Realized P&L (90d)
-$407
Unrealized P&L
-$155
Hit rate
64.5%
Resolved (90d)
194
Trades (90d)
544
2,352 lifetime
Volume (90d)
$6.70K
$28.7K lifetime
Avg / trade
$12
Open exposure
$472
29 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-29 20:28
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 240 days
Categories
Other
56% 20% -$1,038
Politics
38% 25% +$133
Sports
2% 12% -$102
Crypto
2% 27% +$278
Tech
1% 15% -$93
Pop-Culture
0% 0% -$11
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
61 active days in 12wk • peak 39 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? Yes +200 $128 51¢ $102 -$26 10-16 14:23
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? Yes +96 $89 86¢ $82 -$7 10-29 20:28
another fed rate hike in 2026 No +200 $22 28¢ $55 +$33 10-14 12:30
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +100 $34 38¢ $38 +$4 10-21 07:13
will a chinese company have one of the top 3 ai models by december 31 Yes +100 $35 22¢ $22 -$12 08-05 18:31
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026? No +214 $10 10¢ $22 +$12 10-02 18:47
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? Yes +300 $15 6¢ $20 +$4 10-26 00:23
Will Edmundo González be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes +2,100 $6 1¢ $17 +$10 09-23 19:53
Will Predict.fun launch a token by October 31, 2026? No +100 $80 15¢ $15 -$66 10-19 02:41
Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027? No +200 $8 7¢ $14 +$6 08-26 22:40
will hamas agree to disarm by december 31 Yes +127 $44 8¢ $10 -$34 08-17 17:38
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? Yes +200 $21 4¢ $8 -$13 05-06 18:07
Will Sevilla win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship? Yes +5,000 $10 0¢ $8 -$2 08-17 20:48
Will Real Sociedad win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship? Yes +5,000 $10 0¢ $8 -$2 08-17 20:48
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +200 $6 4¢ $7 +$1 08-10 23:05
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026? Yes +100 $6 7¢ $7 +$1 10-29 14:50
Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by October 31, 2026? Yes +100 $31 5¢ $5 -$26 10-16 14:09
US x China Military clash before 2027? Yes -200 -$10 2¢ $-5 +$5 04-28 15:21
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House Yes +645 $6 1¢ $5 -$1 09-16 19:10
Xi Jinping out before 2027? Yes -150 -$12 3¢ $-4 +$7 05-02 16:56
GTA 6 launch postponed again? Yes +100 $5 4¢ $4 -$1 10-29 13:40
Will SpaceX have between 160-179 launches in 2026? Yes +175 $3 2¢ $4 +$0 10-01 18:47
Ukraine joins NATO before 2027? Yes -200 -$9 1¢ $-2 +$7 05-16 10:12
Will Betis win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship? Yes +1,000 $3 0¢ $2 -$2 07-20 14:04
Will Villarreal win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship? Yes +1,000 $2 0¢ $1 $0 07-09 04:21
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 31, 2026? Yes +70 $5 2¢ $1 -$4 10-21 19:45
israel accuses iranproxies of plane stabbing incident by oct 31 Yes +100 $14 1¢ $1 -$13 10-01 12:34
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? Yes +100 $10 1¢ $1 -$9 09-06 11:16
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? Yes +103 $30 0¢ $0 -$30 10-23 16:46