Authentic-Ocelot — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$0

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

12.8%

Resolved

Trades

357

lifetime

Volume

$353

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-03

last 07-25 08:33

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Other

55% 0% $-0

Politics

31% 33% $-0

Crypto

12% 0% $-0

Sports

2% — —

Tech

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

58 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will tesla deliver less than 350000 vehicles in q1 2026	31	$30	25	26	-2	open	—	02-18 01:06
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	12	$12	6	6	+0	open	—	07-11 06:17
will france uk or germany strike iran by march 31 929	9	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	03-27 08:59
another us government shutdown by february 14	8	$8	5	5	+0	open	—	02-13 00:59
Xi Jinping out before 2027?	7	$7	4	3	+1	open	—	07-21 03:21
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	6	$6	2	4	-2	open	—	06-15 08:36
GTA VI released before June 2026?	6	$6	3	3	+0	open	—	05-18 04:44
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	6	$6	3	3	+0	open	—	07-06 03:46
ebola pandemic in 2026	6	$6	3	3	+0	open	—	07-18 04:37
mu quarterly earnings nongaap eps 03 18 2026 8pt58	6	$6	3	3	+0	open	—	03-09 03:53
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	6	$6	7	7	+0	Yes	$-0	01-20 09:27
will the ethereum volatility index hit 100 by july 31	6	$6	3	3	+0	open	—	07-11 06:19
will microstrategy announce holding 740k btc by march 31	6	$6	3	3	+0	open	—	03-11 02:12
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	04-28 03:49
trump meets with mojtaba khamenei by june 30	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	06-17 07:46
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	06-18 09:11
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	04-24 04:55
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	04-29 03:40
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	01-31 02:09
Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by May 31?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	05-09 03:41
israeli forces enter tyre by june 7	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	06-06 07:09
next thai prime minister chosen by march 31	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	03-14 04:08
dc airport ground stop lifted today	3	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	03-14 04:08
will spacexs high share price on its first day of trading hit 150 high 20260608191407797	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	06-12 08:23
Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	05-13 06:49
trump media x tae technologies merger closed by july 31 20260629151200479	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	07-25 08:33
untitled market 1 20260708143739936	4	$4	2	2	+0	Yes	$-0	07-18 04:37
microstrategy announces 1000 btc purchase march 10 16	3	$3	2	1	+1	open	—	03-16 02:03
Will Trump and Machado share the Nobel Peace Prize?	3	$3	3	1	+1	open	—	01-15 09:41
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?	3	$3	1	2	-1	open	—	05-30 02:49

