Realized P&L (90d)
-$5
Unrealized P&L
+$1
Hit rate
60.2%
Resolved (90d)
126
Trades (90d)
174
846 lifetime
Volume (90d)
$400
$2.28K lifetime
Avg / trade
$3
Open exposure
$4
8 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 11-07 09:55
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 160 days
Categories
Crypto
71% 59% +$31
Other
24% 39% -$5
Politics
3% 50% -$3
Sports
2% 64% +$10
Tech
1% 50% +$10
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
46 active days in 12wk • peak 21 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? No -1 -$1 98¢ $-1 $0 05-28 15:51
Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026? No -1 -$1 96¢ $-1 $0 05-05 17:13
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 9°C on November 7? Yes +5 $1 18¢ $1 $0 11-06 05:42
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes -9 -$2 3¢ $-0 +$2 07-19 15:12
Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C on November 7? Yes +7 $1 4¢ $0 -$1 11-06 05:42
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 74-75°F on November 7? Yes +9 $1 2¢ $0 -$1 11-06 11:42
Tim Walz charged by December 31, 2026? Yes -6 -$1 3¢ $-0 +$1 05-05 16:36
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? Yes -9 $0 2¢ $-0 +$0 08-10 11:20