Straight-Earmuffs — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$957

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

28.6%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$14.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$174

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-10

last 09-18 03:15

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 17 days

Categories

Other

54% 50% +$958

Politics

46% 30% -$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

7 active days in 12wk • peak 9 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (22) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Russia enter Mykhailivka by May 31?	2	$917	480	480	+0	No	+$5	05-30 06:05
will there be houthi military action against israel by august 31 2026	2	$893	475	475	+0	No	+$0	08-05 03:17
another nato article 4 invocation by august 31 2026 20260726214511852	2	$892	485	485	+0	No	+$0	08-05 02:12
will benjamin netanyahu visit new york city by december 31 20260722053445711 376	3	$889	486	486	+0	Yes	-$5	08-10 06:49
total internet blackout in iran by august 31 2026 20260720155238428	2	$883	485	485	+0	No	+$0	08-10 07:48
will russia enter mykhailivka by august 31	2	$878	480	480	+0	No	-$5	08-02 04:53
israel x lebanon diplomatic meeting by august 31 2026 20260720155040249	2	$878	470	470	+0	Yes	+$1	08-02 02:50
Will Russia enter Moskovka by August 31?	2	$855	455	455	+0	No	+$0	08-25 01:53
US reissues Iran oil sanction relief by August 31?	3	$854	445	445	+0	No	+$0	08-24 07:04
Nord Stream pipeline turned on before 2027?	2	$848	445	445	+0	open	—	08-25 02:31
ukraine coup attempt by december 31	2	$828	445	445	+0	open	—	08-15 02:50
Will Russia capture all of Prymorske by December 31, 2026?	2	$822	445	445	+0	open	—	08-16 02:49
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan by September 30, 2026?	2	$819	455	455	+0	No	-$3	08-15 03:43
iaea visits isfahan fordow or natanz nuclear site by october 31	2	$819	450	450	+0	No	+$0	08-16 04:48
Spread: Gaziantep FK (-2.5)	2	$432	450	0	+450	Eyüpspor	+$18	04-25 06:03
Spread: Real Sociedad de Fútbol B (-2.5)	1	$432	474	0	+474	Cultural y Deportiva Leonesa	+$43	05-30 06:18
sea rom pis 2026 04 10 spread away 1pt5	1	$303	307	0	+307	AS Roma	+$4	04-10 11:17
Will Ukraine agree to give up the rest of Donbas before 2027?	4	$180	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	06-02 06:49
will russia capture dovha balka by june 30	7	$144	790	790	+0	No	+$8	06-25 08:16
US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	4	$128	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	06-10 07:41
Will Iran target Bahrain by August 31, 2026?	5	$122	760	760	+0	No	+$0	08-28 03:26
Will the U.S. invade Mexico in 2026?	4	$110	980	980	+0	open	—	06-07 02:55
Iran Nuke before 2027?	4	$108	950	950	+0	open	—	07-22 02:36
will a european country take military action on iran by july 31 20260720005529605	4	$95	945	945	+0	No	+$1	07-22 04:43
Will Russia test a nuclear weapon by September 30 2026?	4	$79	786	786	+0	No	+$0	06-25 06:48
Modi out by December 31, 2026?	4	$76	545	545	+0	open	—	06-18 05:44
will trump meet with vladimir putin in september 2026 20260826	4	$54	730	730	+0	No	+$0	08-28 02:23
Liechtenstein vs. Cyprus: O/U 0.5	2	$49	975	0	+975	Over	-$49	06-07 03:01
dota2 re nemiga 2026 06 10 game1 any player rampage	2	$41	980	0	+980	Yes	+$939	06-10 07:50
will trump insult xi by end of summit 20260916	1	$3	3	0	+3	No	+$0	09-18 03:15

