Realized P&L (24h)
—
Unrealized P&L
-$1.41K
Hit rate
—
Resolved (24h)
0
Trades (24h)
50
3,118 lifetime
Volume (24h)
$34
$205.9K lifetime
Avg / trade
$66
Open exposure
$6.21K
11 positions
First seen
2026-04-28
last 11-03 09:26
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 64 days
Categories
Other
93% 15% +$595
Politics
5% 57% +$5,644
Tech
2% 67% +$4,451
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
40 active days in 12wk • peak 199 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31? No +6,196 $1,824 36¢ $2.2K +$406 09-15 07:54
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? No +4,799 $1,104 15¢ $739 -$365 10-23 10:52
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31? No +900 $396 75¢ $675 +$279 09-17 00:58
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? Yes +1,126 -$1,281 57¢ $642 +$1,922 10-31 17:10
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1500? Yes +3,516 $2,619 18¢ $615 -$2,004 09-30 21:59
will anthropics valuation hit high 1pt75t by december 31 328 No +2,200 $1,098 18¢ $385 -$713 08-12 20:56
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30? Yes +5,086 $509 6¢ $280 -$229 10-01 16:02
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? Yes +4,450 $255 5¢ $229 -$26 11-03 09:26
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? Yes +500 $160 30¢ $152 -$8 10-30 15:14
US strike on Cuba by December 31? Yes +2,109 $253 7¢ $148 -$105 10-05 14:01
will anthropics valuation hit high 1pt5t by december 31 797 No +1,850 $682 6¢ $119 -$563 08-11 05:42