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-25 08:33:55	trump media x tae technologies merger closed by july 31 20260629151200479	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x228150…
07-25 08:20:36	trump media x tae technologies merger closed by july 31 20260629151200479	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x233da1…
07-24 10:18:43	will israeli forces withdraw from beyond the litani river by july 31	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x3b3c30…
07-24 09:56:01	will israeli forces withdraw from beyond the litani river by july 31	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x5e2c8a…
07-23 06:12:18	israeli forces enter tyre by july 31	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x3039ff…
07-23 03:51:04	israeli forces enter tyre by july 31	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x30cdac…
07-21 03:21:40	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xe00c92…
07-20 07:06:57	will there be at least 1800 cyclosporiasis cases in the uptspt by july 31 2026 20260715005153971	Yes	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0xe98981…
07-20 07:06:25	Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x91a43f…
07-20 06:54:52	will there be at least 1800 cyclosporiasis cases in the uptspt by july 31 2026 20260715005153971	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x90c34e…
07-20 06:53:58	Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x45eca4…
07-18 04:37:25	untitled market 1 20260708143739936	Yes	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x6853b9…
07-18 04:37:03	ebola pandemic in 2026	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xeca629…
07-18 03:20:49	untitled market 1 20260708143739936	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x6ee144…
07-18 03:20:21	ebola pandemic in 2026	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x6098e1…
07-17 02:37:49	untitled market 1 20260708143739936	Yes	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0xcbae9d…
07-17 02:36:52	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0xa0b130…
07-17 02:22:09	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x6cbe4f…
07-17 02:20:36	untitled market 1 20260708143739936	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x8a6b84…
07-16 01:55:22	ebola pandemic in 2026	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x6a1979…
07-16 01:42:20	ebola pandemic in 2026	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x15de9e…
07-15 03:54:23	will lebron sign his next nba contract by august 3 2026 20260709223851530	Yes	SELL	1	87¢	$1	0x623ef4…
07-15 03:54:01	trump out as president by july 31 20260626202639374	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x3c909d…
07-15 03:24:19	trump out as president by july 31 20260626202639374	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x71d332…
07-15 03:23:14	will lebron sign his next nba contract by august 3 2026 20260709223851530	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xdcb73a…
07-14 02:57:41	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x649cd8…
07-14 02:47:13	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xa1bae2…
07-13 07:17:17	ebola pandemic in 2026	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x2adca2…
07-13 06:58:02	ebola pandemic in 2026	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x09a392…
07-11 06:19:44	will the ethereum volatility index hit 100 by july 31	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0xe16bc0…
07-11 06:17:29	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x8756cc…
07-11 04:37:20	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x4d3235…
07-11 04:36:37	will the ethereum volatility index hit 100 by july 31	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xa1b372…
07-10 03:19:53	trump media x tae technologies merger closed by july 31 20260629151200479	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x588e09…
07-10 03:19:29	will russia invade a nato country by december 31 2026	No	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0x09c79b…
07-10 03:05:55	will russia invade a nato country by december 31 2026	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xbe3486…
07-10 03:05:08	trump media x tae technologies merger closed by july 31 20260629151200479	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x3423c3…
07-09 01:57:04	will the ethereum volatility index hit 100 by july 31	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x501306…
07-09 01:55:35	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0xbf17b6…
07-09 01:44:43	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xfc0ec4…
07-09 01:44:20	will the ethereum volatility index hit 100 by july 31	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xa48094…
07-08 03:21:38	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x5204c7…
07-08 03:01:58	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x64bf50…
07-07 02:44:07	will the ethereum volatility index hit 100 by july 31	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x7df104…
07-07 02:42:32	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x7342fd…
07-07 02:36:55	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xd95904…
07-07 02:34:17	will the ethereum volatility index hit 100 by july 31	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xaf3479…
07-06 03:46:20	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x49649c…
07-06 03:33:44	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xb81edd…
07-04 02:35:28	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x766fdc…
07-04 02:22:31	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x0320c4…
07-03 08:44:55	Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x7bb51a…
07-02 03:40:11	Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x6a53e8…
07-01 02:08:26	world cup most goals record broken 20260608192914170	No	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0x7fd9fc…
07-01 01:57:49	world cup most goals record broken 20260608192914170	No	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0xa7040d…
06-30 03:36:23	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0xd55359…
06-30 03:21:53	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x8bf2bb…
06-27 02:46:40	Mojtaba Khamenei leaves Iran by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x34bd07…
06-27 02:40:32	Mojtaba Khamenei leaves Iran by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xdec26e…
06-26 09:54:46	trump announces us x iran ceasefire over by june 30 20260607232556276 219	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xe33ffa…
06-26 09:44:58	trump announces us x iran ceasefire over by june 30 20260607232556276 219	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x51dfb5…
06-25 10:22:40	will symbiotic launch a token by june 30 2026	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xc1e2f0…
06-25 10:22:22	Trump out as President by June 30?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x0b7846…
06-25 10:09:55	Trump out as President by June 30?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x3fb53b…
06-25 10:09:13	will symbiotic launch a token by june 30 2026	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xbea329…
06-24 09:52:46	Will Trump pardon Tiger Woods by June 30?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xa4f290…
06-24 09:47:26	Will Trump pardon Tiger Woods by June 30?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x783f0c…
06-23 08:54:44	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xa45a22…
06-23 08:46:49	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xa8bc5a…
06-22 06:23:58	Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x1d80fa…
06-22 04:59:20	Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x0fe75a…
06-21 09:29:47	will bitcoin dip to 60k june 15 21 2026	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xc1bb84…
06-21 09:29:28	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0xdf361d…
06-21 09:19:49	will bitcoin dip to 60k june 15 21 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x3728e6…
06-21 09:17:59	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x906f40…
06-18 09:11:43	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0xe04e9d…
06-18 08:53:20	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xa2ab0f…
06-17 07:47:52	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0xd4b5aa…
06-17 07:46:19	trump meets with mojtaba khamenei by june 30	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x789d5d…
06-17 07:39:22	trump meets with mojtaba khamenei by june 30	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x74ace6…
06-17 07:38:08	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x45965b…
06-16 08:06:00	will north korea recognize israel by december 31	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0xb181a4…
06-16 08:05:37	Will Lionel Messi play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x3004eb…
06-16 07:15:25	will north korea recognize israel by december 31	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x81f877…
06-16 07:13:46	Will Lionel Messi play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x4de4a4…
06-15 08:36:49	trump meets with mojtaba khamenei by june 30	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x76580b…
06-15 08:36:13	Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x255cff…
06-15 08:26:00	trump meets with mojtaba khamenei by june 30	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x536644…
06-13 07:11:12	will north korea recognize israel by december 31	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x0b9696…
06-12 08:24:00	Will US annex any territory in 2026?	No	SELL	1	91¢	$1	0x674991…
06-12 08:23:15	will spacexs high share price on its first day of trading hit 150 high 20260608191407797	Yes	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0x2319a9…
06-12 08:09:33	Will US annex any territory in 2026?	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xa7cd92…
06-12 08:08:27	will spacexs high share price on its first day of trading hit 150 high 20260608191407797	Yes	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x42b07e…
06-11 08:23:06	will spacexs high share price on its first day of trading hit 150 high 20260608191407797	Yes	SELL	1	91¢	$1	0x30dffb…
06-11 08:22:06	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xc619b7…
06-11 08:10:40	will spacexs high share price on its first day of trading hit 150 high 20260608191407797	Yes	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x9a2f11…
06-11 08:09:13	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x0b2834…
06-10 08:35:54	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x8f6de3…
06-10 08:14:51	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x78f646…
06-09 07:50:12	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by june 15	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x754a2c…