Single-Icicle — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$68

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

4.9%

Resolved

Trades

227

lifetime

Volume

$37.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$167

Open exposure

$28

1 position

First seen

2026-02-12

last 09-03 10:26

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 43 days

Categories

Sports

37% 16% -$53

Politics

32% 0% -$1

Other

21% 5% -$14

Crypto

10% 45% -$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (22) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Joe Kent win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No		-28	-$28	100¢	$-28	$0	05-10 17:11

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the Portland Trail Blazers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	6	$1.4K	696	696	+0	No	-$1	04-22 03:48
Will Manchester United win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	4	$1.0K	516	516	+0	No	-$1	04-02 08:58
Will the New Orleans Pelicans win the 2026 NBA Finals?	4	$986	493	493	+0	No	$0	03-15 14:38
Will J.B. Pritzker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	4	$985	502	502	+0	open	—	05-25 02:37
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in April?	4	$906	453	453	+0	No	$0	04-21 06:21
Will Ethereum dip to $200 in April?	4	$887	445	445	+0	No	$0	04-13 06:14
Will Villarreal win the 2025–26 La Liga?	4	$792	397	397	+0	No	$0	04-01 07:49
Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	4	$792	401	401	+0	open	—	05-27 02:09
Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	4	$770	387	387	+0	open	—	05-20 04:59
Will Phil Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	4	$710	357	357	-0	open	—	05-16 08:43
Will Celta Vigo win the 2025–26 La Liga?	2	$626	313	313	+0	No	$0	02-14 16:56
Will Club Brugge win the 2025–26 Champions League?	2	$614	308	308	+0	No	$0	02-13 00:24
Will the Nashville Predators win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	2	$587	295	295	+0	No	-$1	02-22 23:59
Will the Atlanta Hawks win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$552	277	277	+0	No	$0	02-24 23:23
Will Betis win the 2025–26 La Liga?	2	$551	276	276	+0	No	-$1	02-20 22:01
Will Nico Hülkenberg be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	4	$550	276	276	-0	No	$0	07-03 05:41
Will the Orlando Magic win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$548	276	276	+0	No	+$0	04-20 19:33
Will Espanyol win the 2025–26 La Liga?	2	$540	270	270	+0	No	$0	03-02 01:04
Will Tim Walz win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	6	$538	271	271	+0	open	—	07-15 07:56
Will Azerbaijan win Eurovision 2026?	2	$536	269	269	+0	No	$0	03-30 01:34
Will Lithuania win Eurovision 2026?	2	$534	268	268	+0	No	$0	04-20 21:59
Will Albania win Eurovision 2026?	2	$510	256	256	+0	No	$0	03-28 05:14
will bitcoin reach 150k in march 2026	2	$510	256	256	+0	No	$0	03-12 16:49
will the fed decrease interest rates by 50 bps after the march 2026 meeting	2	$504	252	252	+0	No	$0	03-13 16:48
will bitcoin dip to 25k in march 2026	2	$502	251	251	+0	No	$0	03-26 18:37
Will Serbia win Eurovision 2026?	2	$496	249	249	+0	No	$0	04-14 02:49
Will Franco Colapinto be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	4	$492	247	247	+0	No	$0	07-09 23:39
Will Steve Bannon win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	4	$492	248	248	+0	open	—	07-12 21:04
Will the New Orleans Saints win the 2027 NFL league championship?	2	$488	246	246	+0	open	—	05-01 17:41
Will Eric Swalwell win the California Governor Election in 2026?	2	$486	243	243	+0	open	—	05-19 15:05