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-18 03:15:31	will trump insult xi by end of summit 20260916	No	BUY	3	98¢	$3	0x27d989…
08-28 03:26:37	Will Iran target Bahrain by August 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	8¢	$1	0xe486c7…
08-28 03:26:10	Will Iran target Bahrain by August 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	385	8¢	$31	0xde8167…
08-28 03:25:46	Will Iran target Bahrain by August 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	365	8¢	$29	0xd0ef54…
08-28 02:55:01	Will Iran target Bahrain by August 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	385	8¢	$31	0x801d4b…
08-28 02:54:43	Will Iran target Bahrain by August 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	375	8¢	$30	0x37fe70…
08-28 02:23:30	will trump meet with vladimir putin in september 2026 20260826	Yes	SELL	370	4¢	$14	0x96993e…
08-28 02:23:19	will trump meet with vladimir putin in september 2026 20260826	Yes	SELL	360	4¢	$13	0x3ff7ab…
08-28 01:46:30	will trump meet with vladimir putin in september 2026 20260826	Yes	BUY	380	4¢	$14	0xeeb7cd…
08-28 01:45:19	will trump meet with vladimir putin in september 2026 20260826	Yes	BUY	350	4¢	$13	0xaf3a51…
08-25 02:31:16	Nord Stream pipeline turned on before 2027?	No	SELL	445	94¢	$421	0x2bc215…
08-25 02:04:13	Nord Stream pipeline turned on before 2027?	No	BUY	445	96¢	$427	0x8ff5d9…
08-25 01:53:48	Will Russia enter Moskovka by August 31?	No	SELL	455	94¢	$428	0xd744c8…
08-25 01:35:33	Will Russia enter Moskovka by August 31?	No	BUY	455	94¢	$428	0x49811e…
08-24 07:04:19	US reissues Iran oil sanction relief by August 31?	No	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0x471594…
08-24 07:03:45	US reissues Iran oil sanction relief by August 31?	No	SELL	440	96¢	$422	0x882237…
08-24 06:33:21	US reissues Iran oil sanction relief by August 31?	No	BUY	445	96¢	$427	0xf73bb3…
08-16 04:48:22	iaea visits isfahan fordow or natanz nuclear site by october 31	No	SELL	450	91¢	$410	0x613282…
08-16 03:08:43	iaea visits isfahan fordow or natanz nuclear site by october 31	No	BUY	450	91¢	$410	0x8a0626…
08-16 02:49:30	Will Russia capture all of Prymorske by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	445	92¢	$411	0x5e5dfe…
08-16 01:57:33	Will Russia capture all of Prymorske by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	445	92¢	$412	0xbe6f87…
08-15 03:43:58	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan by September 30, 2026?	No	SELL	455	90¢	$408	0x21aed5…
08-15 03:02:16	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	455	90¢	$411	0x64a235…
08-15 02:50:45	ukraine coup attempt by december 31	No	SELL	445	93¢	$414	0x40044d…
08-15 02:00:40	ukraine coup attempt by december 31	No	BUY	445	93¢	$414	0xbfad0b…
08-10 07:48:27	total internet blackout in iran by august 31 2026 20260720155238428	No	SELL	485	91¢	$441	0x735fd7…
08-10 07:03:03	total internet blackout in iran by august 31 2026 20260720155238428	No	BUY	485	91¢	$441	0xd39d1e…
08-10 06:49:16	will benjamin netanyahu visit new york city by december 31 20260722053445711 376	Yes	SELL	10	91¢	$9	0x870cb0…
08-10 06:48:39	will benjamin netanyahu visit new york city by december 31 20260722053445711 376	Yes	SELL	476	91¢	$433	0xcbc678…
08-10 05:57:34	will benjamin netanyahu visit new york city by december 31 20260722053445711 376	Yes	BUY	486	92¢	$447	0x5b2856…
08-05 03:17:09	will there be houthi military action against israel by august 31 2026	No	SELL	475	94¢	$446	0x4b8e96…
08-05 02:33:20	will there be houthi military action against israel by august 31 2026	No	BUY	475	94¢	$446	0xd70de8…
08-05 02:12:38	another nato article 4 invocation by august 31 2026 20260726214511852	No	SELL	485	92¢	$446	0x573d09…
08-05 01:33:39	another nato article 4 invocation by august 31 2026 20260726214511852	No	BUY	485	92¢	$446	0x82722d…
08-02 04:53:09	will russia enter mykhailivka by august 31	No	SELL	480	91¢	$437	0xc674ec…
08-02 03:09:56	will russia enter mykhailivka by august 31	No	BUY	480	92¢	$442	0xb9242d…
08-02 02:50:11	israel x lebanon diplomatic meeting by august 31 2026 20260720155040249	Yes	SELL	470	94¢	$439	0x41baf6…
08-02 02:12:20	israel x lebanon diplomatic meeting by august 31 2026 20260720155040249	Yes	BUY	470	93¢	$439	0xa44bdf…
