Realistic-Liquor — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

61.7%

Resolved

Trades

1,697

lifetime

Volume

$58.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$35

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 07-02 10:40

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

67% 50% +$1

Politics

32% — —

Sports

0% — —

Tech

0% — —

Crypto

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

47 active days in 12wk • peak 126 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	106	$19.8K	10,021	10,021	+0	open	—	06-13 12:36
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?	105	$17.0K	8,604	8,603	+1	open	—	06-11 16:54
Xi Jinping out by June 30?	34	$4.3K	2,188	2,188	+0	open	—	06-11 16:44
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	61	$3.9K	1,940	2,023	-83	open	—	06-01 11:21
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	13	$976	492	492	+0	open	—	05-29 15:46
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	14	$810	414	414	+0	open	—	04-15 11:26
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	10	$550	281	281	+0	open	—	04-15 11:32
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	8	$512	264	264	+0	open	—	05-01 14:32
cs2 navi lgc 2026 06 12	5	$488	329	329	+0	open	—	06-12 15:51
will china invade taiwan by march 31 2026	7	$333	166	168	-1	open	—	03-27 23:12
GTA VI released before June 2026?	6	$326	166	166	+0	open	—	04-15 11:37
will the us invade iran by march 31	4	$321	180	180	+0	open	—	03-27 23:52
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	4	$246	124	124	+0	open	—	04-13 10:22
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by April 30?	4	$217	111	111	+0	open	—	04-15 11:22
Trump out as President by May 31?	2	$200	101	101	+0	open	—	05-01 12:24
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	2	$198	99	99	+0	open	—	05-01 11:56
Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by May 31?	2	$196	101	101	+0	open	—	05-01 12:08
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	2	$166	84	84	+0	open	—	03-27 22:52
trump out as president by march 31	2	$164	82	82	+0	open	—	03-27 23:02
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	2	$155	80	80	+0	open	—	03-28 00:00
Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jan–Mar–Apr)?	2	$126	64	64	+0	open	—	04-13 10:10
wti up or down on april 13 2026	2	$125	65	65	+0	open	—	04-13 10:19
spx opens up or down on april 13 2026	2	$122	65	65	+0	open	—	04-13 10:20
sea nap fio 2026 01 31 nap	5	$122	118	118	+0	open	—	01-31 17:52
will claude opus 4 6 thinking be the top ai model on april 17 2026 style control on	2	$116	62	62	+0	open	—	04-13 10:32
will trump praise allah again by april 15 423	2	$109	57	57	+0	open	—	04-15 11:16
trump announces tariff for iran military cooperation by april 17	2	$105	53	53	+0	open	—	04-15 11:29
ufc jus3 ili1 2026 06 14	4	$104	133	10	+123	open	—	06-14 16:40
will donk be said during the pgl bucharest 2026 grand final	2	$104	53	53	+0	open	—	04-15 11:33
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?	2	$103	52	52	+0	open	—	04-15 11:48

