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

71% 50% +$1

Politics

28% — —

Tech

0% — —

Sports

0% — —

Crypto

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

47 active days in 12wk • peak 126 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	No		-83	$-80	99¢	$-82	$-2	06-01 11:21
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?	No		+1	$5	99¢	$1	$-4	05-31 18:03

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?	62	$4.7K	2,404	2,403	+1	open	—	05-31 18:03
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	61	$3.9K	1,940	2,023	-83	open	—	06-01 11:21
Xi Jinping out by June 30?	24	$2.0K	1,009	1,009	+0	open	—	05-31 18:39
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	12	$1.0K	513	513	+0	open	—	05-29 14:03
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	13	$976	492	492	+0	open	—	05-29 15:46
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	14	$810	414	414	+0	open	—	04-15 11:26
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	10	$550	281	281	+0	open	—	04-15 11:32
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	8	$512	264	264	+0	open	—	05-01 14:32
will china invade taiwan by march 31 2026	7	$333	166	168	-1	open	—	03-27 23:12
GTA VI released before June 2026?	6	$326	166	166	+0	open	—	04-15 11:37
will the us invade iran by march 31	4	$321	180	180	+0	open	—	03-27 23:52
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	4	$246	124	124	+0	open	—	04-13 10:22
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by April 30?	4	$217	111	111	+0	open	—	04-15 11:22
Trump out as President by May 31?	2	$200	101	101	+0	open	—	05-01 12:24
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	2	$198	99	99	+0	open	—	05-01 11:56
Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by May 31?	2	$196	101	101	+0	open	—	05-01 12:08
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	2	$166	84	84	+0	open	—	03-27 22:52
trump out as president by march 31	2	$164	82	82	+0	open	—	03-27 23:02
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	2	$155	80	80	+0	open	—	03-28 00:00
Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jan–Mar–Apr)?	2	$126	64	64	+0	open	—	04-13 10:10
wti up or down on april 13 2026	2	$125	65	65	+0	open	—	04-13 10:19
spx opens up or down on april 13 2026	2	$122	65	65	+0	open	—	04-13 10:20
sea nap fio 2026 01 31 nap	5	$122	118	118	+0	open	—	01-31 17:52
will claude opus 4 6 thinking be the top ai model on april 17 2026 style control on	2	$116	62	62	+0	open	—	04-13 10:32
will trump praise allah again by april 15 423	2	$109	57	57	+0	open	—	04-15 11:16
trump announces tariff for iran military cooperation by april 17	2	$105	53	53	+0	open	—	04-15 11:29
will donk be said during the pgl bucharest 2026 grand final	2	$104	53	53	+0	open	—	04-15 11:33
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?	2	$103	52	52	+0	open	—	04-15 11:48
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	2	$103	52	52	+0	open	—	04-15 11:51
fif che ger 2026 03 27 ger	5	$84	60	60	+0	open	—	03-27 21:41