07-22 04:43:03	will a european country take military action on iran by july 31 20260720005529605	Yes	SELL	489	5¢	$25	0x7e3d69…
07-22 04:42:54	will a european country take military action on iran by july 31 20260720005529605	Yes	SELL	456	5¢	$23	0x72cf92…
07-22 03:13:45	will a european country take military action on iran by july 31 20260720005529605	Yes	BUY	468	5¢	$23	0x74f30f…
07-22 03:13:33	will a european country take military action on iran by july 31 20260720005529605	Yes	BUY	477	5¢	$24	0xb60b86…
07-22 02:36:58	Iran Nuke before 2027?	Yes	SELL	490	6¢	$28	0x0e87eb…
07-22 02:36:46	Iran Nuke before 2027?	Yes	SELL	460	6¢	$26	0x45fe99…
07-22 01:57:18	Iran Nuke before 2027?	Yes	BUY	490	6¢	$28	0xe58b17…
07-22 01:56:49	Iran Nuke before 2027?	Yes	BUY	460	6¢	$26	0x5a8008…
06-25 08:16:34	will russia capture dovha balka by june 30	Yes	SELL	100	10¢	$10	0x75f881…
06-25 08:15:43	will russia capture dovha balka by june 30	Yes	SELL	90	10¢	$9	0x80c945…
06-25 08:15:28	will russia capture dovha balka by june 30	Yes	SELL	100	10¢	$10	0xb3b858…
06-25 08:15:13	will russia capture dovha balka by june 30	Yes	SELL	100	10¢	$10	0xb439a5…
06-25 08:09:56	will russia capture dovha balka by june 30	Yes	SELL	400	9¢	$37	0x5a97db…
06-25 07:23:22	will russia capture dovha balka by june 30	Yes	BUY	400	9¢	$34	0xb5dcd3…
06-25 07:23:07	will russia capture dovha balka by june 30	Yes	BUY	390	9¢	$34	0x4f5795…
06-25 06:48:16	Will Russia test a nuclear weapon by September 30 2026?	Yes	SELL	408	5¢	$20	0x42d375…
06-25 06:48:02	Will Russia test a nuclear weapon by September 30 2026?	Yes	SELL	378	5¢	$19	0x0ea9a2…
06-25 05:55:31	Will Russia test a nuclear weapon by September 30 2026?	Yes	BUY	408	5¢	$20	0x28cfd9…
06-25 05:55:13	Will Russia test a nuclear weapon by September 30 2026?	Yes	BUY	378	5¢	$19	0x4894b7…
06-18 05:44:07	Modi out by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	278	7¢	$19	0x00dcd2…
06-18 05:43:55	Modi out by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	267	7¢	$19	0x3f4363…
06-18 02:43:14	Modi out by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	278	7¢	$19	0xaab7cb…
06-18 02:42:53	Modi out by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	267	7¢	$19	0xa4f66d…
06-10 07:50:40	dota2 re nemiga 2026 06 10 game1 any player rampage	Yes	BUY	505	4¢	$21	0xee042d…
06-10 07:50:22	dota2 re nemiga 2026 06 10 game1 any player rampage	Yes	BUY	475	4¢	$20	0x03cb3a…
06-10 07:41:36	US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	485	7¢	$32	0x5faa90…
06-10 07:41:16	US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	515	7¢	$35	0x746674…
06-10 06:43:12	US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	515	6¢	$32	0xbeb91c…
06-10 06:42:27	US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	485	6¢	$29	0x162db2…
06-07 03:01:57	Liechtenstein vs. Cyprus: O/U 0.5	Under	BUY	480	5¢	$24	0xea8c89…
06-07 03:01:30	Liechtenstein vs. Cyprus: O/U 0.5	Under	BUY	495	5¢	$25	0xfff19f…
06-07 02:55:42	Will the U.S. invade Mexico in 2026?	Yes	SELL	480	6¢	$27	0x5f5235…
06-07 02:55:25	Will the U.S. invade Mexico in 2026?	Yes	SELL	500	6¢	$28	0x840b27…
06-07 01:58:37	Will the U.S. invade Mexico in 2026?	Yes	BUY	495	6¢	$27	0x2c56fe…
06-07 01:58:10	Will the U.S. invade Mexico in 2026?	Yes	BUY	485	6¢	$27	0x21226a…
06-02 06:49:39	Will Ukraine agree to give up the rest of Donbas before 2027?	Yes	SELL	505	9¢	$45	0x2c4de9…
06-02 06:49:12	Will Ukraine agree to give up the rest of Donbas before 2027?	Yes	SELL	495	9¢	$45	0x895b80…
06-02 06:13:37	Will Ukraine agree to give up the rest of Donbas before 2027?	Yes	BUY	505	9¢	$45	0x343bee…
06-02 06:13:22	Will Ukraine agree to give up the rest of Donbas before 2027?	Yes	BUY	495	9¢	$45	0xe97147…
05-30 06:18:46	Spread: Real Sociedad de Fútbol B (-2.5)	Cultural y Deportiva Leonesa	BUY	474	91¢	$432	0xe61fa1…
05-30 06:05:16	Will Russia enter Mykhailivka by May 31?	No	SELL	480	96¢	$461	0x6ff08d…
05-30 05:28:46	Will Russia enter Mykhailivka by May 31?	No	BUY	480	95¢	$456	0xec4f3b…
04-25 06:03:34	Spread: Gaziantep FK (-2.5)	Eyüpspor	BUY	250	96¢	$240	0xdb08ac…
04-25 06:03:04	Spread: Gaziantep FK (-2.5)	Eyüpspor	BUY	200	96¢	$192	0x1396b3…
04-10 11:17:53	sea rom pis 2026 04 10 spread away 1pt5	AS Roma	BUY	307	99¢	$303	0x1abafc…