Barren-Submitter-Analogue 0xdef6f7…54f69a Create alert
whale hot
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$32.8K
Unrealized P&L
+$26.4K
Hit rate
90.0%
Resolved
43
Trades
1,395
lifetime
Volume
$1.72M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$1.23K
Open exposure
$194.0K
30 positions
First seen
2026-04-12
last 11-03 00:45
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 24 days
Categories
Politics
55% 61% -$17,163
Other
40% 73% +$45,103
Crypto
5% 71% +$5,055
Tech
0% 0% -$200
Sports
0% 0% -$36
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
25 active days in 12wk • peak 193 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House Yes +100,000 $63,280 76¢ $76.5K +$13,220 11-02 01:28
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? Yes +56,982 $37,818 74¢ $42.5K +$4,633 11-03 00:39
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes +20,611 $17,810 86¢ $17.7K -$157 10-21 13:16
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +21,677 $5,621 45¢ $9.8K +$4,166 11-01 18:31
Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? Yes +17,007 $6,237 56¢ $9.4K +$3,201 11-02 03:40
Will GameStop acquire eBay? No +6,000 $5,580 96¢ $5.8K +$180 10-19 19:13
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? No +4,679 $1,928 96¢ $4.5K +$2,559 11-03 00:45
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? Yes +5,000 $3,500 80¢ $4.0K +$475 10-21 02:12
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +10,000 $4,660 36¢ $3.6K -$1,055 10-18 19:47
Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026? No +3,277 $3,049 97¢ $3.2K +$145 10-19 23:45
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? No +3,806 $2,949 76¢ $2.9K -$37 10-18 20:26
Will the Democratic Party win the NC-03 House seat? Yes +5,756 $2,590 42¢ $2.4K -$144 11-02 01:30
Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026? No +2,085 $1,892 95¢ $2.0K +$90 10-21 13:43
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? Yes +3,247 $2,533 60¢ $1.9K -$601 10-18 20:25
Will the Democrats win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026? Yes +2,000 $1,800 95¢ $1.9K +$100 10-19 10:16
Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? Yes +2,000 $1,280 72¢ $1.4K +$150 10-20 04:14
Will Bola Tinubu win the 2027 Nigerian Presidential Election? No +3,652 $1,066 32¢ $1.2K +$121 10-20 19:09
Will the Democratic Party win the NC-13 House seat? Yes +2,369 $1,066 34¢ $793 -$272 11-02 01:30
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +1,000 $650 78¢ $775 +$125 10-20 19:02
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by June 30, 2027? Yes +1,588 $681 40¢ $627 -$54 10-21 13:44
Will the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026? Yes +400 $360 88¢ $354 -$6 10-18 19:41
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026? No +300 $258 88¢ $266 +$8 10-20 18:53
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by November 30? Yes +3,300 $264 6¢ $214 -$50 10-21 13:48
Will Anna Kelly be the next White House Press Secretary? No +200 $174 80¢ $161 -$13 10-18 19:37
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? Yes +2,368 $142 6¢ $130 -$12 10-20 17:03
Will Pedro Sánchez be the next Prime Minister of Spain? Yes +300 $44 12¢ $35 -$9 10-21 16:42
Trump out as President before 2027? No +5 $5 96¢ $5 +$0 10-18 19:52
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +5 $64 68¢ $3 -$60 10-27 20:06
Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? Yes +0 $198 52¢ $0 -$198 11-01 18:03
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes +0 $119 18¢ $0 -$119 07-08 21:57