Barren-Submitter-Analogue 0xdef6f7…54f69a
whale hot 5L streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L (90d)
+$13.2K
Unrealized P&L
+$11.8K
Hit rate
75.1%
Resolved (90d)
27
Trades (90d)
680
1,333 lifetime
Volume (90d)
$716.8K
$1.62M lifetime
Avg / trade
$1.22K
Open exposure
$198.3K
30 positions
First seen
2026-04-12
last 10-29 20:52
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 22 days
Categories
Politics
54% 63% -$30,084
Other
41% 70% +$45,051
Crypto
5% 71% +$5,055
Tech
0% 0% -$200
Sports
0% 0% -$36
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
22 active days in 12wk • peak 193 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House Yes +112,002 $71,681 70¢ $79.0K +$7,280 10-21 15:33
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? Yes +36,982 $23,218 71¢ $26.3K +$3,039 10-21 02:00
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes +20,611 $17,810 85¢ $17.6K -$208 10-21 13:16
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? No +14,357 $11,270 96¢ $13.8K +$2,549 10-23 22:09
Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? Yes +26,200 $10,742 48¢ $12.7K +$1,965 10-21 16:44
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +26,677 $8,021 34¢ $9.0K +$942 10-29 11:26
Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? Yes +15,610 $6,868 44¢ $6.9K +$78 10-23 00:40
Will GameStop acquire eBay? No +6,000 $5,580 94¢ $5.7K +$90 10-19 19:13
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? Yes +5,000 $3,500 80¢ $4.0K +$525 10-21 02:12
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +10,000 $4,660 39¢ $3.9K -$780 10-18 19:47
Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026? No +3,277 $3,049 97¢ $3.2K +$125 10-19 23:45
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? No +3,806 $2,949 74¢ $2.8K -$152 10-18 20:26
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? Yes +3,247 $2,533 71¢ $2.3K -$227 10-18 20:25
Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026? No +2,085 $1,892 92¢ $1.9K +$23 10-21 13:43
Will the Democrats win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026? Yes +2,000 $1,800 94¢ $1.9K +$70 10-19 10:16
US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms? No +17,155 $5,530 11¢ $1.8K -$3,729 10-23 22:54
Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? Yes +2,000 $1,280 74¢ $1.5K +$190 10-20 04:14
Will Bola Tinubu win the 2027 Nigerian Presidential Election? No +3,652 $1,066 32¢ $1.2K +$121 10-20 19:09
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +1,000 $650 72¢ $715 +$65 10-20 19:02
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by June 30, 2027? Yes +1,588 $681 41¢ $651 -$30 10-21 13:44
France declares state of emergency by October 31, 2026? No +400 $348 99¢ $396 +$48 10-20 04:13
Will the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026? Yes +400 $360 88¢ $354 -$6 10-18 19:41
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026? No +300 $258 86¢ $256 -$2 10-20 18:53
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? Yes +2,368 $142 10¢ $225 +$83 10-20 17:03
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by November 30? Yes +3,300 $264 6¢ $198 -$66 10-21 13:48
Will Anna Kelly be the next White House Press Secretary? No +200 $174 81¢ $162 -$12 10-18 19:37
Will Pedro Sánchez be the next Prime Minister of Spain? Yes +300 $44 10¢ $31 -$12 10-21 16:42
Trump out as President before 2027? No +5 $5 97¢ $5 +$0 10-18 19:52
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +5 $64 57¢ $3 -$61 10-27 20:06
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes +0 $119 18¢ $0 -$119 07-08 21:57