Realized P&L (90d)
+$2.00K
Unrealized P&L
+$5.78K
Hit rate
54.7%
Resolved (90d)
25
Trades (90d)
652
3,014 lifetime
Volume (90d)
$33.6K
$203.5K lifetime
Avg / trade
$68
Open exposure
$13.0K
12 positions
First seen
2026-04-28
last 10-27 15:45
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 62 days
Categories
Other
93% 15% -$3,496
Politics
5% 67% +$5,644
Tech
2% 50% +$70
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
39 active days in 12wk • peak 199 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? No +4,160 -$222 98¢ $4.1K +$4,286 10-02 02:22
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? Yes +3,804 -$374 97¢ $3.7K +$4,060 10-03 12:40
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31? No +6,196 $1,824 26¢ $1.6K -$213 09-15 07:54
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? Yes +1,880 -$827 50¢ $931 +$1,758 10-22 13:05
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1500? Yes +3,516 $2,619 24¢ $844 -$1,775 09-30 21:59
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31? No +900 $396 68¢ $612 +$216 09-17 00:58
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30? Yes +5,086 $509 6¢ $331 -$178 10-01 16:02
will anthropics valuation hit high 1pt75t by december 31 328 No +2,200 $1,098 15¢ $330 -$768 08-12 20:56
US strike on Cuba by December 31? Yes +2,109 $253 10¢ $200 -$53 10-05 14:01
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? No +4,799 $1,104 4¢ $168 -$936 10-23 10:52
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? Yes +2,319 $139 6¢ $129 -$10 10-27 14:47
will anthropics valuation hit high 1pt5t by december 31 797 No +1,850 $682 4¢ $71 -$611 08-11 05:42