Realized P&L (7d)
—
Unrealized P&L
+$5.67K
Hit rate
—
Resolved (7d)
0
Trades (7d)
39
3,025 lifetime
Volume (7d)
$3.46K
$205.0K lifetime
Avg / trade
$68
Open exposure
$12.9K
12 positions
First seen
2026-04-28
last 10-27 15:45
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 62 days
Categories
Other
93% 15% -$3,496
Politics
5% 67% +$5,644
Tech
2% 50% +$70
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
39 active days in 12wk • peak 199 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? No +4,160 -$222 96¢ $4.0K +$4,227 10-02 02:22
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? Yes +3,804 -$374 94¢ $3.6K +$3,957 10-03 12:40
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31? No +6,196 $1,824 30¢ $1.8K +$4 09-15 07:54
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1500? Yes +3,516 $2,619 24¢ $861 -$1,758 09-30 21:59
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? Yes +1,880 -$827 34¢ $649 +$1,476 10-22 13:05
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31? No +900 $396 68¢ $617 +$221 09-17 00:58
will anthropics valuation hit high 1pt75t by december 31 328 No +2,200 $1,098 16¢ $363 -$735 08-12 20:56
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30? Yes +5,086 $509 6¢ $305 -$203 10-01 16:02
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? No +4,799 $1,104 6¢ $264 -$840 10-23 10:52
US strike on Cuba by December 31? Yes +2,109 $253 9¢ $190 -$63 10-05 14:01
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? Yes +2,319 $139 6¢ $136 -$3 10-27 14:47
will anthropics valuation hit high 1pt5t by december 31 797 No +1,850 $682 4¢ $74 -$608 08-11 05:42