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-03 10:26:43	Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	SELL	29	100¢	$29	0xd04266…
07-18 05:50:54	Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	BUY	29	99¢	$29	0x04ca39…
07-18 05:50:22	Will 8 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	No	SELL	25	100¢	$25	0xbe2a1a…
07-15 13:47:37	Will 8 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0xf48cb8…
07-15 07:56:16	Will Tim Walz win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	SELL	36	100¢	$36	0x15991f…
07-14 12:20:43	Will Tim Walz win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	BUY	36	100¢	$36	0xf34edf…
07-14 12:19:44	Will LeBron James win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	SELL	26	100¢	$26	0x482129…
07-14 06:51:13	Will LeBron James win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	BUY	26	99¢	$26	0xe40e83…
07-14 06:50:43	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	38	99¢	$38	0x4ee0fb…
07-13 10:22:10	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	38	99¢	$38	0xaf9baf…
07-13 10:21:47	Will Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	SELL	22	100¢	$22	0x702a3c…
07-12 21:04:43	Will Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0x980b38…
07-12 21:04:22	Will Steve Bannon win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	SELL	31	99¢	$31	0x79c0b5…
07-12 03:38:04	Will Steve Bannon win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	BUY	31	99¢	$31	0xc91bc9…
07-12 03:37:38	Will Josh Hawley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	SELL	40	99¢	$40	0xf862a9…
07-11 16:34:53	Will Josh Hawley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	BUY	40	99¢	$40	0xdf106f…
07-09 23:39:56	Will Franco Colapinto be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	No	SELL	29	100¢	$29	0x4d17fd…
07-08 21:34:52	Will Franco Colapinto be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	No	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0x2a2718…
07-08 21:34:32	Will Alpine be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?	No	SELL	32	100¢	$32	0xd5e892…
07-05 14:37:43	Will Alpine be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?	No	BUY	32	100¢	$32	0x9a4cd3…
07-04 18:16:47	Will Tim Walz win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	SELL	28	99¢	$28	0x44c33b…
07-04 10:18:50	Will Tim Walz win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	BUY	28	99¢	$28	0x371e9e…
07-04 10:18:28	Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	SELL	35	99¢	$35	0xeff8bf…
07-04 06:40:59	Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	BUY	35	99¢	$35	0xff7fd0…
07-04 03:45:41	Will John Thune win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	SELL	28	99¢	$28	0x15b9b8…
07-03 05:41:55	Will John Thune win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	BUY	28	99¢	$28	0x6a6c74…
07-03 05:41:34	Will Nico Hülkenberg be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	No	SELL	36	100¢	$36	0xfef3cb…
07-02 23:35:38	Will Nico Hülkenberg be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	No	BUY	36	100¢	$36	0x3ca6a9…
07-02 20:30:22	Will Byron Donalds win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	SELL	40	99¢	$40	0xc2f56e…
07-02 12:38:32	Will Byron Donalds win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	BUY	40	99¢	$40	0x741a46…
07-02 05:21:07	Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	SELL	40	99¢	$40	0x280212…
07-01 23:53:28	Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	BUY	40	99¢	$40	0x987ff0…
07-01 12:03:22	Will Laurent Wauquiez win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	SELL	34	99¢	$34	0xad03ba…
07-01 10:39:05	Will Laurent Wauquiez win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	34	99¢	$34	0x3f0b25…
06-27 10:30:56	Will Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	42	100¢	$42	0x5428e2…
06-23 13:40:58	Will Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	42	100¢	$42	0xe710e5…
06-23 11:11:14	Will Greg Abbott win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	SELL	24	99¢	$24	0x57e2f4…
06-22 21:01:04	Will Greg Abbott win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	BUY	24	99¢	$24	0x14fc39…
06-22 21:00:35	Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	SELL	26	99¢	$26	0xd44498…
06-21 08:34:43	Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	BUY	26	99¢	$26	0xcc7784…
06-20 22:56:41	Will Liam Lawson be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	No	SELL	30	100¢	$30	0xc87059…
06-19 21:55:01	Will Liam Lawson be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0xd21b2c…
06-19 21:54:32	Will Tony Thurmond win the California Governor Election in 2026?	No	SELL	39	100¢	$39	0xf79731…
06-05 19:51:18	Will Tony Thurmond win the California Governor Election in 2026?	No	BUY	39	100¢	$39	0x37e12d…
05-27 19:30:30	Will Beto O’Rourke win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	SELL	236	99¢	$235	0xdeab3d…
05-27 02:09:20	Will Beto O’Rourke win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	BUY	236	99¢	$235	0xed2efe…
05-27 02:09:01	Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	SELL	210	99¢	$207	0x0b03a1…
05-26 10:05:52	Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	BUY	210	99¢	$207	0x7dc45a…
05-26 10:05:27	Will Barack Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	SELL	203	99¢	$202	0x47b419…
05-25 11:48:15	Will Barack Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	BUY	203	99¢	$202	0x5c04fc…
