Barren-Submitter-Analogue 0xdef6f7…54f69a
whale cold 4L streak
3Unusual bets: 1 position →
← all wallets
Realized P&L (7d)
-$31.3K
Unrealized P&L
+$6.82K
Hit rate
1.0%
Resolved (7d)
7
Trades (7d)
169
1,339 lifetime
Volume (7d)
$86.0K
$1.66M lifetime
Avg / trade
$1.24K
Open exposure
$194.8K
30 positions
First seen
2026-04-12
last 10-29 20:52
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 20 days
Categories
Politics
54% 67% -$27,241
Other
41% 70% +$45,051
Crypto
5% 33% +$4,566
Tech
0% — —
Sports
0% 0% -$36
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
22 active days in 12wk • peak 193 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House Yes +112,002 $71,681 68¢ $75.6K +$3,920 10-21 15:33
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? Yes +36,982 $23,218 70¢ $25.7K +$2,484 10-21 02:00
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes +20,611 $17,810 85¢ $17.6K -$208 10-21 13:16
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? No +14,357 $11,270 97¢ $13.9K +$2,620 10-23 22:09
Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? Yes +26,200 $10,742 44¢ $11.4K +$655 10-21 16:44
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +26,677 $8,021 34¢ $9.0K +$955 10-29 11:26
Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? Yes +15,610 $6,868 46¢ $7.1K +$234 10-23 00:40
Will GameStop acquire eBay? No +6,000 $5,580 94¢ $5.6K +$30 10-19 19:13
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +10,000 $4,660 40¢ $4.0K -$670 10-18 19:47
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? Yes +5,000 $3,500 76¢ $3.8K +$275 10-21 02:12
Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026? No +3,277 $3,049 96¢ $3.1K +$83 10-19 23:45
US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms? No +17,155 $5,530 18¢ $3.1K -$2,443 10-23 22:54
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? No +3,806 $2,949 76¢ $2.9K -$56 10-18 20:26
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? Yes +3,247 $2,533 73¢ $2.4K -$162 10-18 20:25
Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026? No +2,085 $1,892 91¢ $1.9K +$6 10-21 13:43
Will the Democrats win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026? Yes +2,000 $1,800 92¢ $1.9K +$50 10-19 10:16
Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? Yes +2,000 $1,280 70¢ $1.4K +$130 10-20 04:14
Will Bola Tinubu win the 2027 Nigerian Presidential Election? No +3,652 $1,066 32¢ $1.2K +$121 10-20 19:09
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by June 30, 2027? Yes +1,588 $681 53¢ $841 +$160 10-21 13:44
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +1,000 $650 68¢ $675 +$25 10-20 19:02
France declares state of emergency by October 31, 2026? No +400 $348 98¢ $394 +$46 10-20 04:13
Will the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026? Yes +400 $360 86¢ $346 -$14 10-18 19:41
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026? No +300 $258 86¢ $260 +$2 10-20 18:53
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by November 30? Yes +3,300 $264 6¢ $214 -$50 10-21 13:48
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28? No +5,610 $1,263 3¢ $168 -$1,095 10-25 22:01
Will Anna Kelly be the next White House Press Secretary? No +200 $174 82¢ $163 -$11 10-18 19:37
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? Yes +2,368 $142 6¢ $130 -$12 10-20 17:03
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026? Yes +254 $200 32¢ $81 -$119 10-18 19:47
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? No +779 $148 4¢ $31 -$117 10-22 15:41
Will Pedro Sánchez be the next Prime Minister of Spain? Yes +300 $44 9¢ $27 -$16 10-21 16:42