Realized P&L
+$660
Unrealized P&L
+$10
Hit rate
62.7%
Resolved
100
Trades
224
lifetime
Volume
$13.7K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$61
Open exposure
$834
10 positions
First seen
2026-01-24
last 11-12 00:45
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 44 days
Categories
Other
59% 40% +$494
Politics
24% 47% -$361
Crypto
10% 37% -$260
Sports
4% 33% +$190
Tech
2% 0% -$100
Pop-Culture
1% 50% +$697
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
13 active days in 12wk • peak 12 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026? No -201 -$187 98¢ $-197 -$10 10-05 22:29
Will Hyperliquid dip to $20 by December 31, 2026? No -145 -$140 97¢ $-142 -$1 10-05 22:29
Will Zohran Mamdani be TIME Person of the Year 2026? No +130 $100 78¢ $101 +$1 11-07 22:46
Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening week in 2026? Yes +133 $100 72¢ $97 -$3 11-07 22:43
Will Colette Kress be the next CEO of NVIDIA? Yes +477 $116 19¢ $91 -$25 11-12 00:45
Will Hyperliquid dip to $16 by December 31, 2026? No -86 -$84 99¢ $-85 -$1 10-05 22:30
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? No +89 $50 86¢ $76 +$26 11-04 19:33
Will there be no new be CEO of NVIDIA by December 31, 2028? Yes +156 $20 26¢ $41 +$21 11-12 00:11
Predict.fun FDV above $300M one day after launch? No -100 -$2 3¢ $-3 -$1 11-04 01:29
Anthropic IPO before 2027? No -105 -$7 2¢ $-3 +$5 11-03 22:42