Realized P&L
+$92
Unrealized P&L
+$19
Hit rate
72.6%
Resolved
142
Trades
365
lifetime
Volume
$2.16K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$6
Open exposure
$374
15 positions
First seen
2026-01-02
last 10-27 23:22
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 44 days
Categories
Politics
46% 57% +$116
Crypto
33% 65% -$33
Other
16% 69% +$9
Sports
5% 43% -$1
Tech
0% 100% +$0
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
7 active days in 12wk • peak 12 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes +1,090 $200 18¢ $202 +$2 10-24 20:49
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No +107 $102 96¢ $103 +$1 10-24 20:50
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +33 $10 54¢ $18 +$8 10-19 01:02
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +63 $8 12¢ $8 $0 07-29 22:20
Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to no prison time? No -14 -$10 44¢ $-6 +$4 05-04 17:05
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? No +5 $5 97¢ $5 +$0 10-25 08:48
US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026? No +6 $5 77¢ $5 $0 10-25 08:49
Iran leadership change by June 30, 2027? Yes +19 $5 26¢ $5 $0 10-24 18:20
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No +5 $5 91¢ $5 $0 07-13 20:48
US announces end of Iranian blockade by March 31, 2027? No +12 $5 40¢ $5 $0 10-25 08:49
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes -21 -$5 18¢ $-4 +$1 07-29 22:19
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes -34 -$5 10¢ $-3 +$2 05-08 20:37
Iran leadership change by December 31? Yes +15 $5 14¢ $2 -$3 05-17 20:00
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? Yes -100 -$7 2¢ $-2 +$5 05-23 14:34
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes -43 -$2 4¢ $-2 +$0 05-02 07:42