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-02 10:40:59	fifwc esp aut 2026 07 02 btts	Yes	BUY	23	44¢	$10	0xb47a17…
07-01 18:05:19	fifwc bel sen 2026 07 01 btts	Yes	BUY	15	60¢	$9	0x2fe850…
07-01 17:51:59	fifwc eng cdr 2026 07 01 btts	Yes	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0xbc8d23…
07-01 16:24:40	fifwc eng cdr 2026 07 01 btts	Yes	BUY	11	87¢	$10	0x4e518a…
07-01 16:10:10	fifwc bel sen 2026 07 01 btts	Yes	SELL	9	57¢	$5	0xa7cd81…
07-01 10:33:10	fifwc bel sen 2026 07 01 btts	Yes	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0xf32259…
06-30 21:12:47	fifwc fra swe 2026 06 30 btts	Yes	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0x24b112…
06-28 02:48:01	fifwc alg aut 2026 06 27 btts	Yes	SELL	17	99¢	$17	0xc1dda8…
06-28 01:47:38	fifwc alg aut 2026 06 27 btts	Yes	BUY	6	48¢	$3	0x85a16c…
06-28 01:41:55	fifwc alg aut 2026 06 27 btts	Yes	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0x9ee679…
06-27 18:44:32	ufc mic6 sha28 2026 06 27	Shara Magomedov	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x806e14…
06-27 14:08:35	ufc jul18 abd8 2026 06 27	Abdul-Rakhman Yakhyaev	BUY	7	84¢	$6	0x2e45c7…
06-27 14:07:40	ufc mic6 sha28 2026 06 27	Shara Magomedov	BUY	7	76¢	$5	0x909a14…
06-26 20:01:29	fifwc ury esp 2026 06 26 btts	Yes	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0xe6dd85…
06-26 19:58:47	fifwc ury esp 2026 06 26 btts	Yes	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0xa72321…
06-26 19:57:56	fifwc cvi ksa 2026 06 26 btts	Yes	SELL	10	51¢	$5	0xdff4bc…
06-26 19:50:58	fifwc cvi ksa 2026 06 26 btts	Yes	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0xf7594f…
06-26 19:45:26	fifwc nor fra 2026 06 26 btts	Yes	SELL	17	100¢	$17	0x8379e1…
06-26 18:45:47	fifwc nor fra 2026 06 26 btts	Yes	BUY	17	58¢	$10	0xb232ab…
06-21 16:35:22	fifwc esp ksa 2026 06 21 btts	Yes	BUY	24	33¢	$8	0x90a3bf…
06-20 02:29:53	fifwc nld swe 2026 06 20 btts	Yes	BUY	17	58¢	$10	0x59e89f…
06-18 18:11:05	fifwc mex kr 2026 06 18 btts	Yes	BUY	6	52¢	$3	0x9cec26…
06-18 18:10:01	fifwc mex kr 2026 06 18 btts	Yes	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0xaa9afe…
06-17 02:46:45	fifwc aut jor 2026 06 17 btts	Yes	BUY	4	45¢	$2	0x114254…
06-17 02:42:39	fifwc arg alg 2026 06 16 btts	Yes	SELL	46	18¢	$8	0x137e4d…
06-17 02:26:34	fifwc arg alg 2026 06 16 btts	Yes	BUY	33	30¢	$10	0xa24816…
06-17 02:23:12	fifwc arg alg 2026 06 16 btts	Yes	BUY	13	31¢	$4	0x9bab01…
06-16 20:34:32	fifwc fra sen 2026 06 16 btts	Yes	SELL	39	29¢	$11	0x33e4fd…
06-16 17:24:07	fifwc arg alg 2026 06 16 btts	Yes	SELL	45	43¢	$20	0xc3bc6a…
06-16 17:17:25	fifwc fra sen 2026 06 16 btts	Yes	BUY	39	51¢	$20	0x053e14…
06-16 17:09:55	fifwc arg alg 2026 06 16 btts	Yes	BUY	45	44¢	$20	0xadc0f3…
06-15 16:57:51	fifwc esp cvi 2026 06 15 btts	Yes	SELL	6	19¢	$1	0xee1278…
06-15 11:52:57	fifwc ksa ury 2026 06 15 btts	Yes	BUY	24	42¢	$10	0x20ede4…
06-15 11:30:43	fifwc bel egy 2026 06 15 btts	Yes	BUY	41	49¢	$20	0x5b2d8e…
06-15 11:28:36	fifwc esp cvi 2026 06 15 btts	Yes	BUY	6	35¢	$2	0xc0b636…
06-15 02:16:21	fifwc swe tun 2026 06 14 btts	Yes	BUY	12	61¢	$7	0x78c251…
06-15 02:13:15	fifwc swe tun 2026 06 14 btts	Yes	BUY	20	61¢	$12	0x15f5be…
06-15 00:11:36	ufc cir ale30 2026 06 14	Alex Pereira	BUY	38	52¢	$20	0x3baa1a…
06-15 00:10:48	ufc cir ale30 2026 06 14	Alex Pereira	SELL	72	50¢	$36	0x9672db…
06-14 22:32:33	fifwc civ ecu 2026 06 14 btts	Yes	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x529744…
06-14 21:18:07	fifwc nld jpn 2026 06 14 btts	Yes	SELL	37	99¢	$37	0xea6887…
06-14 19:06:28	ufc der jos52 2026 06 14	Derrick Lewis	SELL	13	22¢	$3	0x0dda1b…
06-14 16:40:40	ufc jus3 ili1 2026 06 14	Justin Gaethje	SELL	10	20¢	$2	0xcf83b7…
06-14 14:58:49	ufc cir ale30 2026 06 14	Alex Pereira	BUY	12	51¢	$6	0xb6f038…
06-14 13:19:00	fifwc nld jpn 2026 06 14 btts	Yes	BUY	19	54¢	$10	0xa2c1be…
06-14 13:16:52	fifwc nld jpn 2026 06 14 btts	Yes	BUY	19	54¢	$10	0x7693e9…
06-14 13:13:55	fifwc ger kor 2026 06 14 team total away 2pt5	Under	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x0494a0…
06-14 11:24:09	fifwc ger kor 2026 06 14 team total away 2pt5	Under	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xfd8025…
06-14 02:00:57	fifwc hai sco 2026 06 13 btts	Yes	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x545455…
06-14 00:16:52	ufc jus3 ili1 2026 06 14	Justin Gaethje	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x2e88d3…
06-13 22:07:49	fifwc bra mar 2026 06 13 btts	Yes	BUY	21	48¢	$10	0xbb84f3…
06-13 19:20:30	fifwc qat che 2026 06 13 btts	Yes	SELL	8	32¢	$3	0x06bdae…
06-13 15:51:28	cs2 fal2 mnte 2026 06 13	Team Falcons	SELL	39	100¢	$39	0x36a87a…
