Realized P&L
-$842
Unrealized P&L
-$58
Hit rate
63.6%
Resolved
887
Trades
2,353
lifetime
Volume
$28.7K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$12
Open exposure
$553
27 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-29 20:28
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 242 days
Categories
Other
56% 20% -$1,046
Politics
38% 25% +$133
Sports
2% 12% -$102
Crypto
2% 27% +$278
Tech
1% 15% -$93
Pop-Culture
0% 0% -$11
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
61 active days in 12wk • peak 39 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? Yes +200 $128 54¢ $108 -$20 10-16 14:23
Will Predict.fun launch a token by October 31, 2026? No +100 $80 97¢ $97 +$17 10-19 02:41
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? Yes +96 $89 92¢ $88 -$1 10-29 20:28
another fed rate hike in 2026 No +200 $22 29¢ $58 +$36 10-14 12:30
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +100 $34 50¢ $49 +$15 10-21 07:13
will a chinese company have one of the top 3 ai models by december 31 Yes +100 $35 22¢ $22 -$12 08-05 18:31
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026? No +214 $10 10¢ $20 +$10 10-02 18:47
Will Edmundo González be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes +2,100 $6 1¢ $18 +$12 09-23 19:53
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? Yes +300 $15 6¢ $16 +$2 10-26 00:23
Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027? No +200 $8 7¢ $14 +$6 08-26 22:40
will hamas agree to disarm by december 31 Yes +127 $44 6¢ $8 -$37 08-17 17:38
Will Sevilla win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship? Yes +5,000 $10 0¢ $8 -$2 08-17 20:48
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +200 $6 4¢ $7 +$1 08-10 23:05
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? Yes +200 $21 3¢ $5 -$16 05-06 18:07
US x China Military clash before 2027? Yes -200 -$10 2¢ $-5 +$5 04-28 15:21
GTA 6 launch postponed again? Yes +100 $5 5¢ $5 $0 10-29 13:40
Xi Jinping out before 2027? Yes -150 -$12 3¢ $-4 +$7 05-02 16:56
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House Yes +645 $6 1¢ $4 -$2 09-16 19:10
Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by October 31, 2026? Yes +100 $31 4¢ $4 -$28 10-16 14:09
Will SpaceX have between 160-179 launches in 2026? Yes +175 $3 2¢ $3 $0 10-01 18:47
Ukraine joins NATO before 2027? Yes -200 -$9 1¢ $-3 +$7 05-16 10:12
Will Betis win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship? Yes +1,000 $3 0¢ $2 -$2 07-20 14:04
Will Villarreal win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship? Yes +1,000 $2 0¢ $1 $0 07-09 04:21
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? Yes +103 $30 1¢ $1 -$29 10-23 16:46
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 31, 2026? Yes +70 $5 1¢ $1 -$4 10-21 19:45
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? Yes +100 $10 1¢ $1 -$9 09-06 11:16
israel accuses iranproxies of plane stabbing incident by oct 31 Yes +100 $14 1¢ $1 -$13 10-01 12:34