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-07 00:36:07	Argentina vs. Honduras: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0xa923ec…
06-04 16:30:25	cs2 mibr lvg 2026 06 04	MIBR	SELL	7	97¢	$6	0x0882e9…
06-04 13:06:48	cs2 mibr lvg 2026 06 04	MIBR	BUY	7	63¢	$4	0x0f59b7…
06-03 17:41:06	Counter-Strike: Gaimin Gladiators vs Heroic (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1	Heroic	SELL	28	94¢	$27	0xd19806…
06-03 11:06:55	Counter-Strike: Gaimin Gladiators vs Heroic (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1	Heroic	BUY	28	83¢	$24	0xabcc5a…
06-02 16:24:07	Croatia vs. Belgium: Both Teams to Score	Yes	SELL	9	47¢	$4	0x217bdd…
06-02 16:21:03	Counter-Strike: BIG vs Gaimin Gladiators (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1	BIG	BUY	15	73¢	$11	0x6df52b…
06-02 15:25:26	Croatia vs. Belgium: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0x63c086…
06-02 15:19:01	Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Gaimin Gladiators (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1	BetBoom Team	SELL	27	100¢	$27	0xe16806…
06-02 11:41:36	Counter-Strike: Heroic vs Sharks (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1	Heroic	BUY	11	62¢	$7	0x6e9b3e…
06-01 11:21:24	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	57	99¢	$57	0x300ffa…
06-01 11:20:40	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	57	99¢	$57	0x4fdde9…
06-01 11:16:44	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	57	99¢	$57	0xb529c7…
06-01 11:15:22	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	57	99¢	$57	0x52375a…
06-01 11:14:47	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	57	99¢	$57	0xaddc1f…
06-01 11:14:05	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	57	99¢	$57	0xd35af1…
06-01 11:13:42	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	57	99¢	$57	0xf02efa…
06-01 11:13:18	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	57	99¢	$57	0xfd4730…
06-01 11:12:25	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	57	99¢	$57	0xd99f30…
06-01 11:11:29	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	57	99¢	$57	0xe1ce2f…
06-01 11:10:59	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	57	99¢	$57	0x8664c3…
06-01 11:10:19	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	57	99¢	$57	0x467623…
06-01 11:09:34	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	58	99¢	$58	0x604263…
06-01 11:08:31	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	58	99¢	$58	0x9eec11…
06-01 11:08:03	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	58	99¢	$58	0x3297e4…
06-01 11:07:10	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	58	99¢	$58	0x607280…
06-01 11:03:38	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	58	99¢	$58	0x7f70ca…
06-01 11:03:00	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	58	99¢	$58	0xaf0fd1…
06-01 11:02:32	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	58	99¢	$58	0x156b66…
06-01 11:01:57	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	58	99¢	$58	0x08dccc…
06-01 11:01:18	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	58	99¢	$58	0xb8a43b…
06-01 11:00:33	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	58	99¢	$58	0x692ca7…
06-01 11:00:03	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	58	99¢	$58	0x95414f…
06-01 10:59:16	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	58	99¢	$58	0x8da8d9…
06-01 10:58:04	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	58	99¢	$58	0x484045…
06-01 10:57:08	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	58	99¢	$58	0xb3010f…
06-01 10:56:16	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	58	99¢	$58	0xa7b586…
06-01 10:55:21	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	58	99¢	$58	0x978ebf…
06-01 10:54:31	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	58	99¢	$58	0x67ac5c…
06-01 10:53:35	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	58	99¢	$58	0xf3922f…
06-01 10:52:54	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	58	99¢	$58	0x8c2b7c…
06-01 10:52:19	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	58	99¢	$58	0x061597…
06-01 10:51:41	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	58	99¢	$58	0x2bab56…
06-01 10:50:20	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	58	99¢	$58	0xcacd77…
06-01 10:49:17	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	58	99¢	$58	0x6e4180…
06-01 10:48:42	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	58	99¢	$58	0x921d3a…
06-01 01:04:49	Clube do Remo vs. São Paulo FC: Both Teams to Score	Yes	SELL	11	4¢	$0	0xbfb644…