06-13 14:26:24	ufc cir ale30 2026 06 14	Alex Pereira	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0xba47af…
06-13 14:24:07	ufc aie sea1 2026 06 14	Sean O'Malley	BUY	13	79¢	$10	0xcbffcd…
06-13 14:23:15	ufc jus3 ili1 2026 06 14	Justin Gaethje	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x64f278…
06-13 14:22:37	ufc jus3 ili1 2026 06 14	Ilia Topuria	BUY	123	81¢	$100	0x3ea6cf…
06-13 14:21:54	ufc cir ale30 2026 06 14	Alex Pereira	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x602196…
06-13 14:21:19	ufc der jos52 2026 06 14	Derrick Lewis	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x23037f…
06-13 12:44:25	cs2 fal2 mnte 2026 06 13	Team Falcons	BUY	39	76¢	$30	0xe5c987…
06-13 12:36:22	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	SELL	185	99¢	$184	0xfe25ae…
06-13 12:35:51	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	BUY	185	99¢	$184	0x5dc6f3…
06-13 12:35:16	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	SELL	185	99¢	$184	0x1a7a15…
06-13 12:34:36	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	BUY	185	99¢	$184	0xe35167…
06-13 12:34:12	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	SELL	186	99¢	$185	0x1b1950…
06-13 12:33:52	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	BUY	186	99¢	$185	0x04532a…
06-13 12:33:25	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	SELL	186	99¢	$185	0xf10164…
06-13 12:33:09	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	BUY	186	99¢	$185	0x14e0d8…
06-13 12:32:37	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	SELL	186	99¢	$185	0x08735c…
06-13 12:32:09	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	BUY	186	99¢	$185	0x2c23e0…
06-13 12:31:30	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	SELL	186	99¢	$185	0xc029f9…
06-13 12:31:10	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	BUY	186	99¢	$185	0x3185f7…
06-13 12:30:34	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	SELL	187	99¢	$186	0x948b04…
06-13 12:30:09	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	BUY	187	99¢	$186	0x46d786…
06-13 12:29:48	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	SELL	187	99¢	$186	0x3d9caf…
06-13 12:29:25	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	BUY	187	99¢	$186	0xc899ce…
06-13 12:28:21	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	SELL	187	99¢	$186	0x699931…
06-13 12:28:03	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	BUY	187	99¢	$186	0x66b750…
06-13 12:27:36	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	SELL	187	99¢	$186	0xea9994…
06-13 12:27:04	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	BUY	187	99¢	$186	0x27097f…
06-13 12:25:55	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	SELL	187	99¢	$186	0x5688dc…
06-13 12:25:25	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	BUY	187	99¢	$186	0x2e6953…
06-13 12:24:52	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	SELL	187	99¢	$186	0xd9e51c…
06-13 12:24:36	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	BUY	187	99¢	$186	0x0b712b…
06-13 12:24:03	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	SELL	188	99¢	$187	0x63e567…
06-13 12:23:31	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	BUY	188	99¢	$187	0x398240…
06-13 12:19:39	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	SELL	188	99¢	$187	0x310755…
06-13 12:19:22	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	BUY	188	99¢	$187	0xfb3cb3…
06-13 12:18:55	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	SELL	189	99¢	$188	0x2fd73e…
06-13 12:18:19	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	BUY	189	99¢	$188	0xf21323…
06-13 12:17:46	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	SELL	189	99¢	$188	0x05dc89…
06-13 12:17:27	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	BUY	189	99¢	$188	0x0865e0…
06-13 12:17:01	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	SELL	189	99¢	$188	0x6d92bb…
06-13 12:16:33	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	BUY	189	99¢	$188	0x31b0e1…
06-13 12:16:00	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	SELL	189	99¢	$188	0x024dae…
06-13 12:15:40	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	BUY	189	99¢	$188	0xfb48f2…
06-13 12:15:15	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	SELL	190	99¢	$189	0x60dd80…
06-13 12:14:55	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	BUY	190	99¢	$189	0x20ca4e…
06-13 12:14:28	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	SELL	190	99¢	$189	0xd37172…
06-13 12:14:04	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	BUY	190	99¢	$189	0x4b2e4d…