Realized P&L
-$1
Unrealized P&L
-$9
Hit rate
40.5%
Resolved
6
Trades
3,884
lifetime
Volume
$15.9K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$4
Open exposure
$34
15 positions
First seen
2026-01-28
last 06-09 21:43
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 5 days
Categories
Other
39% 100% +$1
Politics
37% 0% $-2
Sports
13% 0% $-1
Tech
7%
Crypto
5%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
57 active days in 12wk • peak 29 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Solana dip to $60 by December 31, 2026? No +38 $9 14¢ $5 $-4 06-05 14:09
Will SpaceX acquire Cursor? Yes +6 $5 90¢ $5 +$0 06-06 02:06
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T? Yes +8 $6 60¢ $5 $-1 05-29 03:44
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June? No +5 $4 88¢ $4 +$1 06-02 16:38
Fed rate hike in 2026? No -6 $-4 46¢ $-3 +$1 05-28 07:24
Russia x Ukraine Peace Parlay No +3 $2 82¢ $2 +$0 06-08 05:56
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? No -3 $-2 90¢ $-2 $-0 06-03 08:52
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June? No +3 $2 74¢ $2 +$0 05-28 07:35
Will Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by December 31, 2026? No +1 $1 95¢ $1 +$0 05-28 07:35
Will Russia invade another country in 2026? No +1 $1 90¢ $1 +$0 05-29 11:08
Metamask FDV above $500M one day after launch? No +1 $1 68¢ $1 $-0 06-01 04:12
Will Azerbaijan join the Abraham Accords before 2027? Yes +6 $1 12¢ $1 $-0 06-06 20:22
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30? Yes +33 $1 $1 $-0 05-31 12:07
Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30? Yes +53 $1 $0 $-1 06-06 21:17
Will Steve Hilton advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election? No +33 $6 $0 $-6 06-03 17:07