Realized P&L
-$26.0K
Unrealized P&L
+$3.95K
Hit rate
74.1%
Resolved
66
Trades
1,330
lifetime
Volume
$461.5K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$347
Open exposure
$37.1K
24 positions
First seen
2026-05-23
last 10-25 01:08
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 28 days
Categories
Politics
38% 83% -$35,868
Sports
32% 79% +$15,516
Other
29% 75% -$5,364
Tech
1% 80% -$303
Crypto
1% 100% +$22
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
54 active days in 12wk • peak 41 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Foreign intervention in Gaza by December 31? No +13,114 $8,882 88¢ $11.6K +$2,723 09-21 03:43
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +8,620 $7,772 92¢ $7.9K +$116 10-13 21:16
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +6,600 $5,893 94¢ $6.2K +$344 10-10 09:34
China x Philippines military clash before 2027? No +5,101 $3,193 82¢ $4.2K +$964 10-25 01:08
putin out as president of russia by june 30 2027 No +2,078 $1,594 90¢ $1.9K +$286 08-12 17:41
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +4,622 $1,280 26¢ $1.2K -$55 09-11 06:37
will bitcoin dip to 65000 by december 31 2026 from august 24 Yes +3,700 $1,470 24¢ $906 -$563 09-05 01:46
Will the Democrats win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026? Yes +900 $729 92¢ $823 +$94 09-21 08:33
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? Yes +1,110 $769 60¢ $672 -$98 08-30 19:01
gianni infantino out as fifa president by december 31 20260706195547871 No +381 $227 96¢ $364 +$137 08-05 21:18
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +1,400 $361 18¢ $245 -$116 09-03 08:47
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027? No +227 $200 94¢ $215 +$15 05-23 07:19
Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? Yes +300 $207 72¢ $214 +$8 09-02 15:17
will bitcoin dip to 70000 by december 31 2026 from august 24 Yes +400 $244 38¢ $154 -$90 08-31 18:39
Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? Yes +210 $126 57¢ $121 -$5 08-28 17:56
Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled? Yes +100 $95 98¢ $98 +$3 08-12 13:58
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? No +100 $84 96¢ $96 +$12 09-08 14:00
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%? Yes +100 $89 96¢ $96 +$7 08-30 10:24
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2027? No +100 $48 48¢ $48 $0 08-26 12:20
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No +10 $9 98¢ $10 +$1 07-03 10:45
Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026? Yes +10 -$69 80¢ $8 +$77 08-26 12:07
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? Yes +10 $6 68¢ $7 +$1 08-26 12:01
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? No +0 -$50 84¢ $0 +$50 08-30 10:07
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? No +0 -$41 36¢ $0 +$41 09-14 13:31