05-31 23:56:46	Clube do Remo vs. São Paulo FC: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0x5176e6…
05-31 20:15:34	CR Vasco da Gama vs. CA Mineiro: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	18	57¢	$10	0x55d33e…
05-31 18:39:53	Xi Jinping out by June 30?	No	SELL	85	99¢	$84	0x4c2593…
05-31 18:38:57	Xi Jinping out by June 30?	No	BUY	85	99¢	$84	0x34a4c2…
05-31 18:38:02	Xi Jinping out by June 30?	No	SELL	85	99¢	$84	0xd87e11…
05-31 18:37:10	Xi Jinping out by June 30?	No	BUY	85	99¢	$84	0xdb41ff…
05-31 18:26:19	Xi Jinping out by June 30?	No	SELL	85	99¢	$84	0xfdd519…
05-31 18:25:26	Xi Jinping out by June 30?	No	BUY	85	99¢	$84	0xdc6744…
05-31 18:23:57	Xi Jinping out by June 30?	No	SELL	85	99¢	$84	0x939649…
05-31 18:23:01	Xi Jinping out by June 30?	No	BUY	85	99¢	$84	0x41a04b…
05-31 18:21:51	Xi Jinping out by June 30?	No	SELL	85	99¢	$84	0x08038a…
05-31 18:20:57	Xi Jinping out by June 30?	No	BUY	85	99¢	$84	0xf3ad51…
05-31 18:19:56	Xi Jinping out by June 30?	No	SELL	84	99¢	$83	0x3025f9…
05-31 18:19:12	Xi Jinping out by June 30?	No	BUY	84	99¢	$83	0x52f535…
05-31 18:17:34	Xi Jinping out by June 30?	No	SELL	84	99¢	$83	0x167212…
05-31 18:16:24	Xi Jinping out by June 30?	No	BUY	84	99¢	$83	0xb529dc…
05-31 18:15:30	Xi Jinping out by June 30?	No	SELL	84	99¢	$83	0x89ed71…
05-31 18:14:13	Xi Jinping out by June 30?	No	BUY	84	99¢	$83	0x758b3f…
05-31 18:12:52	Xi Jinping out by June 30?	No	SELL	84	99¢	$83	0xf26ae3…
05-31 18:12:14	Xi Jinping out by June 30?	No	BUY	84	99¢	$83	0x49e886…
05-31 18:11:11	Xi Jinping out by June 30?	No	SELL	84	99¢	$83	0x2d2e8a…
05-31 18:10:16	Xi Jinping out by June 30?	No	BUY	84	99¢	$83	0x63e441…
05-31 18:09:15	Xi Jinping out by June 30?	No	SELL	84	99¢	$83	0x3587f2…
05-31 18:08:40	Xi Jinping out by June 30?	No	BUY	84	99¢	$83	0xa897f1…
05-31 18:05:17	Xi Jinping out by June 30?	No	SELL	84	99¢	$83	0x6c6401…
05-31 18:04:51	Xi Jinping out by June 30?	No	BUY	84	99¢	$83	0x5351c8…
05-31 18:03:23	Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?	No	SELL	84	98¢	$83	0x26a58a…
05-31 18:02:31	Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?	No	BUY	84	99¢	$83	0x87d05c…
05-31 18:02:06	Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?	No	SELL	84	98¢	$83	0x33e503…
05-31 18:01:19	Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?	No	BUY	84	99¢	$83	0x8c1306…
05-31 18:00:34	Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?	No	SELL	84	98¢	$83	0x7e0256…
05-31 17:59:08	Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?	No	BUY	84	99¢	$83	0x299616…
05-31 17:57:58	Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?	No	SELL	84	98¢	$83	0x61315c…
05-31 17:57:00	Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?	No	BUY	84	99¢	$83	0x578344…
05-31 17:56:01	Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?	No	SELL	83	98¢	$82	0xb80f8a…
05-31 17:55:20	Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?	No	BUY	83	99¢	$82	0x0ff41e…
05-31 17:54:38	Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?	No	SELL	83	98¢	$82	0x2cd03b…
05-31 17:53:42	Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?	No	BUY	83	99¢	$82	0x3d5a3e…
05-31 17:52:45	Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?	No	SELL	74	98¢	$73	0x555d48…
05-31 17:48:15	Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?	No	BUY	74	99¢	$73	0x22d195…
05-31 17:40:56	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	74	99¢	$73	0x93b13c…
05-31 17:40:05	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	74	99¢	$73	0x0fe51e…
05-31 17:39:14	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	74	99¢	$73	0x8b2946…
05-31 17:38:34	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	74	99¢	$73	0x0025c3…
05-31 17:37:19	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	74	99¢	$73	0x1de1ea…
05-31 17:35:48	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	74	99¢	$73	0xfbbfa2…
05-31 17:35:13	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	74	99¢	$73	0x2e2835…
05-31 17:34:26	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	74	99¢	$73	0x139352…
05-31 17:33:51	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	73	99¢	$72	0x888455…
05-31 17:33:02	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	73	99¢	$72	0x2d7fac…
05-31 17:32:02	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	73	99¢	$72	0x7b8ab3…
05-31 17:30:43	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	73	99¢	$72	0xbba409…
05-31 17:29:44	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	73	99¢	$72	0xd583b9…