Barren-Submitter-Analogue 0xdef6f7…54f69a
whale hot 4L streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L (30d)
+$15.5K
Unrealized P&L
+$11.2K
Hit rate
73.6%
Resolved (30d)
21
Trades (30d)
654
1,339 lifetime
Volume (30d)
$620.1K
$1.66M lifetime
Avg / trade
$1.24K
Open exposure
$197.8K
30 positions
First seen
2026-04-12
last 10-29 20:52
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 22 days
Categories
Politics
54% 67% -$27,241
Other
41% 70% +$45,051
Crypto
5% 71% +$5,055
Tech
0% 0% -$200
Sports
0% 0% -$36
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
22 active days in 12wk • peak 193 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House Yes +112,002 $71,681 70¢ $79.0K +$7,280 10-21 15:33
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? Yes +36,982 $23,218 70¢ $26.1K +$2,854 10-21 02:00
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes +20,611 $17,810 86¢ $17.7K -$157 10-21 13:16
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? No +14,357 $11,270 96¢ $13.8K +$2,534 10-23 22:09
Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? Yes +26,200 $10,742 48¢ $12.7K +$1,965 10-21 16:44
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +26,677 $8,021 33¢ $8.7K +$662 10-29 11:26
Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? Yes +15,610 $6,868 44¢ $6.9K +$78 10-23 00:40
Will GameStop acquire eBay? No +6,000 $5,580 94¢ $5.6K +$30 10-19 19:13
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? Yes +5,000 $3,500 82¢ $4.1K +$575 10-21 02:12
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +10,000 $4,660 38¢ $3.8K -$880 10-18 19:47
Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026? No +3,277 $3,049 97¢ $3.2K +$117 10-19 23:45
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? No +3,806 $2,949 74¢ $2.8K -$152 10-18 20:26
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? Yes +3,247 $2,533 70¢ $2.3K -$260 10-18 20:25
Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026? No +2,085 $1,892 92¢ $1.9K +$20 10-21 13:43
US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms? No +17,155 $5,530 11¢ $1.9K -$3,643 10-23 22:54
Will the Democrats win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026? Yes +2,000 $1,800 94¢ $1.9K +$70 10-19 10:16
Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? Yes +2,000 $1,280 74¢ $1.5K +$190 10-20 04:14
Will Bola Tinubu win the 2027 Nigerian Presidential Election? No +3,652 $1,066 32¢ $1.2K +$85 10-20 19:09
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +1,000 $650 72¢ $715 +$65 10-20 19:02
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by June 30, 2027? Yes +1,588 $681 41¢ $651 -$30 10-21 13:44
France declares state of emergency by October 31, 2026? No +400 $348 100¢ $400 +$52 10-20 04:13
Will the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026? Yes +400 $360 88¢ $352 -$8 10-18 19:41
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026? No +300 $258 86¢ $256 -$2 10-20 18:53
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by November 30? Yes +3,300 $264 6¢ $214 -$50 10-21 13:48
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? Yes +2,368 $142 9¢ $213 +$71 10-20 17:03
Will Anna Kelly be the next White House Press Secretary? No +200 $174 81¢ $162 -$12 10-18 19:37
Will Pedro Sánchez be the next Prime Minister of Spain? Yes +300 $44 13¢ $38 -$6 10-21 16:42
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? No +779 $148 1¢ $8 -$140 10-22 15:41
Trump out as President before 2027? No +5 $5 97¢ $5 +$0 10-18 19:52
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +5 $64 56¢ $3 -$61 10-27 20:06