Barren-Submitter-Analogue 0xdef6f7…54f69a
whale hot 5L streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L (90d)
+$11.9K
Unrealized P&L
+$15.4K
Hit rate
74.8%
Resolved (90d)
31
Trades (90d)
727
1,380 lifetime
Volume (90d)
$742.4K
$1.65M lifetime
Avg / trade
$1.19K
Open exposure
$183.2K
30 positions
First seen
2026-04-12
last 11-02 03:40
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 23 days
Categories
Politics
54% 59% -$31,494
Other
41% 73% +$45,103
Crypto
5% 71% +$5,055
Tech
0% 0% -$200
Sports
0% 0% -$36
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
24 active days in 12wk • peak 193 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House Yes +100,000 $63,280 72¢ $71.5K +$8,220 11-02 01:28
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? Yes +36,982 $23,218 76¢ $27.9K +$4,703 10-21 02:00
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes +20,611 $17,810 85¢ $17.6K -$198 10-21 13:16
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? No +14,357 $11,270 97¢ $13.9K +$2,656 10-23 22:09
Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? Yes +17,007 $6,237 52¢ $8.8K +$2,521 11-02 03:40
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +21,677 $5,621 38¢ $8.2K +$2,605 11-01 18:31
Will GameStop acquire eBay? No +6,000 $5,580 96¢ $5.8K +$210 10-19 19:13
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? Yes +5,000 $3,500 82¢ $4.1K +$575 10-21 02:12
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +10,000 $4,660 36¢ $3.6K -$1,030 10-18 19:47
Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026? No +3,277 $3,049 97¢ $3.2K +$130 10-19 23:45
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? No +3,806 $2,949 74¢ $2.8K -$114 10-18 20:26
Will the Democratic Party win the NC-03 House seat? Yes +5,756 $2,590 46¢ $2.6K +$29 11-02 01:30
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? Yes +3,247 $2,533 70¢ $2.3K -$276 10-18 20:25
Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026? No +2,085 $1,892 95¢ $2.0K +$88 10-21 13:43
Will the Democrats win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026? Yes +2,000 $1,800 94¢ $1.9K +$90 10-19 10:16
Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? Yes +2,000 $1,280 72¢ $1.4K +$170 10-20 04:14
Will Bola Tinubu win the 2027 Nigerian Presidential Election? No +3,652 $1,066 32¢ $1.2K +$121 10-20 19:09
Will the Democratic Party win the NC-13 House seat? Yes +2,369 $1,066 46¢ $1.1K +$12 11-02 01:30
US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms? No +17,155 $5,530 4¢ $772 -$4,758 10-23 22:54
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +1,000 $650 72¢ $725 +$75 10-20 19:02
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by June 30, 2027? Yes +1,588 $681 42¢ $659 -$22 10-21 13:44
Will the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026? Yes +400 $360 86¢ $346 -$14 10-18 19:41
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026? No +300 $258 86¢ $260 +$2 10-20 18:53
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by November 30? Yes +3,300 $264 6¢ $214 -$50 10-21 13:48
Will Anna Kelly be the next White House Press Secretary? No +200 $174 80¢ $161 -$13 10-18 19:37
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? Yes +2,368 $142 5¢ $118 -$24 10-20 17:03
Will Pedro Sánchez be the next Prime Minister of Spain? Yes +300 $44 11¢ $32 -$11 10-21 16:42
Trump out as President before 2027? No +5 $5 97¢ $5 +$0 10-18 19:52
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +5 $64 66¢ $3 -$60 10-27 20:06
Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? Yes +0 $198 48¢ $0 -$198 11-01 18:03