Comfortable-Orator — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$172

Unrealized P&L

+$4

Hit rate

54.5%

Resolved

239

Trades

730

lifetime

Volume

$3.22K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-04-18

last 07-08 16:10

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 41 days

Categories

Crypto

85% 50% -$156

Politics

8% 53% -$23

Other

5% 55% +$13

Sports

2% 36% -$7

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-08).

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No		+9	$4	88¢	$8	+$4	07-08 16:10

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	10	$179	134	134	+0	Up	-$1	05-02 08:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	5	$110	101	57	+44	Up	-$10	05-02 08:24
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?	3	$80	170	170	+0	Yes	-$22	06-14 08:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	6	$80	56	56	+0	Up	+$10	05-02 08:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	7	$79	96	46	+50	Down	+$7	05-13 10:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	8	$65	54	29	+25	Down	-$17	05-13 10:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	13	$62	55	55	+0	Down	+$0	05-19 06:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	9	$57	45	45	+0	Up	+$7	05-20 06:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	7	$51	43	38	+5	Down	+$11	05-19 05:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	5	$48	82	26	+56	Up	-$2	05-13 12:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	4	$47	34	34	+0	Down	+$7	05-02 07:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	4	$45	33	33	+0	Up	+$5	05-13 12:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	6	$44	36	31	+5	Down	+$9	05-19 05:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	3	$44	35	35	+0	Down	+$14	05-13 10:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	6	$42	65	55	+10	Up	-$18	05-13 10:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	5	$40	52	31	+20	Down	-$10	05-19 01:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	7	$40	39	39	+0	Up	+$6	05-13 09:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	5	$37	32	24	+8	Up	-$3	05-19 05:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	5	$37	55	55	+0	Down	-$23	05-02 08:29
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C or higher on May 13?	3	$37	22	22	+0	Yes	+$7	05-13 08:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	8	$37	32	32	+0	Up	-$2	05-20 07:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET	7	$37	89	17	+73	Down	-$13	05-13 05:25
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	4	$36	28	28	+0	No	+$6	05-02 03:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	2	$35	26	26	+0	Down	+$15	05-14 11:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	6	$34	26	26	+0	Up	+$4	05-13 12:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	3	$34	24	24	+0	Up	+$14	05-19 06:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	3	$33	18	18	+0	Down	+$3	05-14 06:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	6	$33	23	23	+0	Down	+$3	05-13 05:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	4	$33	23	23	+0	Down	+$4	05-13 12:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	5	$32	31	23	+8	Up	+$2	05-19 06:44