05-25 02:37:19	Will J.B. Pritzker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	SELL	249	98¢	$245	0x7d2ee1…
05-24 15:33:03	Will J.B. Pritzker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	BUY	249	98¢	$245	0xfe0b8c…
05-22 14:16:36	Will Oprah Winfrey win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	SELL	191	99¢	$190	0x9fc77d…
05-21 16:45:45	Will Oprah Winfrey win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	BUY	191	99¢	$190	0x1ab4ca…
05-21 11:55:34	Will Tim Walz win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	SELL	206	99¢	$205	0x86d5d2…
05-21 10:17:08	Will Tim Walz win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	BUY	206	99¢	$205	0x1c2349…
05-20 04:59:06	Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	SELL	199	99¢	$198	0x7a450f…
05-19 18:50:01	Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	BUY	199	99¢	$198	0xb66d45…
05-19 15:05:03	Will Eric Swalwell win the California Governor Election in 2026?	No	SELL	243	100¢	$243	0x039cce…
05-19 05:22:32	Will Eric Swalwell win the California Governor Election in 2026?	No	BUY	243	100¢	$243	0x8ead79…
05-18 18:26:10	Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in May?	No	SELL	228	100¢	$227	0x3a552b…
05-18 01:30:35	Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in May?	No	BUY	228	100¢	$227	0x4ac3bd…
05-17 12:57:02	Will Franco Colapinto be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	No	SELL	218	100¢	$217	0x3450f1…
05-16 19:59:51	Will Franco Colapinto be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	No	BUY	218	100¢	$217	0x4dec64…
05-16 08:43:36	Will Phil Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	SELL	184	99¢	$183	0x01fb7c…
05-16 06:58:48	Will Phil Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	BUY	184	99¢	$183	0x32022b…
05-15 21:31:02	Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	SELL	189	99¢	$188	0x292ed0…
05-14 19:09:30	Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	BUY	189	99¢	$188	0x8d6532…
05-14 13:28:21	Will Na Kyung-won win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election	No	SELL	214	100¢	$214	0xb8f263…
05-14 09:00:48	Will Na Kyung-won win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election	No	BUY	214	100¢	$214	0x8c9eac…
05-12 12:36:15	Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	SELL	223	99¢	$222	0x3bbe39…
05-11 16:46:03	Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	BUY	223	99¢	$222	0x0d4b96…
05-11 10:50:14	Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	SELL	233	99¢	$232	0x970c72…
05-11 04:46:06	Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	BUY	233	99¢	$232	0x828a20…
05-11 04:45:48	Will Nicole Shanahan win the California Governor Election in 2026?	No	SELL	229	100¢	$229	0x7eabd1…
05-11 02:41:10	Will Nicole Shanahan win the California Governor Election in 2026?	No	BUY	229	100¢	$229	0x8eb5be…
05-10 17:11:50	Will Joe Kent win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	SELL	28	99¢	$28	0x312f79…
05-10 13:11:30	Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	SELL	192	98¢	$189	0x8f1cf2…
05-10 08:03:51	Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	BUY	192	99¢	$189	0x788960…
05-10 08:03:32	Will Saudi Arabia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	227	100¢	$227	0xb51091…
05-07 05:45:22	Will Saudi Arabia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	227	100¢	$227	0xe01cf7…
05-06 04:42:22	Will Matt Gaetz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	SELL	220	99¢	$218	0x908bf9…
05-05 22:34:04	Will Matt Gaetz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	BUY	220	99¢	$218	0x632593…
05-05 22:33:48	Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	SELL	170	99¢	$168	0x162425…
05-05 19:23:12	Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	BUY	170	99¢	$168	0x519958…
05-05 19:22:54	Will Steve Bannon win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	SELL	217	99¢	$215	0xdff722…
05-05 16:25:14	Will Steve Bannon win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	BUY	217	99¢	$215	0x4a1a77…
05-05 16:24:58	Will Daniel Mercuri win the California Governor Election in 2026?	No	SELL	225	100¢	$225	0x1a93ab…
05-05 12:00:04	Will Daniel Mercuri win the California Governor Election in 2026?	No	BUY	225	100¢	$225	0xc97840…
05-05 11:59:48	Will MrBeast win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	SELL	203	99¢	$202	0xf2cc3f…
05-05 07:52:22	Will MrBeast win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	BUY	203	99¢	$202	0xfd62db…
05-05 07:52:06	Will Ivory Coast win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	205	100¢	$204	0x48f6eb…
05-05 03:27:10	Will Ivory Coast win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	205	100¢	$204	0xdc97bc…
05-05 03:26:52	Will Sweden win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	215	99¢	$214	0x1dfc57…
05-04 23:04:44	Will Sweden win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	215	99¢	$214	0x8cc4a9…
05-04 23:04:28	Will Paraguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	193	100¢	$192	0xee07f3…
05-04 16:54:28	Will Paraguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	193	100¢	$192	0xb3889c…
05-04 13:23:02	Will Scotland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	175	100¢	$174	0x926e29…
05-04 09:20:14	Will Scotland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	175	100¢	$174	0xc9c6b6…
05-04 08:11:50	Will Congo DR win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	237	100¢	$237	0xef269b…