Realized P&L
+$44
Unrealized P&L
+$1
Hit rate
72.0%
Resolved
543
Trades
851
lifetime
Volume
$2.28K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$3
Open exposure
$5
8 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 11-08 05:31
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 161 days
Categories
Crypto
70% 59% +$31
Other
24% 39% -$4
Politics
3% 50% -$3
Sports
2% 64% +$10
Tech
1% 50% +$10
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
45 active days in 12wk • peak 21 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026? No -1 -$1 97¢ $-1 $0 05-05 17:13
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? No -1 -$1 99¢ $-1 $0 05-28 15:51
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 11°C on November 9? Yes +6 $1 14¢ $1 $0 11-08 05:31
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on November 8? Yes +14 $1 3¢ $0 -$1 11-07 22:36
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 72-73°F on November 8? Yes +6 $1 5¢ $0 -$1 11-07 23:32
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes -9 -$2 3¢ $-0 +$2 07-19 15:12
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? Yes -9 $0 2¢ $-0 +$0 08-10 11:20
Tim Walz charged by December 31, 2026? Yes -6 -$1 2¢ $-0 +$1 05-05 16:36