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-08 16:10:11	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	BUY	9	43¢	$4	0xcd071f…
06-20 11:57:19	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xb42ee7…
06-20 11:56:23	Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	26	19¢	$5	0x46a3b1…
06-20 11:56:10	Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	56	1¢	$1	0xf67151…
06-16 09:54:01	fifwc fra sen 2026 06 16 spread home 1pt5	France	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0x1d3a8f…
06-14 08:01:40	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	2	47¢	$1	0x92d6ff…
06-14 08:01:36	US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	170	17¢	$29	0x2c23b3…
06-12 03:15:45	Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11?	Yes	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0xa900a9…
06-12 03:15:31	fifwc kr cze 2026 06 11 spread home 1pt5	Korea Republic	SELL	18	7¢	$1	0x23cd02…
06-12 02:09:46	fifwc kr cze 2026 06 11 spread home 1pt5	Korea Republic	BUY	18	17¢	$3	0xc0c061…
06-12 01:05:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-12 01:05 UTC	Down	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x4808a8…
06-11 23:24:30	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-11 23:20 UTC	Up	SELL	3	4¢	$0	0xf455b9…
06-11 23:23:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-11 23:20 UTC	Up	BUY	3	59¢	$2	0x08e66e…
06-11 23:21:36	Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11?	Yes	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xf4c92c…
06-11 14:49:42	Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11?	Yes	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x803f31…
06-11 14:49:19	fifwc mex rsa 2026 06 11 spread home 1pt5	Mexico	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0xc7f5b1…
06-10 08:55:04	Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	94	5¢	$5	0x80cc38…
06-10 08:50:55	Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	56	2¢	$1	0xd82839…
06-07 13:30:45	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 7 2026	No	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0xb7b11a…
06-06 16:39:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-06 16:35 UTC	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xfa201c…
06-06 16:39:28	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-06 16:35 UTC	Down	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x840756…
06-06 16:39:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-06 16:35 UTC	Up	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0x67633a…
06-03 04:15:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Down	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0x166e66…
06-03 04:14:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Down	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x15f617…
06-03 04:14:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Down	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0xc0e4f2…
06-03 04:13:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Down	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x05f756…
06-03 04:13:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Down	SELL	2	64¢	$1	0xab0502…
06-03 04:12:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Up	SELL	2	30¢	$1	0x37b0eb…
06-03 04:11:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0xda18f6…
06-03 04:10:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x1cd59e…
06-03 04:09:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x40e8ec…
06-03 04:08:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Up	SELL	14	4¢	$1	0x72db97…
06-03 04:07:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Down	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0xcaec4a…
06-03 04:07:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Up	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x6cf683…
06-03 04:06:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Down	SELL	3	62¢	$2	0x94c35e…
06-03 04:06:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Down	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x761077…
06-03 04:05:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Up	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x021f3a…
06-03 04:02:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xbd6f66…
06-03 02:59:13	Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes	Golden Knights	SELL	8	99¢	$8	0x4bcdc2…
06-03 02:38:09	Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes	Golden Knights	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x9a77b0…
06-03 02:35:28	Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes: O/U 7.5	Under	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x1155b3…
06-03 02:34:17	Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes	Golden Knights	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0x6a94a3…
05-31 02:22:04	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?	No	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0xe4b689…
05-30 17:19:57	US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	167	30¢	$50	0x69b12a…
05-30 17:13:37	US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x07058e…
05-28 10:53:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xefc808…
05-28 10:52:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Up	SELL	2	1¢	$0	0x966871…
05-28 10:51:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Down	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0xd40ad5…
05-28 10:50:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Down	SELL	2	68¢	$1	0x422bc9…
05-28 10:49:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Down	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x978ae4…
05-28 10:48:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xe8d18c…
05-28 10:48:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Down	SELL	6	1¢	$0	0x18103c…
05-28 10:46:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Up	SELL	2	81¢	$2	0x62fe31…
05-28 10:46:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Down	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x850593…
05-28 10:44:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xe3f65e…
05-28 10:44:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Down	SELL	7	1¢	$0	0xc2fcf0…
05-28 10:42:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Up	SELL	1	89¢	$1	0xfa7e71…
05-28 10:41:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x0794d0…
05-28 10:40:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0xe67543…
05-28 10:40:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0xf1ed27…
05-28 10:39:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xc92f9b…
05-28 10:29:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x093fbc…
05-28 10:29:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Down	SELL	2	5¢	$0	0x4052c6…
05-28 10:28:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x89c222…
05-28 10:28:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Up	SELL	2	57¢	$1	0x8a006a…
05-28 10:27:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0xbe6344…
05-28 10:27:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0xb102a7…
05-28 09:30:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$4	0x07a566…
05-28 09:29:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0xe64df4…
05-28 09:28:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x0abf57…
05-28 09:28:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Down	SELL	3	46¢	$1	0xd89d99…
05-28 09:26:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Up	SELL	2	67¢	$1	0xdcfc85…
05-28 09:26:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Down	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x13c465…
05-28 09:25:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x65686c…
05-28 09:24:49	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on May 29?	Yes	SELL	5	16¢	$1	0x578433…
05-27 23:11:07	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on May 29?	Yes	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x4246ca…
05-27 01:14:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x6a07df…
05-27 01:14:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Down	SELL	2	22¢	$1	0xb3bd5f…
05-27 01:13:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x757e9b…
05-27 01:13:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0xd67d03…
05-27 01:08:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Down	SELL	3	85¢	$2	0xceec1a…
05-27 01:06:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Down	BUY	3	79¢	$2	0x949572…
05-27 01:04:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x1cec18…
05-27 01:04:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x51944d…
05-27 01:03:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Up	SELL	22	19¢	$4	0xe19f3e…
05-27 01:02:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Up	BUY	18	11¢	$2	0xdb73d7…
05-27 01:01:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Down	SELL	2	72¢	$1	0x514518…
05-27 01:01:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Up	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x486749…
05-27 01:01:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Down	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x575563…
05-27 00:59:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x9f3940…
05-27 00:58:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x9df3ac…
05-22 11:57:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Up	SELL	3	57¢	$2	0x60cdf4…
05-22 11:57:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x0dcba2…
05-22 11:56:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Up	SELL	3	43¢	$1	0x9e1ced…
05-22 11:56:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x8091a7…
05-22 11:55:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Up	SELL	4	37¢	$1	0x2cb8e3…
05-22 11:55:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x666983…
05-22 11:54:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Up	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x224ab6…
05-22 11:54:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Down	SELL	3	32¢	$1	0xe723cf…
05-22 11:53:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Up	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x1803f7…