Realized P&L (30d)
-$3.07K
Unrealized P&L
+$6.09K
Hit rate
0.4%
Resolved (30d)
13
Trades (30d)
448
3,058 lifetime
Volume (30d)
$16.7K
$205.7K lifetime
Avg / trade
$67
Open exposure
$13.2K
13 positions
First seen
2026-04-28
last 10-30 21:44
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 62 days
Categories
Other
93% 15% -$3,496
Politics
5% 67% +$5,644
Tech
2% 50% +$70
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
39 active days in 12wk • peak 199 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? No +4,160 -$222 100¢ $4.2K +$4,375 10-02 02:22
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? Yes +3,804 -$374 99¢ $3.8K +$4,138 10-03 12:40
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31? No +6,196 $1,824 30¢ $1.8K +$4 09-15 07:54
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? Yes +1,339 -$1,152 54¢ $723 +$1,876 10-30 20:46
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31? No +900 $396 72¢ $648 +$252 09-17 00:58
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1500? Yes +3,516 $2,619 18¢ $615 -$2,004 09-30 21:59
will anthropics valuation hit high 1pt75t by december 31 328 No +2,200 $1,098 16¢ $341 -$757 08-12 20:56
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30? Yes +5,086 $509 6¢ $331 -$178 10-01 16:02
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? Yes +3,868 $226 6¢ $219 -$7 10-30 21:44
US strike on Cuba by December 31? Yes +2,109 $253 8¢ $179 -$74 10-05 14:01
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? Yes +500 $160 34¢ $168 +$8 10-30 15:14
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? No +4,799 $1,104 3¢ $144 -$960 10-23 10:52
will anthropics valuation hit high 1pt5t by december 31 797 No +1,850 $682 6¢ $104 -$579 08-11 05:42